Quote:
Originally Posted by 1overcosc
given advance polling data, Clinton has probably already won Nevada...
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That's not even close to true. All early voting data tells you is that registered Democrats have voted +5% over registered Republicans. It doesn't tell you who they voted for, and I remind you that both Clinton and Trump have historically high unfavorability ratings. There is no guarantees about how registered Democrats or registered Republicans are actually voting.
Furthermore, compared to 2012, registered Democrats were +7% in Nevada above registered Republicans. This year, they are only +5%, which could signal relative voter apathy among Democrats, and may also signal relative dissatisfaction with Clinton as the nominee.
Finally, a full 20%+ of the early vote is independents, and we have no idea how they are voting.
There are some who want to claim early victory in Nevada for Clinton, but that is far from the case. We won't really know until tomorrow.