Quote:
Originally Posted by CIA
New York City was at 8.4 million in 2013, which was up 69,000 from 2012. Therefore, not only is 8.5 million in 2015 is perfectly doable, it would even be below current trends. Maybe the numbers given in the link are stale after all?
|
Again, it's hard to tell, since chris's link doesn't cite a source, but the numbers in chris's link line up with the Department of City Planning's outdated 2006 projections: (
http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/pdf/cens...ng_booklet.pdf). In their latest projections released in December 2013 (
http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/pdf/cens..._2010_2040.pdf), they project 9 million people by 2040, rather than the 9.2 million people by 2030 that their 2006 report had predicted:
Here is the projection trend, according to DCP's 2013 report:
- 2010 8,242,624
- 2020 8,550,971
- 2030 8,821,027
- 2040 9,025,145
We'll see if DCP revises their figures upward next time their projections are released. I'm not optimistic. Remember that the 2004-2010 Census estimates wildly overestimated the actual 2010 Census count for NYC, which is what led to the higher 2006 projections. So just because the Census estimates are at 8.4 million now, doesn't mean that the Census would actually count that many people if it were taken today.
Anyway, it's important not to post stale and unattributed numbers in this thread, as they sow confusion and misinformation.