Quote:
Originally Posted by 2oh1
(Post 6746190)
It's not that we can't think beyond the current project. It's that a subway is probably a minimum of 50 years away. If there were any evidence that planning would begin in the next decade - note that I said planning, not even construction - if there were any evidence that planning for a subway would begin in the next decade, or if there were any evidence that anyone at Trimet was seriously discussing even just the possibility of a subway, there would probably be quite a bit of interest in the topic.
This thread is about Trimet news, but there's no news about a subway other than the article I linked to where Trimet said it's not going to happen.
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50 years away seems absurd. In the past 20 years TriMet/Portland has opened up the Red, Yellow and Green MAX lines, plus the entire streetcar system, and WES.
They already have the Powell/Division Not-Quite-BRT planned for the next decade and are actively working on the SW Corridor. The city has already started discussing where new Streetcar lines will go.
Clackamas County, Tigard and Tualatin have all challenged additional rail projects, and the Steel Bridge is at capacity. Without a major overhaul of the Steel Bridge there's no new capacity between the east and west sides of the river, and the Mall is going to have three trains already regularly running on it. Four if the SW Corridor happens.
There are already backups from trains crossing at the Transit Mall and Pioneer Courthouse Square. The downtown blocks limit the length of trains, and they can't add additional East/West trains without finding ways to handle more trains downtown.
The Orange and Green lines aren't going to be expanded to Clackamas anytime soon, the Yellow to Vancouver seems unlikely anytime soon, and even if the Blue line is extended to Forest Grove and Troutdale it doesn't allow higher frequency without cutting Green or Red line service. Powell/Division is going to be buses, so that's not a MAX project.
Do you really think TriMet is going to wait a few decades before chasing more federal money for MAX expansion?
Adding a new line on either side is unlikely without expanding the downtown system, or at least adding places to turn the trains around without using the Steel Bridge.
Given the cost of the Orange Line (~$1.5 billion) and the projected cost of the SW Corridor (I've heard ~$2 billion to ~$4 billion) a downtown tunnel doesn't seem like it would be that far down the list.
I'd be surprised if it's not under at least deep in the planning phase in the next dozen years.