Quote:
Originally Posted by Dengler Avenue
For Sudbury, thankfully, I think we all agree that the economic case is there. Political one as well.
For North Bay, the economic case is stretching it.
For Thunder Bay, ...
I mean, if people aren’t bothered that TCH is the only link between Western and Eastern Canada...
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I feel like a broken record, but why not.
You need 2 things for twinning a highway (or really any 'investment' by government).
1.
A plausible economic/demand case - there has to be enough usage or benefit to justify the thing you want. It could be a community college, a twinned highway, a hospital, whatever. It's why Sensenbrenner Hospital in Kapuskasing doesn't have an MRI machine, why there's only a 2 lane highway through most of Northern Ontario, why Dryden doesn't host a university.
2.
Political support. This is the person who will agitate on your behalf. For Highway 69, it was Rick Bartolucci who advocated tirelessly for it. When the Liberals took power, he was Minister of Northern Development and Mines. Nipissing was PC when the PCs were in power and Liberal when the Liberals were in power (until 2011).
Many of the Northern cities who helped keep the Liberals in power during that time got a lot of fancy new investments (hospitals, universities, highway expansion). The northern towns that went NDP didn't get nearly that much investment.
If both these factors work in concert together, investment is almost guaranteed. If one is weak, but the other is strong (as you mention, the highway to North Bay is economically weak, yet politically strong) one can aid the other. If there's active opposition to something (say, for instance, a proposed GTA West highway) it can scuttle what would otherwise be a slam-dunk from an economic case POV. If both are weak (as a twinned highway is in the North) it's a dead duck.
That's the rub with a twinned highway. The economic case is pretty weak (low AADT and high cost to build) and the rural regions that it passes through pretty much exclusively vote NDP (who hasn't been in government since 1995). Not exactly a winning recipe.