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  #301  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2017, 5:37 PM
MalcolmTucker MalcolmTucker is offline
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Some maps from Statscan today:

Calgary CMA:


Calgary Proper:


Calgary, continuous occupied area [Population Centre]:


Calgary, Economic Region:
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  #302  
Old Posted Feb 14, 2017, 7:37 PM
kora kora is offline
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Alberta Finance usually produces a nice report for every census release

http://www.finance.alberta.ca/abouta...ing-counts.pdf
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  #303  
Old Posted Feb 24, 2017, 5:44 PM
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vaportrail vaportrail is offline
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^ Other than for the multiple references to Minnesota (MN).
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  #304  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2017, 2:48 AM
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Chadillaccc Chadillaccc is offline
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Delete.
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Last edited by Chadillaccc; Mar 16, 2017 at 3:17 AM.
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  #305  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2017, 3:16 AM
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Chadillaccc Chadillaccc is offline
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Assuming 10% growth for the Calgary Economic Region between 2016 and 2031, the Calgary Economic Region will reach 2 020 000 by census 2031. Keep in mind though, that 10% would be a significant drop from what we have been experiencing for the past 20 years. This may be in store for sure.


Alternatively, if we grow by the same rate we just grew at over the last census, 14.3%, we'll be 2 290 000 by 2031, meaning the CMA will be almost 2.2 million even if Foothills M.D. isn't included by then. Guess if those pipelines are built we'll be into some really good times!
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  #306  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2017, 8:16 PM
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LeftCoaster LeftCoaster is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
Assuming 10% growth for the Calgary Economic Region between 2016 and 2031, the Calgary Economic Region will reach 2 020 000 by census 2031. Keep in mind though, that 10% would be a significant drop from what we have been experiencing for the past 20 years. This may be in store for sure.
I'm not sure I follow your math here Chad.

Assuming a 10% growth rate over 15 years or .67% average annual growth rate, that implies that the current 2016 population of the CER is 1.83 million. That seems astoundingly high to me.

Alternatively I think your growth rate is too low. 0.67% is anemic, and even if oil doesn't recover soon, which seems likely, that still seems low to me. I think Calgary's stabilized growth rate over the next 5-10 years will be somewhere in the 1.1-1.3% AAGR range.
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  #307  
Old Posted Jul 31, 2017, 3:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LeftCoaster View Post
I'm not sure I follow your math here Chad.

Assuming a 10% growth rate over 15 years or .67% average annual growth rate, that implies that the current 2016 population of the CER is 1.83 million. That seems astoundingly high to me.

Alternatively I think your growth rate is too low. 0.67% is anemic, and even if oil doesn't recover soon, which seems likely, that still seems low to me. I think Calgary's stabilized growth rate over the next 5-10 years will be somewhere in the 1.1-1.3% AAGR range.
The Calgary CMA population is 1.4M today. Assuming moderate economic growth, it will add approximately 200K over the next ten years. We all like to argue these numbers, but I can close to guarantee (give or the take) 1.6M will be Calgary's CMA population in 2026. Only major unforeseen shocks (war, economic collapse or massive boom) can really shift the needle on bigger cities population counts.
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