View Single Post
  #10  
Old Posted Aug 14, 2015, 1:40 AM
C. C. is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 3,018
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hamilton View Post
Sorry, but your analysis is flawed. You're comparing apples to oranges by looking at month-over-month growth. Ridership always grows between January and June, as the weather gets nicer and people use the system more to go out and go on trips. These sorts of analyses should always take seasonality into account: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seasonality

Weekday ridership has only grown 2.2% year-to-date this year. Here's the true year-over-year growth for the system by month:

Weekday Ridership:
Jan -1.6%
Feb 5.2%
Mar 0.9%
Apr 2.2%
May 3.6%
Jun 3.0%
YTD: 2.2%

Total Ridership:
Jan: -4.5%
Feb: 2.2%
Mar: 3.4%
Apr: 3.0%
May: 1.4%
Jun: 5.9%
YTD: 2.0%

(Sources: http://www.panynj.gov/path/pdf/path-...eport-2014.pdf , http://www.panynj.gov/path/pdf/2015-...hip-Report.pdf )

Not quite as dramatic as the numbers you provided, but solid growth nonetheless.
I now see the error of my ways. Thanks!
Reply With Quote