It's official: Calgary is a million strong
Growth slows but pressure still on city
Kim Guttormson, with files from Jamie Komarnicki and Colette DerworizCalgary Herald
Thursday, July 26, 2007
CREDIT: Darren Francey, Calgary Herald, City of Calgary 2007 CensusCalgary's Steady Growth: (See hard copy for graphic).
CREDIT: Darren Francey, Calgary Herald, City of Calgary 2007 CensusCalgary's Changing PopulationCalgary's population grew by 28,000 people in the past year, and for the first time, the city census shattered the million mark.
While growth slowed from 35,681 in the previous year, newcomers crowding into the city limits continued to strain civic resources.
"The last decade has shown that Calgary is clearly a magnet for growth, and accommodating that growth requires us to plan and build for the future," said Mayor Dave Bronconnier.
Bronconnier said a slight slowdown in the city's growth isn't necessarily bad news, as Calgary grapples with how to build the infrastructure necessary to accommodate so many new residents.
"A little bit of a slowdown is not such a bad thing," Bronconnier said.
"We can catch our breath, deal with the infrastructure challenges we have."
The city census released Wednesday, which covers the 12 months between April 2006 and April 2007, shows the city grew by 28,183 people during that period.
Of that, 10,552 were natural growth -- births minus deaths. The rest, 17,631, were from net migration -- those moving here minus those moving away.
It's the equivalent of 77 people a day streaming into Cowtown.
Harry Hiller, the director of the Calgary in-migration study at the University of Calgary, said it's no surprise the city's population explosion would slow down at some point.
"One of the things we keep forgetting is how high things really were," he said, pointing out last year's was still the third-highest increase.
The 2005-2006 census found that of the 35,681 in total city growth, more than 25,000 of that number was due to people moving here.
"A drop from 25,000 to 17,000 in net migration, that's minor," Hiller said.
He added that when you consider people are also moving out of the city, many more than 17,000 actually moved to Calgary last year.
But the downside of the boom is bound to act as a brake, he said.
"The fact is, there is so much negative implications to growth that word gets out," Hiller explained.
As the city's boom hit a high point last summer, stories began to surface about difficulties finding housing and labour.
Jennifer Pyykka, owner of Accurate Moving, opened her company 51/2 years ago after coming west from Winnipeg. But after difficulties retaining and finding staff, she and her husband are shutting down the company and moving back.
"It started about a year and a half ago. I don't even know how to describe it," she said. "At one point, we had 13 full-time staff. One month later, we were down to six full-time staff and a couple (of) part-timers.
"Within a few months of that, we had two full-time staff."
But Hiller said that while the growth brings problems, the city doesn't have anything to worry about yet.
"Normally, we'd expect more natural increase than migration. A city where the economy is growing and expanding, that's going to find net migration is higher," he said, which is the case in Calgary. "And it's been consistently higher for some time now."
Barb Clifford, the city's chief returning officer, said until recently the natural increase portion of the census had been declining.
"We were down around 6,000," she said. "Last year was one of the first years there was a significant increase over previous years, and this year it went up again from what it was last year.
"That is a reversal of what the trend was previously."
Bronconnier said the high number of births in the city will put a strain on resources over the next few years -- everything from day care and pools to libraries, recreation centres and schools.
The city's population now sits at 1,019,942, with most of those people living in the suburbs. Two new communities in the south grew by more than 200 per cent last year: Auburn Bay and Silverado. Twelve outlying neighbourhoods grew by more than 1,000 people last year.
But the Beltline, an inner-city community immediately south of downtown, also saw an increase of more than 1,000 residents. It's an example of the city's successful efforts to redevelop established neighbourhoods, said David Watson, the city's general manager of planning.
While the Beltline growth is encouraging, Watson said the city will still need to grow out as well as up.
"If you start thinking about how to get 17,000 people into the Beltline, you'd need a huge number of towers beyond what we've got now," he said. "There just isn't that amount of land.
"Since January, council has passed more than 4,000 acres in outline plans, all at higher densities than we've seen before. Even with the higher densities, it'll be a number of years before we're going to say we don't need to grow further out."
Bronconnier and city officials said the numbers weren't a surprise and fit in with long-term projections for growth and infrastructure needs.
But funding those needs will continue to be an issue, with the city still in discussions with the province over affordable housing money and infrastructure dollars.
"We see the (population increase) in this range for the next five years," the mayor said. "It speaks to a very positive economy and the need for long-term, sustainable funding to meet the challenges of growth."
kguttormson@theherald.canwest.com
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