HomeDiagramsDatabaseMapsForumSkyscraper Posters
     

Go Back   SkyscraperPage Forum > Regional Sections > Canada

Reply

 
Thread Tools Display Modes
     
     
  #1  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 4:37 PM
dennis1 dennis1 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,253
Statscan CMA Projections 2031

In light of the recent talk of population, here are the CMA projections for 2031

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-551-...tbl028-eng.htm
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-551-...pp-ann-eng.htm
Toronto 9,764,000
Montréal 5,275,000
Vancouver 3,783,000 (Lower Mainland 4,173,637) (via http://www.bcstats.gov.bc.ca/data/po...owsperpage=all)
Calgary 2,003,000
Ottawa Hull 1,679,000
Edmonton 1,627,000
Winnipeg 945,000
Hamilton 984,000
Regina 222,000
Saskatoon 277,000
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #2  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 4:44 PM
SteelTown's Avatar
SteelTown SteelTown is offline
It's Hammer Time
 
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Hamilton
Posts: 18,543
They got Quebec City as 719,000 for 2031. That's a big slow down.

So it looks like Hamilton will be the next to hit the one million mark.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #3  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 4:46 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
^^ That's the high growth rate scenario ... optimist, but unlikely.
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #4  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 4:48 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
And T Bay rockets to 136K in the high growth scenario or 124K in the low growth. Where will everyone live???
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #5  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 4:49 PM
le calmar's Avatar
le calmar le calmar is offline
613er
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Ottawa
Posts: 3,259
If 719,000 is the optimist scenario for Quebec City, imagine the pessimist one! But it's surprising as the city keep growing at an honorable rate.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #6  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:02 PM
drew's Avatar
drew drew is offline
the first stamp is free
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Hippyville, Winnipeg
Posts: 5,749
Calgary is projected to basically double again in the next 20 years?

Really?
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #7  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:07 PM
Calgarian's Avatar
Calgarian Calgarian is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Calgary, AB
Posts: 22,415
Quote:
Originally Posted by drew View Post
Calgary is projected to basically double again in the next 20 years?

Really?
It's not impossible, we were about 700 000 20 years ago, now we are 1 200 000.
__________________
Git'er done!
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #8  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:12 PM
Calgarian's Avatar
Calgarian Calgarian is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Calgary, AB
Posts: 22,415
Imagine what the skylines will look like in 2031!
__________________
Git'er done!
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #9  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:30 PM
Acajack's Avatar
Acajack Acajack is offline
Monsieur Sainte-Nitouche
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Vieux Canada
Posts: 33,020
Unless I am reading them wrong, the Quebec City numbers sound like a mistake.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #10  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:31 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
Quote:
Originally Posted by le calmar View Post
If 719,000 is the optimist scenario for Quebec City, imagine the pessimist one!
Low growth scenario has QC at 664K.
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #11  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:44 PM
Wishblade's Avatar
Wishblade Wishblade is offline
You talkin' to me?
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Halifax, NS
Posts: 1,322
Yeah, there are some problems with the list for sure.

For Halifax it shows the high growth at 438k and low at 398k. Were already passed the low mark, and at current growth in 20 years our number should be around 500k. And looking at other cities, the numbers don't seem right for a few of em.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #12  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:49 PM
Acajack's Avatar
Acajack Acajack is offline
Monsieur Sainte-Nitouche
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Vieux Canada
Posts: 33,020
Quote:
Originally Posted by shreddog View Post
Low growth scenario has QC at 664K.
Which is I believe about 50,000 less than the current metro population.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #13  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:50 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
Quote:
Originally Posted by Acajack View Post
Unless I am reading them wrong, the Quebec City numbers sound like a mistake.
Why? Statscan has access to all kinds of information that you don't. Details like demographics, brith/death rates, municipal planning details, etc. While no one is beyond screwups, just because someone doesn't like how a city looks on the list doesn't mean that SC isn't right in their forecast.
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #14  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:53 PM
dennis1 dennis1 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,253
Quote:
Originally Posted by Acajack View Post
Unless I am reading them wrong, the Quebec City numbers sound like a mistake.
Hey Everyone for Quebec City always add it with Chaudière-Appalaches or Levis-Saint Georges

Quebec City, 1,207,346 (2031)
Capitale Nationale
2006 687,810
2031 767,596

Chaudière-Appalaches
2006 403,811
2031 438,878
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #15  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:54 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
Quote:
Originally Posted by Acajack View Post
Which is I believe about 50,000 less than the current metro population.
And T Bay's low growth scenario is less than its population in 1983. QC current median age is 41.7 - perhaps the SC model shows it entering a negative growth stage due to declining births (aging population) and low immigration levels. Without access to their models and data, you cannot say they screwed up. Remember, this is alow growth (in immigration) model.
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #16  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:55 PM
shreddog shreddog is offline
Beer me Captain
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: In a Van down by the river
Posts: 3,945
Quote:
Originally Posted by dennis1 View Post
Hey Everyone for Quebec City always add it with Chaudière-Appalaches or Levis-Saint Georges

Quebec City, 1,207,346 (2031)
Capitale Nationale
2006 687,810
2031 767,596

Chaudière-Appalaches
2006 403,811
2031 438,878
Why?
__________________
It really is later than you think!

Do something about your future.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #17  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:56 PM
dennis1 dennis1 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,253
Personall I'm shocked with MTL at 5 million.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #18  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:57 PM
dennis1 dennis1 is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 1,253
Quote:
Originally Posted by shreddog View Post
Why?
More accurate representation. Even Calgary is missing some areas.

EDIT: Lets get back on topic though.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #19  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 5:57 PM
MTLskyline's Avatar
MTLskyline MTLskyline is offline
The good old days are now
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Montreal
Posts: 3,977
Well 95% Quebec City's growth pretty much depends on procreation. At least, for the time being. As the birth rate dwindles, so does QC's population.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #20  
Old Posted Mar 16, 2010, 6:01 PM
Acajack's Avatar
Acajack Acajack is offline
Monsieur Sainte-Nitouche
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Vieux Canada
Posts: 33,020
Quote:
Originally Posted by shreddog View Post
Why? Statscan has access to all kinds of information that you don't. Details like demographics, brith/death rates, municipal planning details, etc. While no one is beyond screwups, just because someone doesn't like how a city looks on the list doesn't mean that SC isn't right in their forecast.
I don't live in Quebec City, have never lived there, and don't really care how it looks on the list.

I just find it odd that a city which has grown at one and a half times the rate of Winnipeg in the most recent census period and at close to the same rate as Hamilton, could slow down so dramatically to the point where it could totally stagnate or even lose population over the next 20 years, whereas the other two could potentially gain almost 200,000 each.
Reply With Quote
     
     
This discussion thread continues

Use the page links to the lower-right to go to the next page for additional posts
 
 
Reply

Go Back   SkyscraperPage Forum > Regional Sections > Canada
Forum Jump


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 9:48 AM.

     

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.