Quote:
Originally Posted by MonctonRad
The NDP might still win about 8-10 seats in traditional areas of Ontario, like the GGHA, metro Windsor and perhaps NW Ontario, but that's it.
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Outside of downtown Toronto and some university areas, forget it. I don't think the average auto worker/blue collar union type (Windsor area, Oshawa, parts of London, etc.) is looking at the Leap Manifesto agenda. I know they are not economically conservative and want protectionism, but they certainly don't want the radical environmentalism or hipster culture. I see those votes becoming up for grabs - the question is whether the Liberals or Conservatives would be more likely to take them since they are a natural fit with the "old school" NDP.
The Leap Manifesto would probably do OK in urban Montreal (i.e. the core in the Quebec Solidaire ridings) where the general political views are hard left. However, the rest of the Quebec seats would likely float all over the place - Liberal in Greater Montreal, Bloc or Conservative elsewhere.