[lio45]

Probably a minority Liberal govt.

It's really hard to tell because so many Quebec seats will be 3- and 4- way races that will be decided by a hair (last federal election, some Quebec ridings were won by as low as 28% in four-way FPTP races).

We don't even know yet if the Feds will be picking fights with our (very likely) new government in the interval, which is yet another variable. We have no one to vote for so we might throw away our votes on a whim. Maybe falling in love with a new Jack Layton from out of nowhere and giving him most of our federal seats again - though that person should start to hurry, it's getting late to show up...