Boris2k7
12-21-2006, 06:23 PM
Well, this should really surprise anyone who follows Alberta political trends, but it's worth posting IMO
Premier riding high in Alberta
Stelmach would win election by a landslide, poll suggests
http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8585/stelmach1ro1.jpg
Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach
Photograph by : CP PHOTO/Jason Scott
Jason Fekete, Calgary Herald
Published: Thursday, December 21, 2006
As Premier Ed Stelmach visits Calgary today for the first time since taking office and naming a rural-heavy cabinet, a new poll suggests more than three-quarters of Albertans are confident he'll be an effective premier.
The Ipsos Reid survey of 800 Albertans, provided exclusively to the Herald, also found the Stelmach-led Progressive Conservatives are the choice of more than two-thirds of respondents and would roll to an easy majority victory in the next provincial election.
"These results strongly suggest Albertans are comfortable with having him at the wheel and aren't looking for anything in terms of dramatic changes soon," said Kyle Braid, vice-president with Ipsos Reid.
"This just means the PCs and Stelmach should, at this point, relax and have a peaceful holiday."
Stelmach is hosting a reception today at the McDougall Centre and will speak to reporters around 4 p.m., as he looks to assure Calgarians and southern Albertans that he'll govern for the entire province.
Coincidently, Prime Minister Stephen Harper also will be in Calgary today as he returns home with his family for the holidays.
An official with the Prime Minister's Office said it's doubtful the two leaders will have their first official meeting while Harper is back home, but they will look to do so at the earliest opportunity.
Unfortunately for Stelmach -- who is seeking media exposure in southern Alberta -- Harper's visit could steal the spotlight.
Observers said the new premier's political honeymoon will likely be brief, particularly in Calgary, whose number of cabinet ministers was reduced to three from eight in last Friday's appointments.
"The premier has to do repair work in Calgary. Considering he just won, that's something," said David Taras, political analyst at the University of Calgary. "It's not clear that this is going to be smooth sailing."
Yet, the poll, conducted Dec. 13 to 19, reveals that 76 per cent of Albertans surveyed believe the Tories made a good choice in electing Stelmach (33 per cent said "very good" and 43 per cent "somewhat good"). Broken down by region, the numbers are just as strong in Calgary.
The survey, partly conducted after Stelmach named his cabinet Dec. 15, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About 78 per cent of those polled said they're confident Stelmach "has what it takes" to be an effective premier for Alberta (21 per cent were "very confident" and 56 per cent "somewhat confident"). Only 15 per cent said they're either not very confident or not at all confident that Alberta's 13th premier has what it takes to run the province.
Although former premier Ralph Klein was criticized for failing to plan for Alberta's phenomenal growth and leading the government on autopilot, only 17 per cent of Albertans said they want a Stelmach government to make "major changes."
As for electability, 68 per cent of decided voters said they'd vote for the Stelmach-led PCs if a provincial election were held now, up 10 points from a similar Ipsos Reid poll in late October.
That compares to 18 per cent for Kevin Taft's Liberals (down four points from October), six per cent for Brian Mason's NDP (down four points), four per cent for George Read's Green party (no change) and three per cent for Paul Hinman's Alberta Alliance (down one point).
Pollster Braid called it "terrible news" for the other political parties.
Stelmach's numbers, however, reflect a temporary bounce typically enjoyed by a new leader, Braid said.
Political analyst Taras said the honeymoon could be cut short by Stelmach's 18 cabinet appointments, which the opposition and even some Tory MLAs complained was unrepresentative on several fronts.
Only three ministers were appointed from Calgary and one from Edmonton, although the two cities have about two-thirds of the province's population.
Alarming to some, the cabinet contains just two women and no visible minorities.
"The cabinet choices shredded Calgary," Taras said. "I don't think (Stelmach) realizes that Calgary may in fact be a battleground."
jfekete@theherald.canwest.com
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David Taras was one of my profs last year. He's quite well spoken and was very much liked by my class... :)
Premier riding high in Alberta
Stelmach would win election by a landslide, poll suggests
http://img171.imageshack.us/img171/8585/stelmach1ro1.jpg
Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach
Photograph by : CP PHOTO/Jason Scott
Jason Fekete, Calgary Herald
Published: Thursday, December 21, 2006
As Premier Ed Stelmach visits Calgary today for the first time since taking office and naming a rural-heavy cabinet, a new poll suggests more than three-quarters of Albertans are confident he'll be an effective premier.
The Ipsos Reid survey of 800 Albertans, provided exclusively to the Herald, also found the Stelmach-led Progressive Conservatives are the choice of more than two-thirds of respondents and would roll to an easy majority victory in the next provincial election.
"These results strongly suggest Albertans are comfortable with having him at the wheel and aren't looking for anything in terms of dramatic changes soon," said Kyle Braid, vice-president with Ipsos Reid.
"This just means the PCs and Stelmach should, at this point, relax and have a peaceful holiday."
Stelmach is hosting a reception today at the McDougall Centre and will speak to reporters around 4 p.m., as he looks to assure Calgarians and southern Albertans that he'll govern for the entire province.
Coincidently, Prime Minister Stephen Harper also will be in Calgary today as he returns home with his family for the holidays.
An official with the Prime Minister's Office said it's doubtful the two leaders will have their first official meeting while Harper is back home, but they will look to do so at the earliest opportunity.
Unfortunately for Stelmach -- who is seeking media exposure in southern Alberta -- Harper's visit could steal the spotlight.
Observers said the new premier's political honeymoon will likely be brief, particularly in Calgary, whose number of cabinet ministers was reduced to three from eight in last Friday's appointments.
"The premier has to do repair work in Calgary. Considering he just won, that's something," said David Taras, political analyst at the University of Calgary. "It's not clear that this is going to be smooth sailing."
Yet, the poll, conducted Dec. 13 to 19, reveals that 76 per cent of Albertans surveyed believe the Tories made a good choice in electing Stelmach (33 per cent said "very good" and 43 per cent "somewhat good"). Broken down by region, the numbers are just as strong in Calgary.
The survey, partly conducted after Stelmach named his cabinet Dec. 15, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About 78 per cent of those polled said they're confident Stelmach "has what it takes" to be an effective premier for Alberta (21 per cent were "very confident" and 56 per cent "somewhat confident"). Only 15 per cent said they're either not very confident or not at all confident that Alberta's 13th premier has what it takes to run the province.
Although former premier Ralph Klein was criticized for failing to plan for Alberta's phenomenal growth and leading the government on autopilot, only 17 per cent of Albertans said they want a Stelmach government to make "major changes."
As for electability, 68 per cent of decided voters said they'd vote for the Stelmach-led PCs if a provincial election were held now, up 10 points from a similar Ipsos Reid poll in late October.
That compares to 18 per cent for Kevin Taft's Liberals (down four points from October), six per cent for Brian Mason's NDP (down four points), four per cent for George Read's Green party (no change) and three per cent for Paul Hinman's Alberta Alliance (down one point).
Pollster Braid called it "terrible news" for the other political parties.
Stelmach's numbers, however, reflect a temporary bounce typically enjoyed by a new leader, Braid said.
Political analyst Taras said the honeymoon could be cut short by Stelmach's 18 cabinet appointments, which the opposition and even some Tory MLAs complained was unrepresentative on several fronts.
Only three ministers were appointed from Calgary and one from Edmonton, although the two cities have about two-thirds of the province's population.
Alarming to some, the cabinet contains just two women and no visible minorities.
"The cabinet choices shredded Calgary," Taras said. "I don't think (Stelmach) realizes that Calgary may in fact be a battleground."
jfekete@theherald.canwest.com
------------------------------------------------------------------------
David Taras was one of my profs last year. He's quite well spoken and was very much liked by my class... :)