[someone123]

There's always a tendency to extrapolate the most recent census growth rates, but things change.

Ten years ago Windsor was one of the fastest-growing CMAs in Canada, for example, and people on this forum made all sorts of predictions about how it would overtake other cities in the future. The 1996-2001 census figures reported that Saskatoon grew by 3.1% and Saskatchewan's population growth was -1.1%. Back then people announced that Saskatchewan was obviously finished.

Part of the real explanation here is that some cities have a boom-bust economy while others grow more steadily over time.