2011, Q1-3 Population Growth Rates (est)
Stats Can just released their latest batch of population estimates, running up to Q3 2011.
Overall no real surprises: Ontario leads in absolute numbers, Alberta in percentages, but there are some interesting trends and tibits. I only played with the numbers for the big 4, but here are some views Population Estimates for Oct 2011 Canada: 34,605,346 ON: 13.422,912 QC: 8,002,098 BC: 4,592,034 AB: 3,798,791 Growth, 2011 YTD, total / % Canada: 311,828 / .91% ON: 123,671 / .93% QC: 61,880 / .78% BC: 40,292 / .89% AB: 56,598 / 1.51% Natural Increase (births -deaths) Canada; 104,979 ON: 37,903 QC: 22,300 BC: 10,071 AB: 23,866 Inter-Provincial Migration ON: -2027 QC: -2703 BC: -1567 AB: 13131 International Migration Canada: 206,869 ON: 87,794 (42.4%) QC: 42,283 (20.4%) BC: 31,788 (15.4%) AB: 19,601 (9.5%) Some observations: Based on the current growth trends, Canada’s population may be over 35M by Feb 2012, Alberta may be over 4M by early 2013, Ontario may also hit 14M by early 2013 and BC may hit 5M in late 2014. Of course these estimates are wild ass at best, but it will be interesting to see when these milestones are hit. The big 4 take in 87.7% of all international immigrants and make up 86.2% of the population ... meaning the immigrant to population link is almost as it should be ... no real surprise. Alberta totally owns interprovincial migration, BC saw negative interprovincal migration in all three quarters and both Ontario and Quebec had a mix of positive and negative (but mainly negative). In natural growth (births less deaths) Alberta has higher absolute growth than Quebec with less than half the population! Yes it is true that the median age in Alberta is much lower than Quebec’s, but it is still shocking to see this much of a difference! And if you’re interested on how things looked a year ago … http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=190164 |
Manitoba has the 2nd highest growth rate in Canada after Alberta we grew by 15,700 people or 1.37% The West is just leaving Quebec and the Maritimes in the dust.
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There was an error in the table regarding total growth for Quebec. I have changed the numbers.
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I think maintoba was 3rd in population growth. Well sask was ranked 2nd in growth
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Sask was 1052000 last year this year 1063000 Man was 1243000 last year this year 1258000 growth rates are tied.
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By the stats can population clock Manitoba grows 5 minutes per person faster than Sask. I can't let Rider people win!
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/ig-gi/pop-sk-eng.htm http://www.statcan.gc.ca/ig-gi/pop-mb-eng.htm |
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Are there predictions for specific cites as well ?
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ON: 123,671 QC: 61,880 |
Annual growth right?
Because that can't be the amount of growth since 2006! Too little for five years. |
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By 2020 Ontario might be able to hit 17 million, on track for 21 million by 2030.
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I meant all of Western Canada but if I live long enough in 200,000 years it will be Manitoba time!
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This obsession that some people here have with overtaking other areas of the country in population is really bizarre...
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BTW, before anyone gets too hung up on these numbers - first they are estimates (albeit very good ones) and these growth numbers will change dramatically over time. Simply go to the SC website and look at the historical numbers. Anyway, enjoy the numbers, explore the analysis, and remember as always my {insert city name here} is always better than your {insert city name here}. ;) |
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