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View Full Version : Electrical grid needs $120-130 billion



amor de cosmos
Jul 22, 2008, 3:31 AM
Some governments have already locked up many billions for highways, roads, bridges, water, etc:
Alberta: ~$22 billion (2008-2010)
Ontario: $30 billion
Quebec: $30 billion
Federal government: $33 billion (2007-2014)
total (afaIk & not including any private investment): ~$115 billion

In addition to all that, now the Canadian Electricity Association says Canada's grid needs $120-130 billion worth of repairs & upgrades in the next 10-20yrs:
Billions needed to fix electric grid

'Time running out' on aging infrastructure

Mike De Souza , Canwest News Service
Published: Monday, July 21, 2008

Canada's aging electricity infrastructure will need billions of dollars in investments to ensure its generation stations, transmission and distribution lines do not collapse under an exploding demand, industry experts said on Monday.

While the engineering experts refused to draw direct links between the needs and a pair of recent incidents which struck two of the country's largest cities, they warned that time was running out for many steel towers, electric polls, wires, transformers, and facilities.

"You're now looking at 50 years (old) infrastructure that is in need of replacement," said Jatin Nathwani, the executive director of Waterloo University's Institute for Sustainable Energy. "These things may last 20 years, (or) they may only last two. You don't know, so there's a large unknown and uncertain gap growing in terms of understanding the integrity of that infrastructure."

Over the weekend, an explosion struck a transformer under a 22-storey highrise and rocked a Toronto neighbourhood, forcing the evacuation of some 900 residents. The incident follows an electrical fire which struck underground cables, causing recent blackouts in Vancouver.

Public officials are still investigating in both cities to determine the cause of the incidents.

Nathwani, a consultant at Hydro One who has worked in the industry for 30 years, said that the Ontario utility company has 1.2 million distribution polls across the province. While it can test 5,000 to 10,000 in a given year, he said there are 50,000 that reach their 50th birthday from one year to the next.

He said there are similar challenges for other pieces of the infrastructure that make it a challenge to assess the vulnerabilities, despite new investments as well as sophisticated testing and monitoring systems that are already in place.

"You can gather the data, you can do the best assessments, you can feed in all your monitoring information to get at the best estimate of replacement time for these assets, but one can never actually predict when a component will actually fail," said Nathwani.

"It's just like the equivalent of (getting) all your monitoring tests done, you go to the doctors, you have your visits, but no one can actually predict when you will die."

The industry association which represents utility companies across the country has estimated they will need $80 billion in investments for nuclear energy infrastructure and another $40 to $50 billion for hydroelectric sites over the next 10 to 20 years, to ensure long-term stability in the supply.

But those estimates do not include investments that may be required in new renewable forms of energy such as wind and solar power.

"Time is not our friend on this. We need to have more electricity in just about every region of the country," said Pierre Guimond, president of the Canadian Electricity Association.

"Demand is racing ahead of supply and the supply that we have requires refurbishment and major investment to carry on for another 50 to 80 years."

Guimond said new neighbourhoods are increasing demand and the need for new costly infrastructure and transmission lines underground. He said other needs such as the potential emergence of electric cars also will require careful planning and development to supply more power on existing grids.

"Our tendency is to say to people: 'Look, we have to do this right, so give us the green light to go ahead and do this,'" said Guimond. "The green light involves permission from governments, it involves investment of capital, it involves access to the basic resources necessary for that - things like cement and steel. We want to get on with the job that we're so well-trained to carry out."
http://www.canada.com/topics/news/story.html?id=518cfe0a-deb7-4443-ae3e-975e29de4bec

vid
Jul 23, 2008, 7:39 AM
Thunder Bay has some that was almost 80 years old, recently replaced it though. The city wants to get the whole system younger than 30 years by 2010, or something like that. They're always busy. The substations downtown are all getting to be 75 to 100 years old and are causing blackouts a lot lately, a couple times a month at least. And of course there was that power station in Vancouver last week, not sure how old that was though.

The governments have to put more effort into maintaining these things. It's the electricity grid!! Without it, we can't do anything! Our economy is based on it! :rolleyes:

The Jabroni
Jul 24, 2008, 1:33 AM
In Manitoba, we have some old power generating stations along the Winnipeg River (when it was ran by Winnipeg Hydro before Manitoba Hydro bought them out). I'm not sure what MB Hydro is doing with those old power stations, but they're still up and running to this day. I can only imagine if Manitoba Hydro maintains our electrical grid or even replace certain elements along the grid.

vid
Jul 24, 2008, 1:52 AM
Kakabeka Falls Generating Station (a dam) provides a bit of electricity to the Lakehead, and it just celebrated 100 years in operation. Boulevard Lake Dam is about 116 years old, I think, but no longer produces energy. It was built to power our streetcars. (We had 100% renewable energy LRT before Calgary!! :banana: /embellishment)

amor de cosmos
Jul 24, 2008, 2:13 AM
I forgot to say BC Transmission Corp has already moved on this earlier this year:
BC TRANSMISSION CORP PLANS $5.1 BILLION INVESTMENT IN ELECTRICITY SYSTEM UPGRADES

VANCOUVER – BC Transmission Corporation (BCTC) has filed its Ten Year Capital Plan with the BC Utilities Commission, outlining $5.1 billion in expenditures designed to meet the increased clean electricity demands of British Columbia’s growing economy.

“BCTC is planning for the future by ensuring British Columbia’s electricity system has the necessary capacity to meet the needs of our growing population,” said Jane Peverett, BCTC President and CEO. “We are working to improve reliability, reinforce existing assets, and connect new sources of green energy to the grid.”

The new capital plan also outlines measures BCTC will take to support key objectives of The BC Energy Plan: A Vision for Clean Energy Leadership, including innovation and enhanced reliability. Key actions include enabling integration of clean and renewable energy, measures to implement new technologies to improve the grid, including system modernization, replacement of existing assets, and innovative solutions to reduce line losses.

“We’re looking across our network to find places where new and innovative solutions can be used to modernize the provincial grid,” said Peverett. “For example, the new Interior to Lower Mainland power line will include technology improvements that will save enough electricity to supply 30,000 to 50,000 homes. We will also have a new state of the art energy management system installed January 2008 that will enable us to run the grid to maximum efficiency, increasing service to customers.”

BCTC’s F2009 – F2018 Capital Plan details capital investment for the next year and provides an outlook of potential investments for the next ten years. The plan is filed for approval with the BC Utilities Commission, the body responsible for regulating the province’s utilities on behalf of ratepayers.

To learn more about the capital plan and our commitment to ensuring British Columbians continue to benefit from a clean, efficient and reliable supply of electricity, visit www.bctc.com.

BCTC is the Crown corporation that plans, operates and maintains the province’s publicly owned electrical transmission system.
http://www.bctc.com/NR/rdonlyres/86C4D5A8-288F-4169-9196-0B7AF2BF6095/0/NRCapPlan200809Jan10_08.pdf



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