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Old Posted Sep 24, 2009, 11:21 PM
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Wright Concept Wright Concept is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Long Beach, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LosAngelesSportsFan View Post
49,000 additional riders with the extension to westwood? that seems way to low. Wright, whats your take?

That number is good conservative value given:

* The ridership is based on current and under construction Metro Rail system (Red/Purple, Blue, Green, Gold, ELA Gold and Expo to Culver City)

* It doesn't factor any other Measure R project unless that line is under construction or near completion,

* It is assuming a shift mostly from the existing Rapid bus 720,

* FTA only factors in the developments if they are directly connected to the project such as TOD. No such assumption was made or could be made.

* Along the corridor from Westwood to Wilshire/Western, ridership wise the weakest section of the line is from Wilshire La Cienega to Wilshire/Western, so half of the line.

* 49,000 new boardings is still very good for the 8 mile corridor, that is roughly 6,000 riders/mile which is a good value.

So 49,000 is a good baseline conservative value which is enough to garner a needed Medium FTA cost-effectiveness score because it would move many riders who are travelling longer regional distances. Do I think the ridership for this corridor should be higher, yes to roughly 9000 to upwards of 12,000 riders/mile or 72,000-96,000 riders would be the more likely range once we include other projects and improvements in the next few years under Measure R.
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