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M II A II R II K
Apr 27, 2012, 8:50 PM
The Most (and Least) Peaceful Places in America


Apr 24, 2012

By Richard Florida

http://cdn.theatlanticcities.com/img/site/logo.gif

Read More: http://www.theatlanticcities.com/politics/2012/04/most-and-least-peaceful-places-america/857/

Interactive Peace Index: http://www.visionofhumanity.org/uspeaceindex/

The United States is significantly less violent and more peaceful than it used to be, according to the United States Peace Index 2012 from the Institute for Economics and Peace. The State Peace Index is based on five factors: the homicide rate, violent crime rate, incarceration rate, police presence, and availability of small arms.That said, the U.S. remains significantly less peaceful than other advanced nations, according to the report. It is one of only two OECD nations that are not among the top 50 most peaceful nations in the world. As the reports notes, "this is primarily the result of having the world’s highest incarceration rate, as well as extensive military spending and involvement in multiple military campaigns.”

- America does perform better than the OECD average on two of five global peace indicators: violent crime and police presence. Still, violence costs the U.S. economy an estimated $460 billion a year, or $3,217 per taxpayer (including direct and indirect costs), according the the report. The good news is over the past year, a majority of states, 35 of 50, became more peaceful. However, there is substantial geographic variation. New England ranks as the nation’s most peaceful region with the lowest scores; Maine is the nation’s most peaceful state, followed by New Hampshire and Vermont. Minnesota and Utah are fourth and fifth; North Dakota, Washington, Hawaii, Rhode Island, and Iowa round out the top ten. Louisiana is the least peaceful state on the State Peace Index, followed by Tennessee, Nevada, Florida, and Arizona. Missouri, Texas, Arkansas, South Carolina, and Mississippi round out the ten least peaceful states.

- Cambridge, Massachusetts, tops the list as the most peaceful metro, followed by Edison-New Brunswick, New Jersey, and Seattle, Washington. Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota, and Peabody, Massachusetts, rank fourth and fifth. Providence, Rhode Island, Lake County-Kenosha County, Illinois-Wisconsin, Nassau-Suffolk, New York, Salt Lake City, Utah, and Portland, Oregon, round out the top ten. The least peaceful metros were Detroit, New Orleans, and Miami. The report includes correlations for a range of economic, social, and demographic factors, including poverty, income inequality, education levels, infant mortality, and teen pregnancy, among others. With the help of my MPI colleague Charlotta Mellander, I ran a few of my own. As usual, I point out that correlation does not imply causation. Still, the findings point to a number of interesting patterns. Two factors that stand out are poverty and inequality. Higher levels of violence and lower levels of peace are closely associated with both, at the state and metro levels. The report finds one of the very highest correlations between lack of peace and the percentage of children living in single parent households.

- The report found close associations between peace and several key indicators of community health, including, not surprisingly, life expectancy. But levels of peace are significantly lower in states where greater percentages of people lack health insurance. And, the report finds especially strong correlations between the lack of peace at the state level and higher levels of teen pregnancy and infant mortality. Our own analysis suggests that religion plays a role as well. We find a considerable negative correlation between the State Peace Index and the share of state residents that are "very religious" (according to Gallup surveys). Counter-intuitively perhaps, the more religious a state is, the less peaceful it is. We also found modest associations between peace at the state level and political orientation, with levels of peace being higher in states that voted for President Barack Obama and lower in states that voted for Senator John McCain.

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http://i.imgur.com/VzbE6.png




The map below by Zara Matheson of the Martin Prosperity Institute (based on data from the report) shows where states fall on the Index. The higher its score, the less peaceful a state is.

http://cdn.theatlanticcities.com/img/upload/2012/04/19/peace-us-states-map-zara-600.jpg




Institute's Metro Peace Index across the United States.

http://cdn.theatlanticcities.com/img/upload/2012/04/19/peace_index-metro-map-top-bottom-5-600.jpg

MonkeyRonin
Apr 27, 2012, 9:52 PM
Since when is Cambridge a separate metro from Boston?

antinimby
Apr 27, 2012, 9:57 PM
Hmmm...just from experience, I thought PDX was more peaceful than Seattle.

JDRCRASH
Apr 27, 2012, 10:06 PM
I would put Santa Cruz, Monterey, and the rest of the California Central Coast on there.

SHiRO
Apr 27, 2012, 10:32 PM
Global Peace Index:

http://www.visionofhumanity.org/gpi-data/#/2011/scor

1 Iceland 1.148
2 New Zealand 1.279
3 Japan 1.287
4 Denmark 1.289
5 Czech Republic 1.320
6 Austria 1.337
7 Finland 1.352
8 Canada 1.355
9 Norway 1.356
10 Slovenia 1.358
11 Ireland 1.370
12 Qatar 1.398
13 Sweden 1.401
14 Belgium 1.413
15 Germany 1.416
16 Switzerland 1.421
17 Portugal 1.453
18 Australia 1.455
19 Malaysia 1.467
20 Hungary 1.495
21 Uruguay 1.521
22 Poland 1.545
23 Slovakia 1.576
24 Singapore 1.585
25 Netherlands 1.628
26 United Kingdom 1.631
27 Taiwan 1.638
28 Spain 1.641
29 Kuwait 1.667
30 Viet Nam 1.670
31 Costa Rica 1.681
32 Lao People's Democratic Republic 1.687
33 United Arab Emirates 1.690
34 Bhutan 1.693
35 Botswana 1.695
36 France 1.697
37 Croatia 1.699
38 Chile 1.710
39 Malawi 1.740
40 Romania 1.742
41 Oman 1.743
42 Ghana 1.752
43 Lithuania 1.760
44 Tunisia 1.765
45 Italy 1.775
46 Latvia 1.793
47 Estonia 1.798
48 Mozambique 1.809
49 Panama 1.812
50 Korea, Republic of 1.829
51 Burkina Faso 1.832
52 Zambia 1.833
53 Bulgaria 1.845
54 Namibia 1.850
55 Argentina 1.852
56 Tanzania, United Republic of 1.858
57 Mongolia 1.880
58 Morocco 1.887
59 Moldova, Republic of 1.892
60 Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.893
61 Sierra Leone 1.904
62 Gambia 1.910
63 Albania 1.912
64 Jordan 1.918
65 Greece 1.947
66 Paraguay 1.954
67 Cuba 1.964
68 Indonesia 1.979
69 Swaziland 1.995
69 Ukraine 1.995
71 Cyprus 2.013
72 Nicaragua 2.021
73 Egypt 2.023
74 Brazil 2.040
75 Equatorial Guinea 2.041
76 Bolivia 2.045
77 Senegal 2.047
78 Macedonia, the Former Yugoslav Republic of 2.048
79 Trinidad and Tobago 2.051
80 China 2.054
81 Gabon 2.059
82 United States 2.063
83 Bangladesh 2.070
84 Serbia, Republic of 2.071
85 Peru 2.077
86 Cameroon 2.104
87 Angola 2.109
88 Guyana 2.112
89 Montenegro 2.113
90 Ecuador 2.116
91 Dominican Republic 2.125
92 Guinea 2.126
93 Kazakhstan 2.137
94 Papua New Guinea 2.139
95 Nepal 2.152
96 Liberia 2.159
96 Uganda 2.159
98 Congo 2.165
99 Rwanda 2.185
100 Mali 2.188
101 Saudi Arabia 2.192
102 El Salvador 2.215
103 Tajikistan 2.225
104 Eritrea 2.227
105 Madagascar 2.239
106 Jamaica 2.244
107 Thailand 2.247
108 Turkmenistan 2.248
109 Uzbekistan 2.260
109 Armenia 2.260
111 Kenya 2.276
112 Belarus 2.283
113 Haiti 2.288
114 Kyrgyzstan 2.296
115 Cambodia 2.301
116 Syrian Arab Republic 2.322
117 Honduras 2.327
118 South Africa 2.353
119 Iran, Islamic Republic of 2.356
119 Niger 2.356
121 Mexico 2.362
122 Azerbaijan 2.379
123 Bahrain 2.398
124 Venezuela 2.403
125 Guatemala 2.405
126 Sri Lanka 2.407
127 Turkey 2.411
128 Cote D'Ivoire 2.417
129 Algeria 2.423
130 Mauritania 2.425
131 Ethiopia 2.468
132 Burundi 2.532
133 Myanmar 2.538
134 Georgia 2.558
135 India 2.570
136 Philippines 2.574
137 Lebanon 2.597
138 Yemen 2.670
139 Colombia 2.700
140 Zimbabwe 2.722
141 Chad 2.740
142 Nigeria 2.743
143 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya 2.816
144 Central African Republic 2.869
145 Israel 2.901
146 Pakistan 2.905
147 Russian Federation 2.966
148 Congo, the Democratic Republic of the 3.016
149 Korea, Democratic People's Republic of 3.092
150 Afghanistan 3.212
151 Sudan 3.223
152 Iraq 3.296
153 Somalia 3.379

tyler1
Apr 27, 2012, 10:40 PM
^Christ - if the US is ranked #82 right now, how awfully were we ranked back when the country was even more violent?

tech12
Apr 27, 2012, 10:47 PM
Since when is Cambridge a separate metro from Boston?

And in that vein, since when is Oakland a separate metro from SF?

Answer: It's because they're using metro DIVISIONS in those specific cases, rather than entire metro areas (metro divisions = parts of entire metro areas). Apples to oranges comparisons in a list published in some magazine/website/newspaper? How surprising.

Jonboy1983
Apr 27, 2012, 11:00 PM
Camden, New Jersey??? REALLY??? They're somehow more peaceful than Philadelphia (51) and Pittsburgh (17)? Have any of these boobs been to Camden?

A few years ago it was the most dangerous city in the country and still ranks among the most dangerous.

BnaBreaker
Apr 27, 2012, 11:31 PM
That New Orleans ranking is skewed. Nearly all homicides in the New Orleans metro are drug crime related. The same can be said for most cities, but the stats are even more skewed in New Orleans.

ardecila
Apr 27, 2012, 11:47 PM
That New Orleans ranking is skewed. Nearly all homicides in the New Orleans metro are drug crime related. The same can be said for most cities, but the stats are even more skewed in New Orleans.

I don't see how that's the problem of the survey. We are #1 and #2 in several categories of violent crime; there's no getting around the fact.

Now, is the city a warzone? No, not at all. It was only 2 or 3 years ago that Central City had the highest murder rate in the city (and a well-known study estimated the number of incarcerated residents to be roughly 50%). Now the neighborhood's main street, OC Haley, is buzzing to life with several construction projects, and surrounding streets have seen numerous infill houses and volunteer projects.

On the other hand, there is an elevated risk on the streets of New Orleans as compared to other cities, and violent crime does occur in places like the French Quarter and Riverbend that are supposedly safe, stable areas. The way that the city's wealthier, more stable neighborhoods hug the river in a long corridor means that it is geographically easy for criminals to move between impoverished and stable areas to commit crimes.

Crime is undoubtedly a huge problem that we need to tackle, but at the moment it isn't preventing the city from growing. In the long run, NOPD reforms will make policing more effective and school reforms will help reduce the poverty that contributes to violence.

Thundertubs
Apr 28, 2012, 12:06 AM
Camden, New Jersey??? REALLY??? They're somehow more peaceful than Philadelphia (51) and Pittsburgh (17)? Have any of these boobs been to Camden?

A few years ago it was the most dangerous city in the country and still ranks among the most dangerous.

It seems they are using parts of metro areas rather than the actual city limits. Outside of Camden itself, Camden County is mostly pretty nice. It must be enough to balance out Camden city, which only has around 70k people anyway.

LMich
Apr 28, 2012, 12:55 AM
Oh, God. They are using metro divisions, again. Well, at least they are using it through-out instead of comparing metro divisions with full MSAs. I'm so used to these studies using Detroit's Wayne County MSA division and comparing it with full MSAs.

M II A II R II K
Apr 28, 2012, 1:28 AM
^Christ - if the US is ranked #82 right now, how awfully were we ranked back when the country was even more violent?

It would seem that too many factors were thrown in to come up with those global rankings and that a domestic one would make more sense and provide greater insight.

In poorer democracies listed higher than the US, there are places where the police are corrupt and can be bribed, as well as regular kidnappings for ransom if a family is known to have lots of money.

At least in the US if you stay away from trouble you're not likely to find it, but the same can't be said for some Caribbean islands or places in Latin America.

jcchii
Apr 28, 2012, 3:22 AM
Chicago and peace go together like Cain and Abel

The Dirt
Apr 28, 2012, 4:19 AM
Where the hell is Denver?

quattordici
Apr 28, 2012, 5:25 AM
That New Orleans ranking is skewed. Nearly all homicides in the New Orleans metro are drug crime related. The same can be said for most cities, but the stats are even more skewed in New Orleans.

Doesn't change the fact that a certain level of crime occurs in the city.

That being said, I must say that I'm surprised by Birmingham's ranking. Perhaps the drainage of the city into the suburbs has led to a reduction in violence? Who knows... A few years a go we had a come to Jesus moment, but I don't know if citizens are still taking that into consideration. Either way, maybe there is hope? :shrug:

Ch.G, Ch.G
Apr 28, 2012, 5:27 AM
I didn't think Richard Florida could get any more annoying.

TarHeelJ
Apr 29, 2012, 2:34 AM
Where the hell is Denver?

I noticed a couple of large metros that are missing...this isn't much of a "report", more like something someone threw together. It's definitely not breaking news. :)

summersm343
Apr 29, 2012, 2:27 PM
It seems they are using parts of metro areas rather than the actual city limits. Outside of Camden itself, Camden County is mostly pretty nice. It must be enough to balance out Camden city, which only has around 70k people anyway.

But these areas are all within the Philly metro... so how does that make sense?

Larry King
Apr 29, 2012, 3:00 PM
I didn't think Richard Florida could get any more annoying.

agreed

total hack

JManc
Apr 29, 2012, 4:43 PM
why is he a hack? because he does not portray urban areas as the utopia many of this forum would believe them to be. sounds like he's pretty much on the mark. i can attest to houston being very violent.

TarHeelJ
Apr 29, 2012, 5:10 PM
why is he a hack? because he does not portray urban areas as the utopia many of this forum would believe them to be. sounds like he's pretty much on the mark. i can attest to houston being very violent.

Well I'm sure you can also attest to the fact that only certain areas of any city are very violent, while others (the majority of any city) are quite peaceful. It seems irresponsible to call an entire city "violent" when it's only a small area of the city. I can definitely say that, in my experience, most of Houston isn't violent at all - it's very peaceful. I guess I've never seen the violent parts because they are few and far between.

all of the trash
Apr 29, 2012, 6:01 PM
More fearmongering garbage.

Ch.G, Ch.G
Apr 29, 2012, 7:17 PM
why is he a hack? because he does not portray urban areas as the utopia many of this forum would believe them to be. sounds like he's pretty much on the mark. i can attest to houston being very violent.

Apparently you've never heard his labored "creative class" argument...



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