Quote:
Originally Posted by whatnext
Not really, Kennedy Stewart won by just 547 votes last time. It is a sad but true fact that Indo-Canadians poll lower on civic election slates in Vancouver/Burnaby when voters have a choice. There is also a strong contingent of organized and conservatively bigotted Chinese voters in Burnaby, check this out:
https://bc.ctvnews.ca/burnaby-all-ca...asty-1.4122342
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Sorry but I don't trust those polls at all. Burnaby south as a riding has been in NDP hands for the better part of 30 or so years.
The reason it was in contention in 2015 was due to higher turnout among liberal supporters, not a conservative threat.
I still predict the NDP will win burnaby south as it's a riding that practically always swings that way.
Edit: The burnaby citizens coalition are an extremist faction in burnaby that runs in civic elections and always loses. The amount of right of centre extremists you point to in burnaby are much smaller in numbers than you make it seem. I doubt they'd be a factor much at all. Fact remains, the NDP has won this riding in every election federally and provincially for years, even the precursers of this riding were NDP going as far back as the 80s, possibly longer.
is the vote margin as large as back then? no, But Trudeau's Liberals are polling worse in BC than they were during the 2015 election while the NDP provincially is polling about the same.
As for the cons taking this riding? Yeah no, that won't happen.