Quote:
Originally Posted by SnyderBock
Qwest is looking for a new home too. What do you guys think Qwest will end up doing? It looks like they will need at least 800,000sq.ft. Are they thinking Two Tabor? Seems two Tabor and it's proposed ~850,000sq.ft. size would be a perfect fit.
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Tabor II couldn't be comfortably built in time for Qwest's lease on 1801 California to expire in 2012. The building would not only have to be topped out but also move-in ready, which, if Four Seasons is any indication, can occur an entire year after topping out for a building of that scale. The risk of delays through trouble in financing in the early stages is even greater in today's economic climate. I'm not intentionally trying to be pessimistic or negative, but I'd pretty much just knock Tabor II off as a possibility for Qwest.
I think Qwest wants to stay in 1801 California but will not renew the current lease because it requires them to commit to the entire building; they'd rather have maybe 3/4 or 2/3 of the building.
Don't assume the company is being totally honest about its motives. They're floating rumors that they would consider moving to another building, but that might just be to make the owners of 1801 California more desperate and therefore more flexible. Think about how hard it would be for them to re-fill 1801 California in entirety right now. If Qwest wants to shrink its size in the building and get a good deal, they'll bluff.
Looking a little deeper, I think Qwest could be keeping itself flexible for mergers. It will be more attractive to other companies if it is not committed to a very substantial and expensive lease. Worst case scenario is that Qwest is looking to be bought out by another company such as Comcast, and Denver is in risk of losing the headquarters.
The MOST likely scenario, I think, is that Qwest just wants to lay a bunch of people off and rent 60% of 1801 California, and it will get its way and another company will move in to the remaining floors.