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Shodan
04-06-2007, 05:01 PM
Canada one of the fortunate countries, according to damning climate change report

Margaret Munro
CanWest News Service

Friday, April 06, 2007

Canada stands out as one of the luckiest countries on Earth in a grim report on the world's changing climate to be released today.

"In the big scheme of things, we are very fortunate," said Ian Burton, a leading climate scientist and member of the Canadian delegation helping to shepherd the United Nations report through its final review before being released in Brussels this morning.

"While there are big changes coming in Canada, we are very well equipped to deal with them," Burton said in a telephone interview.

What is missing, he said, is a comprehensive strategy to cut the country's greenhouse-gas emissions and deal with the "destabilizing" changes underway. Burton and his colleagues said Canadians need to get serious about adapting in this country, and also reach out to regions of the world on track to be inundated by the rising seas and parched by climbing temperatures.

Burton, scientist emeritus with Environment Canada one of the lead authors of the report, is one of many looking for "enlightened" leadership and action from Ottawa.

"Let's not just talk about it, let's put a game plan in place," said Duane Smith, Canadian president of the Inuit Circumpolar Conference, which represents 150,000 Inuit in the Arctic. He said he welcomes today's report that will highlight the Arctic as one of fastest warming and changing regions on the planet.

"We are bearing the brunt of the changing environment as we speak," said Smith, who lives in Inuvik in the Western Arctic where many homes and buildings are sinking and shifting in the melting permafrost.

Thinning ice and changing ecosystems, which have resulted in drastic declines in Canada's caribou herds, are also threatening the traditional Inuit way of life, said Smith, who is calling on the federal government to be more "proactive" in cutting emissions to try slow the warming.

The federal government also needs to work more closely with northern communities and governments to better track the change underway and devise long-term solutions and adaptive strategies, said Smith: "We're dragging our toes, and need a more co-ordinated, working together approach."

Today's report is the second of four to be released this year by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a United Nations network of close to 2,000 scientists. The first report, released in February, said global warming is "unequivocal" and human activities, such as the burning of fossil fuels, are the main driver.

The second report, which Burton describes as being at the "conservative end of the spectrum," will describe how climate change is re-arranging the global landscape and poised to wipe out creatures, ecosystems and human settlements unable to adapt.

Drafts of the reports say billions of people will face drinking water shortages this century and "hundreds of millions" could be flooded as seas rise, inundating low-lying and densely populated coastal regions in Asia and Africa.

The forecast for Canada includes twice as many forest fires, more deadly heat waves, and looming water shortages as glaciers and snow-pack in Western North America shrink and water levels in the Great Lakes plunge. There are also potential benefits for Canada, such as shipping through the Arctic as the summer ice melts away, less people freezing outside in the winter, and farms and forests expanding northward.

The report lays out how the changes will grow more pronounced and deadly if greenhouse-gas emissions keep increasing in a degree-by-degree projection that Canadian climatologist Andrew Weaver described as the "highway to extinction."

"This is showing you where the road is heading," said Weaver, at the University of Victoria and one of the lead authors February's report.

A rise in the average global temperature of two degrees Celsius - now widely expected to occur in coming decades - corresponds to a risk of losing 20 to 30 per cent of species, and two billion people facing water shortages. If emissions keep climbing and temperatures rise four degrees Celsius, a "major extinction" of 40 to 70 per cent of known species is expected - up to three billion people will not have enough water to drink, and millions more will be flooded and face starvation.

The policy implications are "massive," Weaver said.

He said drastic cuts of between 60 to 90 per cent in greenhouse-gas emissions by 2050 are needed to slow the warming already underway.

He also said Canada has both a moral and international obligation to do more to help internationally.

"We are a wealthy nation," said Weaver. "We have a lot of money, we have a lot of water, we have a lot of land and we have a lot of food."

People in low-lying island countries such as the Maldives, or in heavily populated deltas such as Bangladesh are the losers in the climate-change equation. "So what do you do, say their lives on this planet are not as valuable as ours," Weaver said. "Or do you help?"

Burton and Barry Smit, a lead author of today's report and Canada Research Chair in Global Environmental Change at the University of Guelph, agreed, saying Canada needs to offer assistance to regions and people at risk.

Canadians are among the biggest per-capita producers of greenhouse emission in the world, Burton noted. The country has also signed an international treaty committing to help less fortunate nations impacted by climate change, Smit said.

Many of Canada's most effective climate change and adaptation programs, both internationally and at home, have been "snuffed out" or scaled back in recent years and need to be revived, Smit said.

He also said climate change needs to be "mainstreamed" and made part of everyday policy, business and personal considerations - by checking on sea level rise when buying waterfront property, planning new sewer systems for a municipality, or allocating funding for international projects, Smit said.

Burton agreed and said he hopes the Conservative government's long-awaited climate-change policy, expected this spring, will be comprehensive, creative and multi-pronged.

"I think there is more reason to hope as governments and people are waking up to the problem and starting to deal with it seriously," Burton said. "Despair is no good to anyone."

© CanWest News Service 2007

Copyright © 2007 CanWest Interactive, a division of CanWest MediaWorks Publications, Inc.. All rights reserved.

LordMandeep
04-06-2007, 05:03 PM
i heard though Vancouver will be under water??/

MolsonExport
04-06-2007, 05:17 PM
The Inuit and polar bears are not so "lucky".

SHOFEAR
04-06-2007, 05:26 PM
Three billion people with no water....and we think oil is valuable now......We should figure out a way to capture melting ice pack water and divert it to giant holding ponds. Make some money off this thing.

Canadian Mind
04-07-2007, 03:01 PM
I still like my idea where we build massive desalinization plants in the artic, and mass-ship that water to whomever pays for it. hell, don't even have to pay to cool the stuff off first. would likely provide employment for thousands or tens of thousands. (this would be a very large scale thing, talking converting a million gallons of water per day). Could ship the water in pipes to our parched areas, as well as south of the border to what will become mostly dessert from the Rio Grande to the Colorado plateau to the Appalachians. Lots of dollar figures involved.

Now, one can bitch and complain about the mass exportation of water, losing control of it to the american market, blah blah blah. 2 easy solutions;

1. Kill NAFTA

2. Title it as "Processed water" and no longer consider it the same stuff as what flows down our lakes and streams. To prevent someone from setting up a small plant on a river or lake and calling it processed water, there could be government regulations, such as it musty be desanilised ocean water... in which case we wouldn't care how much they took. Hell, if enough is drained, it may by some miracle counteract the rising sea levels.

cornholio
04-09-2007, 03:28 AM
^desalinization plants in the artic
A) you can build them anywhere in the world, and closer to the consumers
B) the places that would have the bigest water shortages would in most cases be the cheapest places to build such projects due to labour etc.
C) building anything in the arctic is extremly expesinve, thats why there is still very little mining etc.
D) canada should not eport its water to anyone, i have zero sympathy for people in places such as Phoenix or people in Africa who choose to have 20 kids while they know they cant suport them. The only way canada can help these places is to export education and the know how how to adapt, supplying them with water will not solve the problems but rather only alow them to get much worse later on down the road.

Canadian Mind
04-09-2007, 02:58 PM
I was taking a page out of Calgreedians book, caring about myself more then anyone else.

Point of arctic: its out of the way, less polluted, and with the population increase, we automatically increase our presence there, in turn guarding our other valuable resources. sure its expensive and cold right now, but in 10-20 years when its +5C warmer and the equivalent to present day Winnipeg, it wont be.

boden
04-27-2007, 01:01 PM
We all lose with global warming.

duper
04-27-2007, 01:10 PM
i heard though Vancouver will be under water??/


Hey, things are looking up already.




No, I love Vancouver.

habsfan
04-27-2007, 01:24 PM
Well, i think i heard on the news yesterday that the Gov't of QUébec has promised it would try to stay in line with Kyoto by 2012.

I wonder if it'll actually happen?



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