[DenverInfill]

Clearly there's a difference between gubernatorial and presidential elections, but to the degree that the 2008 presidential election can inform us of the attitudes of Denver metro voters in this upcoming election, consider:

2008 Presidential Election (left column Obama, right column McCain)

Adams
90,113 62,321

Arapahoe
128,366 100,409

Broomfield
16,031 12,675

Boulder
115,339 41,644

Denver
195,499 60,226

Douglas
51,813 73,225

Jefferson
155,020 129,291
-----------

Total
752,181 479,791
61% 39%


Again, considering Hickenlooper's popularity in Denver and the metro area, if he could rack up numbers even close to these in 2010, and with Pueblo and the ski and college towns kicking in expected victories too, it could be a relatively easy win, IMO.