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Self-driven cars will impact every city, not just Philly. Where Philly stands out is rail infrastructure. Self-driven cars still need a place to park. It will put more cars on the streets and they will be more congested. Every progressive city in the world is investing bigly in rail, as well as every other concept coming. The key is infrastructure investment, in all forms. Philly has the rails that other cities are trying to put into place. The impact of the connection to NYC and DC can not be under estimated. Frankly, it's what is saving Philly.
The NE Corridor is the strength of the NE and is linked by rail. As far as "walkable" cities, few beat Philly. Play to your strengths, and your history. |
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You nailed it! Decentralization will be back in vogue when self driven cars hit the road. There is an ebb and flow to everything. The city was everything, then came cars and suburbs became the thing. We are likely seeing the peak of city revitalization before self driven cars changes everything again. |
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Global warming is not going to become less of a problem as time goes on. Even if self driven cars are an entirely electric fleet, it still won't offset how incredibly inefficient suburban living is. Personal carbon footprints, energy efficient societies. These factors will have a greater impact than self driven cars and dense city living is the key to energy efficiency. So you see, playing with future is tricky and requires looking at more than one factor. Self driven cars are close to being introduced to the public. But they will only have a significant affect on traffic congestion when they are the only such cars on the highway. Considering how much americans love driving their cars your previous assertion that this will be happening by the 2030s is super optimistic. You're talking about something that is many many years in the future, it's impossible to say what will happen that far in the future. Public transit is incredibly important now and it is FAR too soon to write it off as unimportant to the future. |
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Folks are not going to think twice about carbon footprints. They will see the opportunity to buy a nice home with some land surrounding it and will jump at it. Self driven cars will simply make the commute to the ex-burbs that much easier. Maybe the 2030's will be a little quick, though if you look at how technology gets adapted over the last 30 years, it is quite realistic. Those that are being born today will be the driving force behind how society is going to radically change when self driven cars become the norm... |
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Also, while you are very optimistic about the advances in self driving cars, you totally ignore the advances that could be made in mass transit in the same period, so that even if self driving cars do everything you dream of, they still could end up less important than a superspeed train. My main point though, is who the hell knows what is going to be happening in 30 years. Mass transit is immensely important today and the near future. Making decisions today regarding what may or may not happen decades down the line that could make mass transit obsolete is foolhardy. |
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Funding may one day come for a hyperloop system, but that will occurs years, if not decades, after self-driven cars arrive. |
Driverless cars will play a part. Not the only part, and I hope not the biggest part. I believe it will be a combination of many and depending on your driving needs. There is a reason transit hubs are making come backs. Demand. Congestion and parking is simply making it more reasonable to take other means.
If you're running errands around the Walmart-land, your driverless car is the way to go. Headed to CC. You'd probably want to take the train. City dwellers shouldn't have to rely on a single form of transportation. That is the advantage of living in the city. Philly has a strong rail infrastructure. It only makes sense to build on that. |
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2. Will broadband infrastructure continue to expand and improve? If the answers to both are yes, how much longer will we have central cities for work? It's only a matter of time before going to work means going to an office in your home / apartment. Honestly, how society will function in 30-50 years will be completely different than what we see today and what we expect it to be like decades from now. |
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Trains are cool and good, while self-driving cars are dumb and bad.
I think this is a good real estate project. |
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Self driving cars will only turn stop and go jams into a plodding conveyor belt of cars. They do not solve the fact that a single person in a single car is an inefficient use of space and infrastructure. What they will do is cut down on the need for onsite parking freeing up more land for development.
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