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bpg88
12-14-2006, 07:49 AM
The 2% Solution: Drawing a Critical Mass of Residents Downtown is Key to Urban Revival

Syracuse Post-Standard, November 26, 2006
Bruce Katz, Vice President and Director, Metropolitan Policy Program
http://www.brookings.edu/views/op-ed/katz/20061126_criticalmass.htm

As Eliot Spitzer prepares to take office, the energetic governor-elect has been notable among gubernatorial candidates and incumbents in laying out a promising agenda to revitalize his state's distressed metropolitan areas.

Indeed, many aspects of Spitzer's plans to boost the fortunes of Upstate New York can be boiled down to one simple notion, albeit with many ramifying effects: Strive to attract at least 2 percent of each metropolitan area's population to live downtown.

Reviving the four major Upstate metropolitan areas—Buffalo, Rochester, Albany and Syracuse, where 3½ million New Yorkers live—requires systematically building on the region's assets. To compete in today's innovative, knowledge-based economy, Upstate metros need to rebuild their city centers, creating a critical mass of highly educated residents and workers, enterprise, urban amenities and vibrant public space.

As Spitzer said in a major urban policy address in Syracuse in March, "In a knowledge economy, cities are more important than ever." After World War II, these four cities were vibrant urban centers, catalysts of America's postwar boom and home to innovative industrial giants like Kodak, General Electric and Xerox. Today, these once-proud cities are caught in a spiral of economic and demographic decline. Buffalo's core population is half what it was when Harry Truman was president; Rochester, Syracuse, and Albany are each 33 percent smaller today than they were in 1950.

The decline of Upstate's urban cores has created an economic centrifuge, spreading development over 425,000 acres of newly urbanized land between 1982 and 1997 alone, even as the region's population has decreased. Today, just 0.66 percent of Buffalo's population and a mere 0.15 percent of metro Albany's population live downtown. Vacant homes and industrial sites project an image of despair—dramatically different from the postwar glory days and strikingly different from what these historic cities once again could be.

How can this "2 percent" solution be achieved? Three strategies stand out: encourage residential development and the preservation and adaptive reuse of historic structures; leverage the region's remarkable concentration of academic institutions and cutting-edge research centers; and make significant transformative investments in downtown infrastructure.

At a time of profound economic restructuring and demographic change, bringing residents downtown would have seismic implications. Just imagine the economic, fiscal and psychological impacts of housing 16,500 residents in downtown Albany, 23,400 residents in downtown Buffalo, 20,750 residents in downtown Rochester and 13,000 residents in downtown Syracuse.

The critical massing of people would attract amenities that lure businesses and jobs for downtown and metro-area residents, shoppers and tourists and help stem the exodus of young workers. Appealing new housing with street-level cafes and shops would bring life and a virtuous cycle of growth to metropolitan hubs. Research has shown that the physical clustering of talented people is critical for economic growth, an agenda that has been embraced for Syracuse by the Onondaga Citizens League.

Targeted incentives such as housing tax credits could encourage employers to help their workers with downpayments and create incentives for home buyers, businesses and developers to locate in, preserve and redevelop historic urban centers.

A complementary way to convert older cities to innovative economies is to locate new college and university campuses in downtown centers. This has begun in Syracuse and Schenectady, and more of Upstate's 206 colleges should be encouraged to expand their presence in existing downtowns or even develop downtown satellite campuses.

Higher education institutions are not only major employers but incubators of new, creative businesses—and jobs. Albany, for example, has developed a new biotech center at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, and the University of Albany's NanoTech Institute employs more than 1,000 people.

As low-wage service-sector jobs replace industrial jobs, encouraging the expansion of tech ventures and health-care facilities is essential to expanding the number of Upstate New Yorkers earning a good living in reborn downtowns.

Investments in infrastructure also are a key ingredient for success. New York state and Upstate cities need to identify and demolish the obsolete freeways that hold these downtown centers in a choke-hold. Transforming eyesore freeways into human-scale boulevards, as cities like Providence have done, will reconnect downtowns with the surrounding city and markedly improve the visual landscape.

For example, the Rochester Inner Loop divides downtown from older and emerging neighborhoods, and Interstate 81 in Syracuse cuts off University Hill from downtown. Reclaiming river waterfronts and investing in open, attractive public space and urban streetscapes are keys to downtown revitalization.

Renewing Upstate New York is one of the most difficult challenges facing the new governor. A "2 percent solution" can help jump-start the economic recovery of these proud metropolitan areas and help restore and rebrand now-struggling cities as innovative hubs of creativity and innovation. It is a plan uniquely aligned with our times and Eliot Spitzer's beliefs and priorities.


How do upstate NYer's feel about the incoming governor? Any optimism?

kznyc2k
12-14-2006, 05:31 PM
Thanks for posting that article, bpg. Having lived in Massachusetts for nearly two years now, I've been out of the loop on what's gone on in the governor's race (we had an interesting one here which dominated my attention). Good to hear Spitzer acknowledging and pushing for the obvious.

Ex-Ithacan
12-14-2006, 06:10 PM
He must have snuck a peek at what has ben said on this forum for quite some time. Nice to know someone listens to good ideas. Of course, private industry has to make the commitment to upstate NY as well. Gotta make sure new companies (or even existing ones) looking for new locations feel NY is a good fit. Over taxing them isn't going to help the situation.

Visiteur
12-14-2006, 06:47 PM
If he can pull it off, he would be my hero.

But to give you an idea of how much works needs to be done, there are currently 2,500 residents in downtown Syracuse, with another 100-200 expected over the next year. There's a lot of work to do.

Hey Ex, do you think "downtown Ithaca" has 2,500 people, or two percent of Ithaca metro? Ot do you think they would just cite collegetown and say "look, we did it! Two percent!";)

Ex-Ithacan
12-14-2006, 09:18 PM
LOL Vis. I think downtown Ithaca couldn't hold 2,500, it's too small. Of course if there are some developers out there willing to built some residential talls in the downtown area, and someone opens a food market downtown, and the city raises the height limit, anything is possible. But I'm not holding my breathe.

Downtown Bolivar
12-15-2006, 09:50 PM
I think the 2% solution is a good one. The big "if" is if NYS can do it without creating an impossible boondoggle for developers. Highway removal is also a big deal--I know that the removal of the Skyway in Buffalo is near and dear to many people's hearts. I'm not sure that it always works--Oak and Elm in downtown Buffalo connect the 33 to the 190 and they still cut downtown off from the near east side almost as much as highway.

Here's a favorite WNY solution that gets floated around from time to time:
Let's just do away with just about all state-level development and corporate regulations, reduce the tax burden so we're more in line with the national average and just see what happens. Is that too libertarian for most people? I'd be interested to see how people fared without so called "vital services" that are used to justify such a high tax burden. If Elliot does that, he'd be my hero for being willing to take risks. What am I saying? Spitzer will never be my hero because in the end--radical changes like this aren't going to happen. As a resident of WNY since birth (except for three years in Lexington KY for a master's degree), I don't believe anything short of radical intervention will stabilize the area's continued march downward in the near term. As for the long term, well things have to bottom out eventually don't they--regardless of who's in Albany.

I agree that in NYS good paying industrial jobs are being replaced by low wage service sector jobs, but I don't agree that that is the rule in the rest of the country. There are plenty of good paying jobs being created in downtown areas (as well as suburbs) in other places. You know what struck me most about living in the Southeast? There's so much money floating around and it's not just in the hands of a couple people. The possibilities really did seem endless down there.

Although that article is something just about every reasonable person can agree with, there is one thing that really bothers me about it--it's basically saying the way to revival for all of upstate is public projects ad nauseum. I'm not sure if that will work--but I guess we'll get the chance to see...

TomAuch
12-16-2006, 02:42 PM
I don't know how Spitzer will pull this off. Syracuse, at least, doesn't have much in the way of a nice downtown outside of Armory Square (an artificial, business-planned wannabe SoHo.) And having something like the Carousel Mall screams "SUBURBAN." Just my biased NYC two cents.

gripja
12-17-2006, 05:35 PM
^ well thats what needs to be created. This 2% solution is a good start to what needs to change for upstate cities to rebound. It would be nice if 20,000 peope lived in downtown Rochester, for example. But those people need to be new transplants, not people moving out of NW Rochester for new digs DT. Spitzer has an enourmous job in front of him and I'm glad someone wants to try and do it. Good Luck Eliot. :cheers:



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