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  #21  
Old Posted Feb 14, 2007, 5:16 PM
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Meltdown in office real estate feared
Report warns 'reckoning' approaching
Mario Toneguzzi Calgary Herald Wednesday, February 14, 2007


CREDIT: Dean Bicknell, Calgary Herald Randy Magnussen, head of Bentall Real Estate Services in Western Canada, at the official groundbreaking for the company's Jamieson Place office tower project on 4th Avenue and 2nd Street S.W.A national firm is warning that the Calgary office market is at risk of overheating given supply/demand issues and the resultant spike in rental rates.

The Barnicke Report -- Global Views, by J.J. Barnicke Limited, also says increasing construction costs in Alberta are becoming a concern and could put a damper on future capital projects. The report comes one day after Statistics Canada released a report showing the rise in Calgary construction costs led the nation in 2006, soaring by almost 19 per cent from the previous year. Also on Tuesday another report by RealNet Canada Inc., said a record number of commercial real estate transactions in 2006 represented $3.5 billion in business investment in the Calgary market with the sales volume increasing by 34 per cent from the previous year.

"Renewals at $45 per square foot (in Calgary) on an 'as is' basis are not sustainable," wrote Joseph Barnicke, chairman of J.J. Barnicke, in the Global Views report. "The day of reckoning will come in 2008-09 when three to four million square feet of new office supply comes on stream and is occupied from existing properties in the market . . . With the significant amount of supply coming on stream in Calgary, the market should prove very interesting. "Only the foolhardy would venture to make future projections on rents."

Randy Magnussen, senior vice-president and general manager, western region, for Bentall Capital, said the company currently has six buildings under various stages of development in Calgary totaling 2.5 million square feet. "Construction costs in the last probably 18 months have been going up about 1.5 per cent per month or about 18 per cent on an annualized basis," said Magnussen on Tuesday at the official ground breaking for the company's Jamieson Place 38-storey, 890,000 square foot, $300-million office tower at the corner of 4th Avenue and 2nd Street S.W. The building is already 56 per cent leased and is scheduled for completion in late 2009.
"One of the things that's allowed us as well as other developers to continue with the development programs of course is the fact that rental rates have increased at a similar rate . . . My belief is that construction costs will continue to increase but not at the same rate."

"What results in whether or not construction will continue is supply and demand. If the demand is still there, rental rates will probably increase to cover off the additional costs in construction," said Magnussen. Statistics Canada reported that Calgary had the largest increase in non-residential building construction costs of 18.8 per cent in the past year followed by Edmonton (16.6 per cent), Vancouver (12.9 per cent), Toronto (6.8 per cent), Ottawa and Gatineau, Que. (6.4 per cent), Halifax (4.9 per cent) and Montreal (3.2 per cent). Calgary led the country with a 5.9 per cent increase from the third quarter followed by Edmonton (5.5 per cent) and Vancouver (four per cent).

RealNet Canada on Tuesday said the desire to own, whether as an investment or as a place to operate a business, reached new heights in Calgary in 2006. The largest ticket item, office properties, was the biggest contributor to the total volume with $975 million in sales over 50 transactions or 28 per cent of the annual total. Industrial and apartment sales saw the sharpest increases in sales levels of 104 per cent and 192 per cent respectively. RealNet Canada's Q4 2006 Calgary Statistics Report for property sales with a minimum sale price of $1 million said, "insatiable investor appetite" set a new benchmark high for sales.

"Calgary has led the way in terms of economic growth in Canada in 2006, so the high levels of interest in commercial real estate in the city is hardly surprising," said George Carras, president of RealNet Canada. Joseph Barnicke wrote in the Global Views report, "the pessimists who believed 2006 might have troubled times missed out once again. 2006 will go down as one of the best in the past decade, and there is nothing on the horizon that would suggest 2007 will not be another good year for the commercial real estate industry." "There are, however, two key ingredients in our economic assumption that could be troubling," he wrote. "There is the over supply of dollars for investment in real estate and construction costs are escalating, in some areas up 30 per cent. These two factors are bound to have some effect on real estate investment. If construction costs rise to a point where market rents cannot justify building, there will be added pressure on existing properties as demand for investment property continues to outpace supply in all asset classes. Supply of available investment property in Canada is limited."

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com

Calgary's Commercial Real Estate Market in Focus
Asset Type - 2005 Volume - 2006 Volume - % Change
Office - $1,078.9M - $975.2M - -9%
Retail - $404.7M - $584.1M - 44%
industrial - $223.9M - $456 - 104%
Apartment - $186.5M - $555.2M - 192%
Hotel - $49.3M - $66.9M - 41%
I.C.I.* Land - $352.1M - $394M - 12%
RES. Land - $308.5M - $457.5M - 48%
Total - $2,603.9M - $3,488.8M - 34%
* Industrial Commercial Institutional
Source: RealNet Canada Inc.
This story features a factbox "Calgary's Commercial Real Estate Market in Focus".

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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  #22  
Old Posted Feb 18, 2007, 11:42 PM
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Landlords can name their price
Paula Arab Calgary Herald Sunday, February 18, 2007

Landlord Alnoor Kassam would have us believe that jacking up rent by an astronomical amount to get his tenants out quickly was a "morally" wrenching decision. Hogwash. It was a decision he made -- and then reversed under public pressure -- because, in the end, it came down to business. This is more than a moral dilemma. It's an unlevel playing field for tenants, who are the buyers of the service. A free market usually means business that's in the interests of both buyers and sellers, not a predatory climate that places one at the mercy of the other.

There are clear rules of engagement, as set out for the rental market by provincial legislation. In this case, the Alberta Residential Tenancies Act ensures both buyer and seller know where they stand. Yet under this law, Kassam was perfectly within his legal right to double and triple the rent. Heck, he could have raised it by 8,000 per cent had he wanted to. The sky's the limit, legally, as long as he gives three months' notice. That doesn't offer much legal protection for the tenant.

I'm sure Ron Brunt feels that way. He was told his $650 apartment would go up to $2,500 as of May 1. By all means, let the market dictate the price, but it doesn't take an Einstein to figure out the new amount is well above market rates. Yes, the apartment is in the high-brow Mount Royal neighbourhood, but it's only 450 square feet. If $2,500 is the market rate for this broom closet, why did the aspiring politician estimate he could only get $2,200 to $3,000 a month after renovating the units into larger, luxury executive suites? And furnished, no less. This incident illustrates a bigger problem -- the lack of tenants' rights in Alberta.

The provincial landlord and tenant act offers some protections for renters, such as requiring landlords to give 90 days eviction notice. Measures to enforce the law are inadequate, and landlords know it. I heard one story recently about a Calgary couple given just one month's notice to vacate their apartment. It was illegal, but did they have the money to take the landlord to court? Not likely, since a significant segment of the population is struggling financially in Calgary. Move out? Good luck finding another place in a city with a 0.5-per-cent vacancy rate. They moved to B.C. Calgary city council, although concerned about the housing crisis, doesn't even operate a landlord and tenant advisory board -- something allowed and encouraged under the provincial legislation. Edmonton, Red Deer and Fort McMurray, on the other hand, have such services.

Without taking sides, an advisory board offers tenants access to a place where their concerns under the act may be addressed and a resolution mediated. Some will note how tough landlords had it a few years ago, when tenants in Calgary called all the shots. Sure, being a landlord is a tough job, full of headaches. It takes someone who's prepared for the long haul, not looking to turn a quick buck, because this business typically reaps the most benefits only after equity builds. But the choice for landlords -- in a renters' market -- is to find a more profitable business, not be homeless.

At a minimum, Alberta needs to put a lid on the amount by which landlords can increase rent. This is very different than putting a ceiling on how much they can charge, typically what's meant by the fearful phrase "rent control." In Ontario, landlords and tenants can negotiate the price, but once the renter is in, the increase is limited to once a year and linked to the consumer price index. Over the past 20 years, economists have concluded such regulation has not adversely affected the rental market because the increases have been lower than the allowable guidelines. The principles of supply and demand in the open market don't translate cleanly when you're talking about housing. In the Middle Eastern souk, if a barter doesn't like the price of spices or a pound of coffee, he can walk away. It's not so easy to do so when the item in question is the roof over your head. In a tight market, renters have no choice but to accept the conditions set by sometimes greedy landlords. That's why the legislation must do a better job of protecting them.

parab@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007




It's up to the city to get ball rolling
Alnoor Kassam For the Calgary Herald Sunday, February 18, 2007

Welcome to Calgary, a city of seemingly endless opportunity. With this opportunity comes challenges. One major challenge is the cost of living, especially housing, which is increasing at rates thousands of Calgarians cannot keep up with. I cannot undo the situation that results in a higher cost of living for all Calgarians. I can, and will, commit to working with the residents in my building to ensure they are able to find affordable solutions to their housing needs. But this situation is not unique.

In one year, property values have increased more than 30 per cent. Over the course of five years, inner-city property values have skyrocketed, resulting in huge cost increases for tenants, landlords and property owners. Property values increase. Property taxes increase. Rents increase. What hasn't changed is the absolute lack of vision from our civic, provincial and federal governments. To date, our low-income housing strategy has been to warehouse people in short-term drop-in centres.

Non-profit societies strain under the pressure to keep up with demand. The current administration has allowed our low-income housing strategy to languish without proper funding or vision. This forces the Mustard Seed, Calgary Drop-In Centre, Inn From the Cold and dozens of other agencies to try to fill the gap. A gap created by a lack of foresight, policy and vision. It is time to change. No longer should the working poor fill our Drop-In Centre. Families should not have to rely on Inn From the Cold. And the Mustard Seed shouldn't have to operate temporary facilities in neighbourhoods where they aren't wanted.

Starting now, a campaign should be waged to provide vision, leadership and drive to establish long-term transitional housing. A commitment must be made to provide homes to the poor. It starts by providing options to homeowners to allow for secondary suites in their homes. This provides a valuable income stream to property owners, lower rents to tenants and increased density in established neighbourhoods. The City of Calgary has turned a blind eye to the housing shortage and forces small landowners to evict tenants in secondary suites.

It is time for a new vision of managing secondary suites that provides safety for tenants while easing the burden of the current housing shortage. The next step is to commit to building low-income housing. Immediately. In the downtown core, the City of Calgary spends more time and resources governing parking stalls than low-income housing. Civic policy dictates that any builder must provide parking stalls to service their building. Yet, residential developers have no requirement to build low-income options into their developments.

Should developers be setting the housing agenda for our city? When can we expect our civic leaders to stand up and demand construction of low-income housing? The cost need not be borne by developers alone. The province should match the investment of private entrepreneurs. Ministers have long been talking of P-3s as a solution to school construction woes -- why not housing? Policy needs to be developed to encourage construction of low-income housing options.

If the mayor can jump-start construction on a billion dollars worth of roads and interchanges, surely he can jump-start construction on several hundred units of low-income housing. It is simply a matter of priority -- housing or roads? People or cars? It is time our mayor put people before roads.

Alnoor Kassam is a hotelier who is converting some of his holdings into long-stay hotels and apartments. He is also a declared candidate for mayor in this fall's municipal elections.

© The Calgary Herald 2007




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CITYBEAT - CITY OF CALGARY PRESS RELEASE
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Calls came in to 9-1-1 Dispatch at approximately 12:20 this afternoon for reports of falling construction debris in the vicinity of 1st Street and 2nd Avenue SW.

When fire crews arrived, there were a number of sheets of plywood which had blown off of a 45-storey highrise building under construction. Westerly gusts had displaced construction materials which had not previously been secured on the roof of the highrise. The situation was made much more dangerous by the fact that there were Chinese New Year's celebrations being held in the streets below with an approximate attendance of 1000 people. The incident commander stated "It was very fortunate that no one was injured by the falling plywood."

Fire crews quickly attempted to clear the area below to protect bystanders from further danger while other crews scrambled to the top of the building under construction to stack and secure the remaining loose materials. The Calgary Fire Department's High Angle Rescue Team was brought to the
incident and remained on standby while the incident was controlled.

An estimated 10-15 sheets of plywood (4' x 8') landed on the ground below, some of them striking an Ellis Don construction trailer at the base of the site.

Over twenty firefighters and 6 fire apparatus were dispatched to the site. Construction crews subsequently arrived on scene and followed up on securing the building materials.




Foreign workers flock to Alberta
Experts fear many don't know rights

Kelly Cryderman, Calgary Herald
Published: Sunday, February 18, 2007

As the number of temporary foreign workers coming to the province hits record levels, staff who provide services to immigrants fear many have inflated expectations and a lack of awareness of their rights.

In the first six months of 2006, Alberta welcomed 6,500 temporary foreign workers -- a 40 per cent increase from the level recorded during the same period in 2005, which was a record year, according to recent data from the federal department of Citizenship and Immigration.

"The number of foreign workers, the whole program has really taken off in Canada and it's really taken off in Alberta," said Randy Gurlock, an area director for Citizenship and Immigration Canada.

But advocates for immigrants say many of these workers come to Canada without much English, unaware of their labour rights, scared of speaking to employers about health issues, and with false hopes about their temporary job easily leading to a permanent life here.

These issues have always existed for some, but with the swell of workers flocking to Alberta's hot economy, and more of them unskilled, the number of problems is growing.

"The person wants to stay. The economy needs them to stay. But they come on a temporary permit," said Dale Taylor, executive director of the Centre for Newcomers, a Calgary service centre for immigrants.

"When they're coming for less-skilled jobs, they have no financial elbow room. So they're dependent on that one employer. And his obligations are clear, but (workers) don't know what (those) obligations are. They don't know about employment standards," Taylor said.

The people who try to help new immigrants with the problems they encounter after coming to Canada are also increasingly being visited by temporary foreign workers.

Last week, the Alberta Settlement Conference brought government officials and immigration agencies together in Calgary.

Canada's temporary foreign worker program allows newcomers to work for a limited period if employers demonstrate they can't find suitable Canadian or permanent residents to fill the job. It also has to be shown that the entry of these workers will not have a negative effect on the labour market.

The modern form of the employer-driven program has existed since 1976 to meet labour shortages. As of late, more unskilled workers have started flowing to Canada to fill the demand -- many of them are now headed for the service sector.

"All the people I dealt with, they have the hope they're going to stay," said Veena Chandra, executive director of the Central Alberta Refugee Effort Committee in Red Deer. "They are supporting their families back at home. They have big dreams and they want to live in Canada, and work here."

She said many live in constant fear of being kicked out. Her organization dealt with one worker who hid the fact he had diabetes to secure work in Canada. Keeping his condition secret even when he went to work at a Red Deer plant resulted in the worsening of his condition, and having his foot amputated. He was sent back to El Salvador.

Chandra also said some recruiters take high fees for setting up the paperwork, or make promises about the process of permanent residency being easier than it is.

Chandra added that some of the workers don't even know their recruiter's last name.

With Ottawa emphasizing that only some temporary foreign workers will become permanent residents, Chandra said she wants to make sure they are told exactly what they're getting into before they leave their home countries.

Sean Laidley, business development manager for Mexi-Can Labour Force Inc., said his business does not charge the workers for setting them up with employers. They also guard against employers charging workers for services the companies are legally obligated to provide -- such as a round-trip flight.

But recruiters in foreign countries often take money from vulnerable workers, he said. "It's an area that is a huge concern."

Part of the problem, say those in the immigration community, is there is no designated government funding for programs that would help temporary foreign workers adjust to a new country or know their rights.

Dan Kelly of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business said temporary foreign workers often adjust better to Canada than immigrants because their jobs exist and their skills are recognized.

However, he said it would be reasonable for Ottawa to include temporary foreign workers in some of the immigrant services funding it provides.

Rob Bray, family and children services manager at Calgary Catholic Immigration Society, said the tight labour market is helping temporary foreign workers, as it is others.

"If your employer is abusing you. . . you can probably get another job."

kcryderman@theherald.canwest.com
=========================================================

Development leaving room for ranching

In what is likely a first in Alberta, a developer in a rural area is proposing a development that integrates ranching, conservation and residential ideas.

...
=========================================================

Mayor on trade mission

Mayor Dave Bronconnier is taking part in a trade mission to China, Saudi Arabia and Dubai this week. The mayor has estimated the cost of the trip, to be paid for from his office budget, at between $12,000 and $15,000.

...
=========================================================

Power failure briefly shuts down airport

TRANSPORT * The Calgary International Airport was temporarily shutdown Saturday evening after an electrical failure knocked out its airfield lights.


Public gets peek at CBE complex plan

Plans to turn the Dr. Carl Safran School site into a complex encompassing the Calgary Board of Education's headquarters, a conference centre and green space moved one step closer to reality Thursday after the public was given a chance to view the proposal.
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  #23  
Old Posted Mar 2, 2007, 8:31 PM
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Average condo cost hits $304,000 in February
Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald
Published: Friday, March 02, 2007

For the first time ever, the average sale price of a Calgary condominium has cracked the $300,000 barrier — an astonishing more than 40 per cent growth from one year ago. Figures released Friday by the Calgary Real Estate Board also show that the single-family market in the city continues to be very strong with the average sale price now more than $435,000. “With February statistics now on record, it is clear that our strong balanced market is going to continue,” said CREB President Ron Stanners. “With sales nine per cent above February 2006 numbers, it would appear that we are heading into a stronger market than last year. Our saving grace is that we have almost twice as many residential listings at the end of February this year as compared to February 2006. This should keep our market balanced, but anticipate prices moving up through March.” CREB says February combined residential sales were 3,348, a 9.66 per cent increase over February 2006 when sales were 3,053 and a 27.25 per cent increase from January 2007 when the sales were 2,631. The breakdown of the February combined sales was 2,319 single-family residences, 1,011 condominium, and 18 mobile homes. February 2006 sales in the same categories were 2,152; 895; and six, respectively. February saw 3,731 new listings coming to the market, an increase of 15.62 per cent from February 2006 when the new listings were 3,227 and a decrease of 6.96 per cent from last month’s 4,010 new listings. The average combined residential sale price for February was $393,307, a 29.14 per cent increase over February 2006 when the average price was $304,550 and a 4.7 percent increase over the January average price of $375,646. Broken out, the following is a comparison of single-family, condominium, and mobile home average sale prices for the month of February 2007 over 2006: single-family $435,802 / $342,412; condominium $301,777 / $215,301; mobile home $59,556 / $37,417. The single-family price rose by 27.27 per cent from a year ago while the condo price rose by a staggering 40.16 per cent from a year ago. Condominium sales in February maintained a steady pace with 1,011 condominiums changing hands. This is a 12.96 per cent increase over February 2006 when the condominium sales were 895 and a 21.22 per cent increase over last month’s sales of 834. The residential combined median pricefor February was $363,000, up 35.45 per cent from February 2006 when it was $268,000 and up 7.72 per cent from last month’s median of $337,000.

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com
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Old Posted Mar 6, 2007, 3:51 PM
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Company wants to set up work camp near Calgary
Last Updated: Monday, March 5, 2007 | 10:21 AM MT
CBC News
An Alberta cement company desperate to draw workers to Calgary wants to set up a temporary work camp.

Workers from Eastern Canada don't want to come to Calgary once they learn about how much it costs to live in the city, said Al Schuster, a vice-president at Lehigh Inland Cement, a western Canadian supplier.

Despite negative perceptions about work camps, he said his company believes setting one up in or near Calgary will help solve its labour problems.

Last summer, the company couldn't hire enough mechanics, so some trucks sat idle.

"I would think you'll always get pushback on a camp in an area because everyone perceives it to be a bunch of transient people," he said.

Schuster said his company will offer a modern work camp that fits in with its neighbours and improves the reputation of these kinds of camps.

Company looks to Rocky View
Calgary has seen vacancy rates fall to 0.5 per cent and the average price of a home rise to $391,000 at the end of February compared with $304,000 a year earlier.

Lehigh Inland applied to set up a camp on its gravel pit land in the southeast, but the City of Calgary rejected the application. Schuster said Lehigh now is looking to the neighbouring municipality of Rocky View so it will be ready for the summer demand.

"There is a location down south of where we are that really has already a structured facility and had been permitted for trailers, I believe."

Grant Neufeld, spokesman for the Calgary Housing Action Initiative, said the fact employers are even talking about work camps in Calgary shows they are desperate.

"I'd say it's better than having people out on the street, but not that much better. It's not a great condition for people to be living under."
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Old Posted Mar 6, 2007, 4:14 PM
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Demand for office space moves to the suburbs
Market has 'normalized' in the core
Mario Toneguzzi Calgary Herald Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Mike Gigliuk, Alberta director of research with CB Richard Ellis, says there isn't the same frenzy in the downtown office space market that there was last year.Calgary's downtown office market, which was often described as frenzied in 2006, has now "normalized" with a softening in demand, according to one of the country's largest commercial real estate firms.
At the same time, though, the demand for suburban market space is strong and growing. Mike Gigliuk, director of research, Alberta, for CB Richard Ellis, said currently "there isn't the same frenzy in the market that there was in 2006."

The downtown office vacancy rate plunged to 0.5 per cent by the end of the year with average asking net lease rates up 61 per cent compared to a year ago, reaching $35.56 per square foot. We're back to more of a normalization of the market in terms of demand," said Gigliuk. "We're back to our average demand scenario. We're starting to see some full floors come available (in existing product) and we haven't seen that for about a year now. "There's a bit of a softening in demand. There's some space being taken up in the new developments. In one instance, it's as a result of an engineering firm moving out of the downtown core and their space hasn't been backfilled. Whereas last year, their space would have never come to the market. It would have been backfilled immediately." Gigliuk said that in the suburban office market there is strong demand and "strong demand for good quality product."

"In the new developments, we're still seeing lots of activity in those," said Gigliuk. According to CB Richard Ellis, the suburban office vacancy rate finished the year at 1.9 per cent. "The little bit of oil and gas that does occupy the suburbs, that demand is flattening but that's being taken up by the finance and engineering companies. So there's really no break in the situation with the suburban market whereas in the downtown we're seeing a bit of a levelling off. Not a drop. Just a normalization. Normal or average demand in the downtown." The levelling off of demand in the downtown market is a result of the "softer energy prices, especially on the gas side," a trend that began in late 2006.

Despite the change in the downtown market, he said "We're still nowhere near a balanced market. We're still too tight." "Right now there's a dichotomy in the demand picture in both the downtown and in the suburban market. Downtown levelling off, the suburban market still staying very strong," said Gigliuk. A Calgary office market report by The Staubach Company called Calgary the "tightest office market in North America." "Tenants are being faced with higher rental rates, longer lease terms, and limited negotiating power," said the report. "As demand remains strong, landlords continue to raise their quoted rental rates, yet, continue to receive multiple offers on vacant pockets of space by tenants needing to address their immediate space demands."

According to CB Richard Ellis, in the downtown, 11 office developments are either underway or pending commencement and seven of them are already 100 per cent pre-leased. These developments will add over 5.5 million square feet to the downtown market by 2011. The existing downtown inventory is about 32 million square feet. Four of the 11 projects are expected to be completed this year, representing just over 1.5 million square feet. In the suburban market, there is just over three million square feet under construction in an existing suburban inventory of about 14 million square feet, which includes the Beltline area.

The Staubach Company real estate report also says: "Expect that some of the proposed new office tower developments will not begin construction in 2007. Given the uncertainty of fluctuating commodity prices, rising construction costs, labour shortages and some major tenants putting their growth plans on hold, landlords will be careful to calculate the feasibility of their projects before proceeding with construction."

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007





Mayors say transit needs federal infusion
Shortfall puts squeeze on commuters
Peter Rakobowchuk and Kim Guttormson The Canadian Press and Calgary Herald Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Canada's mayors say public transit needs millions of dollars just to keep operating, and they're calling on Ottawa to create and fund a national strategy to prevent riders from being squeezed like sardines. The Federation of Canadian Municipalities and big city mayors said Monday they need $2 billion annually from the federal government to maintain and expand public transit systems. "It only makes sense. Large centres just can't keep building roads," Mayor Dave Bronconnier said. "Expanding the light-rail transit system is where our city wants to go. "I think it's time for the Government of Canada to make significant investments in the area of public transit."

With a transit system running over capacity, packed buses and C-trains often leaving passengers waiting, Calgary has plans to expand its service.
But building two new legs of the LRT -- one west and one into the southeast -- would cost more than $1 billion. Ald. Joe Ceci said he often hears complaints from riders who can't get on a bus or train. And with the city encouraging people to take transit, it's failing on the promise that the service will be there, he said.

The mayor of Toronto agrees. "I think perhaps the national and provincial governments are a little bit behind the people . . . the people are ready," Toronto Mayor David Miller said at a Montreal news conference on the issue. He added there needs to be "a legislated, permanent fund to meet the needs" of transit in the cities. Bronconnier pointed out that Canada is the only G-8 country without a national approach to public transit.
The mayors also said they need such a strategy to help deal with climate change and maintain a healthy economy. "The environmental impact of public transit is extremely important," Miller said. "And the truth is that Canada's major cities cannot expand their systems. In fact, we don't have the money to keep them going."

The mayors say one city bus can carry as many passengers as 50 cars, and pollutes 18 times less. Bronconnier said the city's well-used LRT means there are 110,000 fewer vehicles on the road. A spokeswoman for federal Transport Minister Lawrence Cannon said the Conservative government is already working on a plan. Natalie Sarafian, the minister's press secretary, said that after consultations were held with all levels of government last summer, it was announced in the last economic update that a comprehensive infrastructure plan would be developed. "This infrastructure plan would include long-term, predictable funding," she said in an interview from Ottawa.

Meanwhile, Ottawa is poised to chip in $1 billion in funding for Toronto-area transit. Government sources say Ottawa will announce the money today to extend Toronto's subway north to Vaughan and improve transit in bedroom cities such as Mississauga and Brampton.

kguttormson@theherald.canwest.com
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Old Posted Mar 7, 2007, 4:08 PM
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Commercial permits soar by 30%
Residential values fall off in early 2007
Mario Toneguzzi Calgary Herald Wednesday, March 07, 2007




CREDIT: Leah Hennel, Calgary Herald Gary Klassen, director of development and building approvals for the City of Calgary, says a flattening in residential building permit values was expected.

A booming non-residential sector pushed building permit values in the city to nearly $300 million in February -- soaring overall by almost 30 per cent compared to a year ago. The jump in value comes despite a decrease in the residential sector during the month. And year-to-date, the value of building permits exceeds last year's number, which eventually turned out to be a record year. "What we have seen is a flattening of the residential numbers," said Gary Klassen, the city's director of development and building approvals.

"The value is about $165 million this year compared to $200 million (in February 2006), and the number of residential units is also down." According to City of Calgary data released Tuesday, the value of residential permits issued in February decreased by 17.5 per cent and the total number of residential units in February decreased from 1,377 in 2006 to 822 in 2007. "We have anticipated that there would be lower numbers of residential units into the end of last year and at the beginning of this year and we feel that there will be increases in the number of units as it moves into the new year, but likely overall we will still see a slightly overall less number on the residential as we go through 2007," said Klassen.

"We feel that the industry over this past year -- with record numbers of residential units -- have managed to do a better job on the supply side for new residences in the city. It's possible that the higher costs of new residential units has also curbed the demand a little bit." Adam Legge, director of research and business information at Calgary Economic Development, said there is no surprise that the residential sector cooled off in February. "(Last year) was such a strong year for both economic growth, population growth and housing demand," said Legge. "A dip off of last year's numbers is not surprising. We expected a slowdown and what you're seeing is the housing market coming more into a balance and some of the intensity of demand from 2006 is off. With some of those numbers, it does fall in line to be on track for a slower housing start year in 2007, which we predicted."

In the first two months of this year, total building permit value in the city is $568 million compared to $509 million for the first two months of 2006.
The non-residential building permit value in February was $122.4 million compared to $94.3 million in February 2006. "Overall, development continues to be at a very rapid rate in the city of Calgary," said Klassen. Permit applications for several significant construction projects were received in February, including renovations to the Richmond Road Diagnostic & Treatment Centre ($35 million), construction of the London at Heritage Station Parkade ($18.4 million) and Alliance University College ($17.6 million).

The city says building permits are a barometer of intentions in the construction industry and are not actual construction starts. Meanwhile, Statistics Canada also on Tuesday released total value of building permits for the Calgary Census Metropolitan Area which showed that they rose by over 50 per cent in January compared to a year ago. The federal agency said the value of building permits in the Calgary CMA in January was $435.5 million compared to $287.4 million in January 2006. That represented a 51.6 per cent year-over-year hike. However, the value dropped on a monthly basis -- 8.2 per cent from December which was $474.5 million.

The Calgary CMA encompasses the city, Airdrie, the Municipal District of Rocky View, Chestermere, Cochrane, Irricana, Beiseker and Crossfield.
Alberta saw a similar phenomena. Overall, building permits in January hit $1.2 billion in the province, representing a 45.4 per cent hike from a year ago ($820 million) but a 7.2 per cent decline from December ($1.3 billion).
Alberta's residential sector increased by 27.3 per cent in January compared to January 2006, reaching $757.6 million and also increased 15.1 per cent from December ($658.2 million). January 2006's total was $595.3 million.

In the non-residential sector, the value of building permits soared by 93.4 per cent from a year ago. January's total was $434.6 million compared to January 2006 which was $224.7 million. However, the sector declined by 30.6 per cent compared to December ($626.1 million). Nationally, the value of building permits surged to their highest level ever in January, thanks to huge gains in the value of residential and non-residential permits. It was the third time in four months that the $6-billion mark was surpassed, said Statistics Canada. Builders took out a record $6.3 billion in building permits in January. January's level was 11.3 per cent higher than December 2006. "These results point to a busy spring on building sites as building permits are a leading indicator for construction activity," said the federal agency.

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com

Building Permit Applications
2006 - Number of Permits - Estimated Value
Residential - 2,583 - $346M
Non-Residential - 392 - $163M
TOTAL - 2,975 - $509M
2007 - Number of Permits - Estimated Value
Residential - 2,015 - $296M
Non-Residential - 371 - $272M
TOTAL - 2,386 - $568M
Source: The City of Calgary

© The Calgary Herald 2007




The time is ripe to buy a house
Albertans
Mario Toneguzzi Calgary Herald Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Are the home-buying intentions of Albertans waning? A survey released Tuesday suggests home-buying intentions in the province may be slowing down but a majority of Albertans still say now is the time to buy. The RBC Royal Bank's 14th Annual Homeownership Survey found that 12 per cent of Alberta residents are "very likely" to purchase a home in the next two years, down 18 per cent from last year, but still ahead of the national average of nine per cent. Another 24 per cent said they are "somewhat likely" to buy in the next two years -- also ahead of the national average (19 per cent).

But the poll also shows that 52 per cent of Alberta residents said it makes more sense to buy a home now rather than wait until next year and among those who intend to buy, 43 per cent plan on buying a home bigger than their current residence and 76 per cent stated they will buy a resale home. Ron Stanners, president of the Calgary Real Estate Board, said there are no signs yet of a cooling off in the MLS market in the city despite escalating average sale prices. "The market doesn't show it at this moment," said Stanners. "Our market is still very strong and going on strong. It would follow logically that if prices continue to rise then every jump in price eliminates somebody else who would like to get into the marketplace. It has to have an impact even if it's a gradual impact on the number of people who are entering the marketplace.

"But for the most part, homes are still quite affordable, given the salary ranges in Alberta. There's always options. If single-family doesn't work for them, then of course condominiums (are an option). . . . We haven't seen any impact from it as yet." The number of sales in Calgary for December, January and February were all records and, as of Tuesday morning, the Calgary Real Estate Board website showed there were 559 properties sold so far this month. The average sale price for the past 30 days was almost $398,000 and the 30-day median sale price was $365,000. Don Peard, regional vice-president, Mortgage Specialists, RBC Royal Bank, said record buying seasons in Alberta over the last few years may help to explain why purchase intentions in the province have softened.

"That said, buying intentions among Albertans are still higher than the country average, and with housing prices likely to rise even higher, many are saying the time to buy is now," said Peard. The poll also found that 68 per cent of Albertans -- the highest average in the country -- expect housing prices will be higher by this time next year and 46 per cent expect to see mortgage rates higher in a year's time. A majority (53 per cent) said they are concerned about increases in interest rates in 2007. And 58 per cent of Albertans have a mortgage on their home with an average of $104,219 left to pay.

Data the Calgary Real Estate Board released last week showed, for the first time, the average sale price of a Calgary condominium has cracked the $300,000 barrier -- an increase of more than 40 per cent from a year ago -- and the average sale price of a single-family home in February was more than $435,000. The average combined (single-family, condo, mobile) residential sale price in February was $393,307, a 29.14 per cent increase over February 2006, when the average price was $304,550. Recently, the Canadian Real Estate Association said sales are expected to decrease by 2.7 per cent this year in the province and another two per cent in 2008. However, the average residential sale price is forecast to increase by 15.5 per cent this year to $329,800 and another 7.2 per cent in 2008 to $353,700.

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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Calgary home price increases continue to lead country
Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald
Published: Thursday, March 08, 2007
Calgary continues to lead the country in new home price increases compared to one year ago.
Statistics Canada reported Thursday that the city posted the largest 12-month hike (40.8 per cent).
But the New Housing Price Index also noted Calgary’s monthly increase was just behind Edmonton in January compared to the previous month.
Statistics Canada reported that nationally the year-over-year hike in contractors’ selling prices was 10.1 per cent, but down from the 10.7 per cent in the previous month.
“Price increases were seen in 10 of the 21 metropolitan areas surveyed,” said the federal agency. “Edmonton (1.6 per cent) led the way, followed by Calgary (0.8 per cent). Costs for construction materials, in particular concrete, and labour for excavation and painting were the contributing factors. Higher lot values were also cited in Edmonton.”
Monthly gains were also noted in Montréal, Winnipeg, London, Victoria, Hamilton, Saint John, Fredericton and Moncton, Toronto and Oshawa and St. Catharines–Niagara. Of the 10 metropolitan areas showing increases, land prices rose in three.
Seven metropolitan areas registered no monthly change. Greater Sudbury and Thunder Bay (0.4 per cent) showed the largest decrease due to competitive factors. Charlottetown, Ottawa–Gatineau and Kitchener were also down from the previous month.
Over the past year, Calgary led the way with the largest percentage increase followed closely by Edmonton (40.2 per cent), Saskatoon (16.1 per cent), Regina (8.3 per cent), Winnipeg (7.8 per cent) and Vancouver (6.9 per cent).

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com




Housing cools
New housing starts down by a third over last year
Mario Toneguzzi, Calgary Herald
Published: Thursday, March 08, 2007
The red-hot, record pace set by Calgary home builders last year is showing signs of slowing down.
According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, total housing starts across the Calgary Census Metropolitan Area declined in February by 32.7 per cent compared to February 2006. The decline was registered most dramatically in the single-family home sector where starts plunged by 35.9 per cent compared to last year.

Lai Sing Louie, senior market analyst for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation in Calgary, said there has been a weakening in housing starts in the Calgary Census Metropolitan Area in February.
“It’s something we expected. We didn’t think that housing starts in 2007 would exceed the 2006 record volumes. There was so much going on,” said Louie. “We thought it would pull back. It’s pulled back a little bit more than we thought.”

The Calgary CMA encompasses the city, Airdrie, the Municipal District of Rocky View, Chestermere, Cochrane, Irricana, Beiseker and Crossfield.


Construction workers putting up new houses in the community of Taradale.
Mikael Kjellstrm/Calgary Herald

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Font: ****Total housing starts in Calgary dropped from 1,088 in February 2006 to 732 this February. Single-family starts dropped from 859 last year to 551 this year in February while multiple starts, which include semi-detached units, rows and apartments, fell from 229 to 181, a drop of 21 per cent.
In the first two months of this year, total housing starts are down 29.5 per cent from last year. Single-detached starts are down 31.9 per cent and multiple starts are down 21.2 per cent.
The CMHC said housing starts across the seven largest urban areas in Alberta decreased from 2,856 units in February 2006 to 2,338 units in 2007, representing a drop of about 18 per cent.
Nationally, urban starts in February totalled 9,436 units, a decrease of about 24 per cent from the previous year.

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com
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From the Calgary Real Estate News
******************************

By Brian Pincott

As Calgary continues to struggle with its unprecedented growth and the impacts of our continuing sprawl, there is a lot of head scratching going on, wondering where we have gone wrong and what can we do better. It is generally accepted that we have built a city which is neither sustainable nor reflects how we want to see ourselves. We are not people who want to spend inordinate amounts of time in our cars, nor do we want to appear that we are thumbing our noses at environmental concerns.

Much hand wringing has gone on as to how we can deal with our infrastructure deficit, as to how we can accommodate growth and still maintain urban character. As we spend more and more time struggling with just getting around our city, the perceived imperative has been to build more and more infrastructure, specifically roads and interchanges.

The emphasis of our transportation system has been, and continues to be, the private automobile. With such a focus, it appears only logical that we should be able to build our way out of traffic jams and packed roadways. Intuitively, it makes sense to add capacity to our overburdened roadways. Yet, experience and research elsewhere has shown it impossible to build yourself out of congestion. Just look at other cities, such as Toronto or Los Angeles, who have tried. The common analogy used is that building roads to solve traffic congestion is the same as treating obesity by getting a larger belt size.

Rather, we should be shifting the focus of our transportation policy and planning away from the automobile and onto people. If the intent is to move people, rather than move cars, our transportation priorities shift automatically. The priority becomes transit and other forms of mass transportation. We should also design community networks that allow the full range of transportation choices, not just transit and cars, but also bikes and walking.

This is not about eliminating the private automobile, but more about shifting our focus. It is about changing the nature of our built environment so owning a car is a choice rather than a necessity. It is about designing a mixed transportation system that will allow transit to work efficiently and effectively, making it a viable option for everyone. It is about growing a city which puts people first.

—Brian Pincott is the Chair of the Sierra Club of Canada's Chinook Group and can be reached at brian@sierraclubchinook.org or at 233-7332.




From the Calgary Real Estate News
*******************************

Although the hot Alberta economy may show signs of slowing slightly over the next year, it is not affecting the almost nonexistent vacancy rate for office space in the downtown Calgary area.

GVA Devencore Worldwide has just released its new statistics that track office vacancy rates across the country, and downtown Calgary remains by far the lowest, with just 0.2% of space not leased, or more specifically, only 56,700 sq. ft. of 29.8 million sq. ft. in total currently available.

“With the federal government’s decision to enact changes to the tax structure for energy trusts and with oil and gas prices showing signs of moderating, the white hot Alberta economy may cool slightly over the coming year, but this is not likely to ease the office space shortage that currently exists in the downtown district,” the spring report says.

Presently, vacant Class A and Class B space is virtually non-existent, and the report says this has caused rental rates to reach levels that are the highest in the country.

“This is a landlord’s market, and tenants have minimal leverage in negotiating new leases,” the report says.

The space shortage has created construction activity of several new projects; the report notes that nearly a dozen new development projects are either in the planning or design stages, but some of this space will not be completed before the end of the decade.

Of those projects currently under construction, most of them are 100% pre-leased.

As a result, many tenants are beginning to look outside of downtown for office space, but even there vacancy rates are under 4%.

“There will be very little new available space if any in Calgary over the next two years,” said Don Dickson, manager of the commercial division for the Calgary Real Estate Board. “In short, there is far more demand than there is supply.”

According to the GVA Devencore report, over the past six months, combined Class A and Class B vacancy rate in the downtown area did rise slightly, but only from 0.1% to 0.2%.

The report says “these are challenging times for tenants in Calgary, as they find themselves faced with conditions that clearly favour landlords.”

Tenants with leases that do not expire until after 2010 may have more options, as there will be new inventory coming to the market early in the next decade.

But even so, it is not too early to begin evaluating future space needs, as these new projects may also be pre-leased quickly once they are officially announced.

“At present, tenants are best advised to work closely with their real estate advisors to plan for both short and long term requirements.”

While Calgary is facing this tough space squeeze, the situation is not much better across the country.

According to the GVA Devencore report, Vancouver’s downtown vacancy rate is just 3.1%, and has been on a steady decrease from 2003, when it peaked at 13.6%.

The second quarter of 2006 showed a vacancy rate of 4.2%.

As with Calgary, businesses looking for office space in Vancouver are more likely to find space in the suburbs, but even there, rental rates are increasing as the demand increases.

And with only a couple of new projects in the downtown Vancouver area underway, the situation is expected to continue, the report says.

In Edmonton, the combined vacancy rate stands at 6.2%, up from 4.2% six months ago, but GVA Devencore predicts that number to decrease this year as the economy continues to strengthen in Edmonton.

Class A vacancy rates in Toronto’s financial core have dropped to 5.1%, and 3 million sq. ft. of space is expected to be added to the market in 2009-2010, but the report says it is “difficult to predict the quality of the churn space that will be freed up.”

Winnipeg’s combined rate dropped slightly over the past six months, from 6.3% to 5%.

Rental rates in Montreal remain stable, the report notes, although the combined vacancy rate has settled at 8.2%.

In Ottawa, downtown vacancy rates have fallen below 3% with much of the tenant activity generated by demand from the federal government and local law firms.

The report adds that Kanata continues to rebound from the deep slump it suffered in the first years of this decade and vacancy rates have fallen to 9.4%.

The Halifax market has been moderately active over the past six months, with combined vacancy rates dropping from 6% to 4.8%.

In Quebec City, downtown vacancy rates have continued to plummet, to 2.7% in Class A buildings and 2.5% in Class B properties.

—Angela Anderson is a Calgary Real Estate News reporter.
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Old Posted Mar 8, 2007, 7:56 PM
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National newscasts zeroing in on Calgary
By THERESA TAYLER
Metro Calgary
Whether it’s due to Calgary’s growing population and booming economy, or
because we’re the hometown of the Prime Minister,is hard to say.
But one thing’s for sure —Calgary is on Canada’s national network radar.

This week Kevin Newman, Global N a t i o n a l anchor, will broadcast the network’s nati o n a l newscast live fromthe city. And next week CBC’s nightly news program, The National, will broadcast from the nearby, small town of Okotoks. “It’s not just the economy that makes Calgary interesting.

While (Global) is here we’re going to take a look at some of the medical breakthroughs the University ofCalgary is making,” said Newman.
“As well, everyone kind of expects there may be an election soon, we’re going to do a folio on Stephen Harper,take a look at his life. He’s
largely an enigma to many Canadians.”

Newman will broadcast the nightly news program from downtown Calgary tomorrow and from the U of C on Friday.

“(Calgary) is cooking right now, it’s kind of thought of as the promised land by the rest of Canada at the moment,” said Newman.

Global National is based
in Vancouver.
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Alberta employment leading the nation
Province sets record in February
Mario Toneguzzi Calgary Herald Saturday, March 10, 2007

Calgary's unemployment rate remained at a minuscule level in February and Alberta achieved a new record high employment rate, according to Statistics Canada. In its Labour Force Survey released Friday, the federal agency said Calgary and Victoria had the lowest unemployment rates in the country at 3.1 per cent. The local rate increased slightly from 2.6 per cent in January. Alberta posted the lowest provincial unemployment rate at 3.5 per cent while the national average was 6.1 per cent. In January, Alberta was at 3.3 per cent while Canada was at 6.2 per cent.

Todd Hirsch, chief economist for the Canada West Foundation, said those numbers show that "Alberta is really reaching the limits of its full employment spectrum." "We can't really expect to see that unemployment rate fall too much lower," said Hirsch, adding the city and province are in a virtual full employment scenario. "What's starting to happen now is more and more people obviously have been moving to Calgary and to Alberta and that's pushing that unemployment rate up just a little bit and that's what we'd like to see happen. "We can't be expecting it to be falling and falling and falling anymore. It's basically levelled out as low as it's going to get."

Hirsch said those numbers indicate an "extremely tight labour market as it's been for the last year and a half to two years." "This has to be one of the biggest challenges facing employers right now -- keeping good employees. There's so many competing offers out there. It gets very difficult for employers to maintain their labour force," he said. Laura Shewchuk, president of Urban Energy, said the Calgary company started last August as a concierge service to help companies "offer unique, innovative, effective strategies to help retain key employees and doing it through using concierge hours as part of their overall compensation or benefit package."

"In a city where people are becoming more and more affluent and financially not necessarily as committed to their careers as they once had to be, many people are in a position where they can retire and yet they don't really want to retire or need to retire. However they want lifestyle changes," said Shewchuk. "We are growing kind of very steady-as-she-goes. . . . We are talking to individual companies. We are talking to heads of human resource departments, presidents of companies. And we are doing some test runs for a couple of companies right now. . . . It's quite a new concept and we want to make sure we're doing everything right for the clients that we do have. . . . Ultimately, the people that we're marketing to are the presidents and the HR directors. We can help them identify employees that are potentially at high risk of early retirement or changing companies or overly stressed. The people we actually work with the most end up being the individual employee and their families."

Alberta Employment, Immigration and Industry Minister Iris Evans told the Herald "we've got a huge boom in our employment growth." "We've got a huge demand. We've got a demand that we're working hard to fill," said Evans. "If you look at it, Alberta's only 10 per cent of Canada's working-age population but we've got 27.4 per cent of all new jobs created in the country. "These statistics really confirm what we know in this office. Every place I go, people are talking to me about the need for more labour. "It's not stopping and we're getting people to think more creatively about how they can employ people. It's been good news for the people with some disabilities. They're getting more access to the workforce, but on the flip side it's been bad news for people who are in the non-profit sector who have really struggled to keep their workers when there's so many jobs available paying more money."

The provincial employment numbers are staggering. Between February 2006 and February 2007, Alberta's labour force increased by 115,500 and employment increased by 103,900. The province's employment rate is 71.6 per cent compared with the national rate of 63.4 per cent. Most of the jobs in Alberta were full-time positions, 83.3 per cent. Over the past 12 months, employment grew by 5.7 per cent, the highest in the country, compared to a growth rate of 2.5 per cent for Canada. And the province recorded a net gain of 6,200 jobs in February from January -- the highest in the country.

mtoneguzzi@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007





Builders focusing on inner-city area
Kathy McCormick Calgary Herald Saturday, March 10, 2007

Multi-family builders took out 7,048 building permits in 2006, with most of them in the inner city, says a Calgary builders group. A total of 3,119 permits were in the city centre, followed by 1,039 in the southwest, 718 in the west end, 619 in the northeast, and 598 in the south, says the Calgary Region Home Builders Association. Of those in the city centre, the Beltline area had most of the activity, with nearly 2,000 permits in that area.

Altadore, West Hillhurst and Lincoln Park -- the former Canadian Forces Base Calgary, which now is being developed as Garrison Woods and Garrison Green -- were the next busiest areas. Building permits do not indicate actual construction, but rather a builder's intentions to undertake a project. One permit is needed for every unit in a building.

Outside the inner city, Panorama Hills and Country Hills Village in the north-central sector were the busiest areas for permit activity, followed by Taradale in the northeast and Aspen Woods on the west side. In terms of building permits, Pointe of View was the most active with 1,035, followed by Resiance Corp. with 771, Trico Homes with 415, Cardel Lifestyles with 244, and Battistella Developments with 208. Rounding out the top 10 for volume were: The Qualico Group, Bucci Developments, Cidex Signature Homes, Hawthorne Homes and Cove Properties. Non-builder members of the CRHBA took out 2,469 permits last year.
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'Trophy towers' put Calgary in shade
Richard White For The Calgary Herald Saturday, March 17, 2007

The following is the first of a two-part series comparing Calgary and Dubai. What does a Persian Gulf city --part of a desert nation neighbouring Saudi Arabia -- and a Western Canadian city like Calgary have in common? At first glance, much more than you'd think. I was part of Calgary's recent trade mission to Dubai in the United Arab Emirates, allowing me to make a first-hand comparison. Both cities contain just over one million people, both are modern, both are rapidly growing, and both are pro commerce. In each city, the number-one complaint is traffic. But when you look at the two in more depth, they are quite different.
Dubai has a far-reaching vision to be a dominant global city rivalling New York as the unofficial capital of the world.

It is growing about 10 times faster than Calgary. They have about 300 construction cranes to our 30. Where we are creating new suburbs or communities within Calgary, they are basically creating entirely new cities within their city. In case this seems like an exaggeration, Dubai is not only aiming to build the world's tallest skyscraper -- twice the size of the Empire State Building -- one development in particular would be 10 times the size of Calgary's entire downtown. Another ambitious project, the World Islands, involves a series of 300 man-made islands designed to together look from the air like the shape of the world's continents. Calgary's trade mission was a follow-up to a visit to our city in November by a Dubai delegation.

Our group included Mayor Dave Bronconnier as well as such Calgary developers as Marquis Developments, Torode Commercial and Intergulf Cidex. As can be gathered by the scope of Dubai's ambitious projects, the Middle Eastern city's politicians and developers buy into the notion that architecture is vital in defining a city's culture and sense of place. In Calgary, this is not the case. Architecture here tends towards the blandly functional. While our city's benchmark for leaseable space in office towers is 85 per cent of the total available area, developers in Dubai are prepared to accept 70 per cent.

Like the Americans who created the Chrysler Building or the Empire State Building in New York, they believe in iconic architecture that serves several purposes besides the strictly commercial. The joke is: "In Dubai, developers would rather have a trophy tower, than a trophy wife." There is an amazing culture of "architectural marketing" in Dubai. The marketing of office, hotel and residential buildings is based on a project's iconic architecture, not on its location or price. Dubai's vision is to be the dominant city in their trading area, which they define as anywhere within a four-hour plane trip.

There are 400 million people in this area, with a baby boom-like generation of young people who are just entering the work force and their high consumer years. By contrast, Calgary's baby boom generation is entering its retirement years. Dubai plans to become a centre of excellence in commerce, health care, entertainment, culture, tourism and retirement/resort living. To support this vision, it is creating the world's largest airport and sea port. Despite our wealth, expertise, entrepreneurial spirit and "can do" attitude, Calgary and Alberta have nothing that comes even close. Some projects were mind-boggling: 45 themed hotels along the waterfront with over 30,000 hotel rooms, or a new health care city with 2,000 hospital beds (the equivalent of six Calgary hospitals), including a Mayo Clinic and Harvard Medical School as anchor tenants. Rather than try to revitalize their old city centre, Dubai is creating an entirely new downtown several kilometres away anchored by three major projects -- the Burj Dubai Tower (which will be the world's tallest building), the International Financial Centre, and Dubai World Trade Centre.

The city is filled with billboards showing trophy towers slated to be constructed. We were told by one architect the minimum height they would build would be 60 to 70 storeys. Other developments include the Jumeriah Beach project. Going from conception in 1995 to completion in 2010, it will have more than 200 towers taller than 30 floors and several more than 90 floors -- mostly condos, but also some office, hotels and retail all linked by a man-made lagoon. This is Dubai's equivalent of the East Village/Fort Calgary development near city hall. Despite proposals dating back to the 1960s, including one ill-fated scheme that included canals, Calgary's development of the East Village area has been sluggish by comparison. But Dubai is far from being a perfect place. (See the second part of this column in next Saturday's Herald.) Richard White is the director of operations and communications at Riddell Kurczaba Architecture

© The Calgary Herald 2007





Urban 'village': Keynote project's triple towers planned for Victoria Park area
Kathy McCormickCalgary Herald Saturday, March 17, 2007

It's the start of a grand symphony. Keynote has set the tone for further re-development of the Victoria Park area just north of the Calgary Stampede grounds -- and it's music to everyone's ears who lives, or wants to live, in the trendy inner city. Located between 11th and 12th Avenues S.E. at 1st Street in the Victoria Park area, Keynote will be a three-tower complex consisting of two residential towers with a total of 425 units, as well as a 14-storey office tower.

The large retail component on the ground level will include the popular Sunterra Market, replacing a Co-op store that recently closed its doors a block away to relocate to the Beltline area further west. Keynote will have an urban village design, with the main floor consisting of 33,000 square feet of retail space. A Plus-15 garden will connect all three towers, providing ample opportunities for residents and businesspeople to enjoy the outdoors right outside the door.Underneath it all, secure parking will be provided.

One of the two residential towers will be 26 storeys and offer 177 units. The second tower will be 34 storeys and have 248 residential units, says project sales manager Jeannie Elrafie. The third tower will be 14 storeys and offer 230,000 square feet of commercial space and conference facilities. "It will be a true urban village," says Elrafie. "People will have the opportunity to live, work and play right there." The first 119 units of the first phase of the first tower sold out immediately upon release last September, says Elrafie."People actually camped out overnight to get a chance to buy, so we expect a strong demand for the remaining 51 units of the first tower, which have just been released."

Units range from 581 to 635 square feet for one bedroom units to 830 to 947 square feet for two bedroom units. Prices are from the $300,000s with GST, says Elrafie. "Additionally, we have seven sky suites of 1,572 to just over 6,000 square feet, which we will release later this year." Located between 11th and 12th Avenues S.E. at 1st Street, the complex is central to downtown and vital to the rejuvenation of the area -- where other condo complexes such as ArriVa and the Cove Properties' project of Sasso, Vetro, and now Nuera are filling the skyline around Stampede Park.
The whole area is under a massive rejuvenation program, including the expansion plans for Stampede Park, which include a new casino already under construction.

"The area east of the Beltline is already through the pioneering stage and there's quite a high demand as consumers try to get in early while prices are affordable," says Elrafie. "It's an exciting area with a huge retail component coming in." Keynote addresses more of a move-up market, with the target group consisting of young professionals looking for maintenance freedom close to downtown -- but also looking for high-end amenities and finishes, she says. Keynote units will have such standards as cork flooring, nine-foot ceilings, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and walls of glass to take in city views.

The complex will include exercise facilities and guest suites. "Everything has been planned to a whole new level," says Elrafie. Keynote Corp. who are the developers, are the same people responsible for owning and operating the Hyatt Regency. They have also been involved in commercial construction in Calgary. The retail component of the development will be the first to open. It is slated to open in spring 2009, followed by the office building, then the first residential tower by fall of '09. The whole complex should be completed by 2010.

A sales centre on site -- 1119 1 St. S.E. -- is open from noon to 6 p.m. Mondays to Thursdays, and noon to 5 p.m. Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays. It includes a full-scale mock-up of a one-bedroom unit. For more information or to register, check the website at www.keynotecalgary.ca.

In Short
Project: The three-tower Keynote complex is to consist of two residential towers with a total of 435 units, an office tower of 14 storeys, and a large retail component on the ground level. The first phase of 119 units sold out last fall and the second phase, the remaining 51 units in the first tower, have just been released. Sunterra Market recently announced it will open in the retail level.

Area: 11th and 12th Avenues S.E. at 1st Street in the Victoria Park area of the inner city.

Prices: From the $300,000s with GST.

Information: A sales centre on site at 1119 1 St. S.E. is open from noon to 6 p.m. Mondays to Thursdays, and noon to 5 p.m. Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays. For more information or to register, visit www.keynotecalgary.com.

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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Old Posted Mar 19, 2007, 1:33 AM
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Rental 'crisis' wider than feared
Housing shortage spread across the province, task force says
Kelly Cryderman Calgary Herald Sunday, March 18, 2007


CREDIT: Grant Black, Calgary Herald
Lynne Moran's rent was doubled to $850 at the start of February.
CREDIT: Grant Black, Calgary Herald
Kent Fisher was told he's being evicted from his apartment because the new landlord plans "major renovations." He believes that's code for a
conversion to condos.

CREDIT: Grant Black, Calgary Herald
Two-thirds of Linda Darwent's monthly AISH cheque goes to pay the rent. She says the provincial government should have acted long ago to foster more affordable housing.
Calgary renter Lynne Moran is filled with frustration and fear. Rent for Moran's basement suite doubled Feb. 1, going to $850 from $425. The mother of two grown children left a relationship and a house more than a year ago and is now on her own, working full time as a receptionist at a car dealership. The increased rent and utilities swallow up one of her two paycheques each month, and she needs to find a cheaper place to live -- quickly. "I have looked everywhere in this city," said Moran, 54. "I can't find anything and it's awful. It's scary."

Albertans like Moran who have been hit by double- or triple-digit percentage increases in their rent, been turfed from their apartments to make way for condominiums, or have seen their dreams of owning a house thwarted by rising prices could all be affected by the results of a report from the Alberta Affordable Housing Task Force, which will go to Municipal Affairs and Housing Minister Ray Danyluk on Monday. Much of what they've heard around the province is pretty grim, say task force members. "It's an all-Alberta crisis out there," said Calgary-Foothills MLA Len Webber, the committee chairman. "I'm hoping the government will look at the report seriously."

Based on a push from Premier Ed Stelmach to find solutions to the housing crunch -- a pledge he made in the run-up to being elected Alberta PC party leader in December -- the committee travelled to nine communities around the province in February and early March with a mandate to report back to Danyluk within 45 days. The 15 members listened to the concerns and collected the suggestions of members of the public, mayors and council members, affordable housing societies, developers, landlords and other organizations. The committee has heard from seniors in Calgary and Edmonton who are using their entire pension cheque to pay their rent, and disabled people who aren't making it on their monthly cheques. They've listened to the arguments for and against rent controls, with many saying any controls would discourage investment and repairs in rentals.

Municipal officials in Fort McMurray told the task force they'll be short 15,500 housing units by 2011, up from the current shortage of 3,900. The task force also heard from communities as small as Elk Point, in northeastern Alberta, where there are no rental units and barely anything for sale. And communities such as Lethbridge and Medicine Hat are seeing the same problems as Calgary -- shelters housing working people. The economic boom has brought prosperity and jobs, but it has also turned Alberta -- which was until the last few years a bastion of relatively cheap housing -- into a much more expensive place. Webber and other committee members say they've been surprised by the scope of the problem, which they had believed was largely concentrated in the province's biggest cities and the major oil and gas hubs.

"I knew the situation in Calgary, I knew the situation in Edmonton, Fort McMurray and Grande Prairie. But we have, throughout the province with this overheated economy, serious problems," said Edmonton NDP MLA Ray Martin, a member of the task force. "Even in places like Medicine Hat and Lethbridge . . . it's a provincewide problem rather than the two major cities." It's no surprise to Red Deer's Barb Joslin, 53, who receives monthly disability benefits due to nerve damage in her legs. She spoke to the committee because her rent leaves her with only $149 in spending money at the end of the month -- and she's now been told her rent is going up. "It's a dignity thing -- whether you go to the food bank or whatever," Joslin said.

Reg Dawson, project co-ordinator at the Lethbridge Housing Authority, who also made a presentation to the committee, said his city is experiencing "echo" effects from the boom in Calgary. While there are about 2,100 people on the waiting list for affordable housing in Calgary, which has a population of more than one million, there are 400 on the list for the Lethbridge Housing Authority -- population 80,000. "Everybody is feeling additional housing pressures," Dawson said. Only in the last few months, the big-city phenomenon of rental properties being converted into condos is popping up in Lethbridge, he added. "That creates a bit of a shortage for rental accommodation."

Back in Calgary, condo conversions have been all the rage for some time. "The decline in the rental stock can mostly be attributed to the continuation in conversion of units from rental tenure to condominium," reports the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, noting that 946 Calgary rental units were converted into condos in 2006 with virtually no new construction of rentals. Kent Fisher, 55, is in the middle of another CMHC statistic. The dump-truck driver moved to the low-rise Greenview Drive apartments in the northeast part of the city last May. In February, he was sent a letter by the apartment's new owners, Red Trout Inc., telling him he has to move out in three months because the company is making "major renovations" to the buildings. Unmentioned in the letter is the fact the units are listed for sale as condos on the company's website. Kent believes he's entitled to six months' notice -- the period required under Alberta's Residential Tenancies Act if a building is being converted into condos. And he's determined to stick to his guns. "They're not going to shove me around," Fisher said. "These people who are just buckling under and just leaving right away, that's exactly what Red Trout Inc. wants. I'm not going to put up with that. They're going to fight me right to the end. In another six months, the market might be better."

Service Alberta, the department that administers the law, is looking into the matter. "We're concerned about it and we're going to be taking a look at this particular building," said spokesman Eoin Kenny. Brian O'Kane of Red Trout Inc. wouldn't comment. While the condo conversions have eaten up rental spots, they've also encouraged a smattering of so-called "economic evictions," where a landlord gets tenants out faster by increasing the rent by dramatic amounts -- sometimes into the thousands of dollars. These and other rent increase have spurred calls from some quarters for rent controls in Alberta. Currently there are no legal limits to the size of rent increases landlords are allowed to give as often as twice each year. The Tory government and landlords' groups such as the Calgary Apartment Association have spoken out against rent controls, saying they discourage investment in rentals and their upkeep.

Both the NDP and Liberals don't like referring to them as rent controls, but are calling for temporary "rent guidelines" or "rent regulation." For instance, the Liberals want a 10 per cent limit on rent increases for a period of 12 months when the vacancy rate dips below three per cent. "I think that's doable because I think that won't interfere with new rental accommodation projects that are in the pipeline right now," said Dave Taylor, Liberal MLA for Calgary-Currie. "If you put it on in a way that allows it to run on for more than a year, you're going to interfere with the marketplace. But "renters need protection on an interim basis." The minister, Ray Danyluk, said he's willing to consider any and all solutions and that's why opposition members were made an integral part of the task force. He said he's determined to act quickly. "Why would we as a government ask the opposition and the third party to be a part of the report if we didn't value their direction, because they have done some work. We need to put it all together and we need to come up with the best solution."

Linda Darwent, 60, attended the meeting in Calgary and spoke to the task force members because two-thirds of her income -- which comes from CPP and the Alberta government's Assured Income for the Severely Handicapped -- goes to her rent and any cost increase will do her in. "I don't know what I'll do or where I'll go," Darwent said in an interview. "The stress of trying to make ends meet is unbearable." Darwent wants the government to invest more in non-profit housing. "Get the thing done," she said. "Action should have been taken a long time ago." It's for people such as Darwent -- who are spending large portions of their incomes on housing -- that Chris MacFarlane, director of Poverty Reduction for Calgary's United Way, made her presentation to the committee.

"Affordable housing is an issue that needs a concerted, long-term strategy with firm leadership by the provincial government," MacFarlane said.
But in the short term, she said, the province needs to take actions such as expanding its rent-subsidy program, using reserved municipal and school lands for affordable housing, providing financial incentives to developers to include affordable housing units in their buildings and public relations campaigns encouraging secondary or basement suites. It remains to be seen whether the report will contain MacFarlane and others' suggestions for improving the situation. The government will take as long as six weeks to reply to the report.

But at this point, said University of Calgary political analyst David Taras, government action on housing can't come fast enough. "The future of the province really depends on housing," Taras said. "If people don't have a place to live, and workers can't get to work, we won't have a boom. This will be the brakes on the boom." Not only are people with disabilities or low-wage jobs in danger of not having safe and comfortable homes, Taras said, but Albertans who always assumed they'd be able to buy a house may face a much tougher challenge. Part of the "gold standard" of a good middle-class life in Alberta has always been home ownership, he said. "All of a sudden, we're a big city and all of the rules have changed. That gold standard is slipping for a lot of people." Taras said former premier Ralph Klein was often forgiven his foibles because he was credited with the prosperity of the province. However, Stelmach won't be given the same leverage, Taras said. "The downside of the boom can land on him like a 10-tonne truck," Taras said. "So he has three to six months -- my sense -- to turn it around and show that life is going to be better. And so housing, in terms of showing action on that front, becomes incredibly important."

kcryderman@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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Budget ‘disastrous’ for energy industry
Spending riles business leaders
GEOFFREY SCOTTON
CALGARY HERALD
Aside from representatives of small enterprises and manufacturers, business leaders slammed Monday’s federal budget for too much spending and too little tax relief, for targeting Alberta’s economy-driving oilsands projects and for failing to take better leadership in debt reduction.

“We’ve given it a thumbs down,” said Calgary Chamber of Commerce chairman Hal Walker. “This budget is disastrous to the Canadian energy industry.”

Canada West Foundation chief economist Todd Hirsch said the budget was politically-driven attempt to curry electoral support.

“There were massive increases in spending, very, very minimal reductions in taxes,” Hirsch said. “Anyway you want to split it, it was a political budget, not an economically sound budget.”

Front and centre in the crosshairs of the Chamber of Commerce and others was Ottawa’s decision to phase out the Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance (ACCA) for oilsands projects by 2015, a revenue-neutral tax deferral program that helps facilitate financing for oilsands projects.

Walker was livid about comments by federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty suggesting the move was targeted at “those who have avoided paying their fair share of taxes.”

“A change to the ACCA for oilsands developers undermines the single-largest contributor to Canada’s economic prosperity,” he said.

Others business leaders noted federal debt reduction appears less of a priority.

“Servicing that debt is 16 per cent of total government spending,” noted John Carpenter, executive director and CEO of the Certified General Accountants of Alberta.

“They need to get more aggressive on that with a longterm aggressive plan. There needed to be general reductions in income taxes and there was supposed to be a one per cent reduction in the GST out there that nobody’s talking about anymore.”

Still, representatives of small and medium sized business like moves to reduce paperwork and to boost by 50 per cent the lifetime capital gains on the sale of a business to $750,000.

“There’s a lot of little things in the budget for entrepreneurs, so overall, we’re pleased,” said Dan Kelly, with the Canadian Federation of Independent Business.

“There’s some movement on the tax side . . . and regulatory reform and red tape reform . . . and recognition of the shortage of labour,” Kelly added. “There’s recognition that the skills and labour agenda is a big one.”

Similarly, Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters vice-president for Alberta Brian McCready lauded the government’s decision to provide special two-year ACCAs to the manufacturing sector.

Although Alberta’s manufacturing sector is booming, the industry in vote-rich Ontario and Quebec has been suffering, costing central Canadian factories tens of thousands of jobs.

Oilpatch fuming over tax changes
GEOFFREY SCOTTON
CALGARY HERALD
Business leaders and energy industry representatives worry that Ottawa’s decision to phase out a key oilsands tax deferral plan — the Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance, or ACCA — will endanger billions of dollars in future projects.

“It’s not good news for oilsands producers,” said Todd Hirsch, chief economist with the Calgary-based Canada West Foundation. “They will be very upset and very angry.”

Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced the program, which applies to all mining projects, will be phased out by 2015 for oilsands mining. The change was paired with a move to extend an a similar program to promote new environmentfriendly technologies in the oilpatch, such as carbon capture and storage, along with a special two-year allowance for manufacturers.

“They’re obviously trying to steer the investments into more of the green technologies. There’s a bit of a carrot,” said Hirsch. “It’s not going to balance the stick.”

Alberta Energy spokesman Jason Chance said Alberta is disappointed with Ottawa’s move, citing a lack of consultation in changing what was part of a key 1995 federal-provincial agreement, but also in light of a provincial review of energy royalties.

The cumulative effect of the phase-out of the tax deferral plan, Alberta’s royalty review, new provincial and soon-toemerge federal climate change policies, and rising materials and labour costs is disturbing, said Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers vicepresident Greg Stringham.

“It has a negative impact on the decisions going forward. It’s really the four layers of uncertainty,” said Stringham.

“It’s so hard for people to make investment decisions to invest $10 billion in projects like this, if you can’t see through the crystal ball — it’s so cloudy with all these layers.”

The ACCA currently allows mining companies that are financing massive projects to pay less taxes in the early years of their project and more taxes in the later years. The vehicle is revenue neutral, but does provide an incentive and facilitates financing for what are long life projects with price tags in the double-digit billions of dollars.

The Pembina Institute, an environmental think-tank, didn’t think Monday’s announcement went far enough. It wanted the deferral plan axed completely immediately.

Rain of money likely to delay election
CALGARY’S EYE ON NATIONAL POLITICS
DON MARTIN
OTTAWA
The only special interest not helped by Monday’s federal budget was, ironically, Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

His party is primed and poised to capitalize on a campaign-ready budget chock full of electorate perks he might not be able to afford next year if the vote is delayed.

But there’s no way this budget will be the catalyst to hit the hustings this spring.

It’s a family friendly, Confederation-rebalancing, province-equalizing, 477-page whopper of runaway spending engineered to buy this new, green, middle-class, mainstreamed government a clear shot at a majority rule.

Problem is, it will take all three of Harper’s opponents to successfully torpedo him in the House of Commons — and since the Bloc is on board, the Liberals and New Democrats can only pretend to declare war by refusing to support the budget.

MARTIN: Quebec the biggest winner
From page A1
They would wave a white flag before triggering an election over this motherhood and apple pie document.

In this budget, they can only see themselves if they had power to blow the billions that have magically appeared as the tax collector’s payoff from a roaring economy. The only ideology driving Harper at this time and place is piling surplus dollars on hesitant voters to build up support.

Truckers, tree huggers, three-down football backers, ethanol or biodiesel producers, the disabled, the retired and young parents — no special interest was overlooked for a handout, although the bureaucrat trying to explain the budgetary reward for aboriginal groups had the easy job of having almost nothing to report.

Of course, nobody gets a bigger bang of federal bucks than Quebec Premier Jean Charest, now in the throes of fighting for re-election in a three-way race with only a week of rebound time left in his campaign.

My francophone colleagues had a guffaw when they spotted the title of the budget document —“Aspire,” as in to strive for greatness. In French it means “suck,” as in draining the federal treasury of more than its share of the spending surge.

The number crunchers say the Quebec treasury will siphon off 30 cents of every new spending dollar — not bad for a province with less then 25 per cent of the population and the ongoing beneficiary of fiscal coddling.

And what’s good for Quebec comes, naturally, courtesy of powerhouse provinces like Alberta. For example, Quebec gets $2.2 billion, or almost half, of the combined boosts in this year’s equalization and social transfer dollars, even though it already pockets $2 billion more in federal spending per year than it contributes.

The prosperity dividend for provinces like Alberta and B.C. was, um, nothing. Harper reneged on his promise not to include resource revenue in the new equalization formula, but then again, neither province gets equalization now. Harper will phase out a tax break for building the oilsands, but will allow them tax advantages to install greener technology. And, the move to impose market value taxation on property in the equalization formula will hurt B.C. should it lurch into harder economic times and fall back into have-not provincial status.

The not-so-subtle message inside the stack of budget documents was a blatant gerrymandering of expenditures to conform with electoral opportunism. Regional affections deemed necessary for Conservative electoral gain — Ontario and Quebec, in other words — were blanketed with dollars. Regions where the vote is true-blue Conservative and unlikely to shift toward rivals — that’s you Alberta — were left without special rewards.

The Conservatives clearly had an embarrassment of riches to spend — and the prime minister barely blushed as he spent it.

If any proof of a government with more money than imagination to spend it on was required, consider the truckers’ meal deduction. Nobody could recall a serious lobby by long-haul truckers for an 80 per cent writeoff for their food and drink, but they got it, the better to nail down their vote. And you’ve got to look a tad askance at the new fund to support Canadian lacrosse and football as heritage sports.

Pick any Jean Chretien or Paul Martin budget and this was its equal or one better in spending growth. A government that insisted it would not boost expenditures ahead of average economic growth escalated spending 7.9 per cent against GDP growth of 2.3 per cent. Harper will need a great depression in three years to make the long-term average fit to his formula.

Still, most reaction will be predictable and pleasant. Ontario will gush praise, Quebecers will complain less than usual and Albertans will merely shrug and wonder why they keep sending their tax dollars to die in Ottawa for political purposes.

Environmentalists will note the word Kyoto did not appear in the document and demand hard caps on emissions, although they would be forced to admit Harper went deeper green than anyone had a right to expect.

The child tax credit will be music to a young family’s ears, the boost on registered education savings put a smile on parents of post-secondary students and those with disabled children have reason to be pleased thanks to a new registered savings plan.

Stephen Harper has unleashed an election-ready budget — and that ensures his opponents won’t give him one.
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Mon, March 26, 2007
Mustard seed building affordable housing units
UPDATED: 2007-03-26 01:46:17 MST


By DOUG MCINTYRE, SUN MEDIA

The Mustard Seed Ministry is hoping to plant new seeds with its recent purchase of a building to provide desperately needed housing for Calgary's working poor.

Executive director Pat Nixon said the city's affordable housing crunch has forced the shelter to look at providing what he hopes will be hundreds of low-income suites at the newly acquired site on 10 Ave. S.E., located right behind the Mustard Seed's existing facility at 102 11 Ave. S.E.

"We don't want to build more short-term crisis housing, which is tough for me to even say," said Nixon.

The two-storey building was bought for $3 million and will be demolished to make way for an affordable housing facility.

"It's not the building we're interested in so much as the location," said Nixon, adding he's not yet sure when the new facility will open its doors.

Nixon added the short-term needs remain critical, especially with the temporary homeless shelter at the former Brick store on 16th Ave. N. slated to be closed next Sunday.






A better boom
UPDATED: 2007-03-22 01:50:09 MST

Alberta's upswing on firm foundation, economist says

By P.J. HARSTON, SUN MEDIA

One of America's more controversial economists, Paul Krugman, told more than 1,100 of Alberta's business and political elite yesterday that "things are different this time."

He was referring to the economic boom that's descended upon this province, thanks to the world's thirst for raw materials and resources, specifically oil.

"This is a better, more soundly based boom than those of the past," he said, addressing the crowd at Edmonton Economic Development Corporation's annual luncheon.

"None of this should be taken to mean don't diversify -- you don't want to be a monoculture," said Krugman, who is a Princeton University economics professor, author and New York Times op-ed columnist.

RECESSION LOOMS

Not all is rosy, though, he added, outlining problems cropping up in the U.S. economy that could have wide-reaching implications across the continent and the world.

"The U.S. is facing a recession or at least a serious slowdown fairly soon," he said.

Krugman noted that the sub-prime lending situation in the U.S. is reaching its predictable conclusion, where predatory lenders have financed houses for people who can't afford them and will default on their mortgages.

This has already affected the financial markets recently and has brought back thoughts of the 1979 to 1982 "double-dip recession" as well as the 1991 recession, he said.

Krugman said that right now the markets are relatively stable because stakeholders are optimistic that these are different times -- we haven't seen a return to "stagflation" of the 1980s, when the economy was stagnant and inflation rose.

"We can now weather oil price fluctuations better," he said.

Worldwide growth and demand is the driving force behind the economy right now and that's good for resource and raw material rich countries, he added.

Incoming EEDC president and chief executive Ron Gilbertson, speaking at the same luncheon, said growth and demand in the Greater Edmonton region comes with its share of challenges as a result of that worldwide demand for oil.

"Our No. 1 challenge is how to manage growth without putting a strain on the people or a strain on the economy," he said.

That's been a recurring theme in this province as industry struggles with a lack of workers, skyrocketing wages, high inflation and housing costs.

"We need to have growth that's managed," said Gilbertson. "Not just a bigger community, but a better community as well."

The EEDC is a is a not-for-profit company owned by the City of Edmonton that is responsible for regional economic development, regional tourism marketing, and management of the Shaw Conference Centre and Edmonton Research Park.
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Construction chaos
Calgary revs up for frenetic summer
Calgary Herald Sunday, April 01, 2007

It's the inevitable downside to the arrival of warmer weather: road work season. This year the pylons, detours and jackhammers will be out in full force for what will be the busiest road construction season in Calgary history. Major projects hit high gear in coming months throughout the city, likely spelling longer commutes for drivers already weary of traffic jams. But the biggest impacts will be felt downtown, where work on several commercial and residential projects will either choke or shut key roads. The bright side? A host of major work is scheduled to finish this year, leaving Calgary's mayor to suggest there might actually be less roadwork next year.

Slow drive to finish line
Take solace: silver lining is that a slew of major projects will finally wrap up
Joel Kom Calgary Herald Sunday, April 01, 2007

When you find yourself wedged among hundreds of other drivers, sitting in yet another traffic jam this summer, it might help to think you're being stalled by city history. OK, maybe it won't, but at least you can take solace in the fact there is a silver lining to the litany of orange pylons that will dot the city's roads in the months ahead. This coming road construction season will see a frenetic pace of activity unlike any Calgary has witnessed, with provincial and municipal projects carrying a total price eclipsing $2.28 billion. That doesn't even include the major private-sector work -- carrying a value of more than $2.6 billion -- that will also disrupt major routes. "It'll be the biggest construction season in our city's history," Mayor Dave Bronconnier said. But with that, Bronconnier added, comes the silver lining: this year will see a slew of major projects finished or nearly wrapped up, lifting the blockages from some of the city's arteries.

There are even hints that municipal construction work may be peaking this year as the infrastructure backlog starts to ease. Frustrated drivers should try to think those happy thoughts while they sit in the heat of traffic jams, Bronconnier suggested. "I think they'll be pretty happy to see a lot of those projects nearing (completion) or complete," he said. "We have less projects identified for next year," he added, noting that could change depending on the upcoming provincial budget. The Glenmore Trail work at Elbow Drive and 5th Street S.W. is among those slated to rid of orange-vested workers this year.
When the alterations are finished in the fall, it will end more than two years of work -- at a $110-million cost -- on a road that carries more than 100,000 cars a day.City officials are relieved at the prospect of paving the last metres of a project that, at times, has looked like it was hit by a meteor shower.
Congestion caused by work on C-Train extensions is also expected to clear up by the end of the year. While the actual northwest and northeast extensions won't be running until next year, the road construction affecting drivers should finish by the end of the year. Those projects include widening Crowchild Trail N.W., building the Crowchild Trail and Nose Hill Drive N.W. interchange and finishing the McKnight Boulevard and 36th Street N.E. interchange.

Total cost for all that work? Around $460 million. But it will be a slow drive to the finish line for those who have to manoeuvre around the construction while it's still underway. The northwest LRT work will be tough on drivers because it's so close to Crowfoot Towne Centre. "That's an area that's especially difficult," said Ian Norris, the city's director of transportation infrastructure. He also pointed to the Bow Trail widening from 37th Street S.W. to Strathcona Boulevard as another high-impact project to be highlighted by detours. And, of course, there's the 16th Avenue N. widening, an $80-million project that's resulted in concrete barriers lining the roads for two years -- and will still for at least another year. The province will be cranking its machinery into gear on the Stoney Trail northwest and northeast ring roads, though the impacts there should be minimal this year. Deerfoot Trail will be the site of some minor work this summer around Barlow and Peigan Trails, with some slowdowns expected.

But if you want to talk detours, congestion and road closures, look no further than downtown. While most major infrastructure work will be happening throughout the city, the construction season's biggest headaches will be felt in the core. The Bow, EnCana Corp.'s billion-dollar, 58-storey office tower, will shut down 6th Avenue between 1st Street S.E. and Centre Street for up to 11 months. There could be more ripple effects after talk of also closing a lane on 5th Avenue came up last week. City council delayed a decision on more road closures until the full impact of the tower's construction was laid out.
There will be other downtown work. The Penny Lane towers, another billion-dollar commercial complex, will break ground soon and likely force some road closures over the next four years. Add in Centennial Place at 3rd Avenue and 4th Street S.W. and Jamieson Place at 4th Avenue and 2nd Street S.W.
With all that hammering, city council will be eyeing how hard developers try to prevent their projects from spilling onto the streets, said Ald. Madeleine King, whose ward envelops downtown.

The city may have to toughen rules encouraging more in-site construction, depending on the traffic headaches created by the upcoming work, she said.
King said the city will post the latest construction information on its website. And aside from the usual advice to find other routes and to leave a little earlier from home, King reminded drivers -- some of whom she hopes will become cyclists and pedestrians -- to remember that this work will be worth it.
"Success is easier to live through than failure," she said. "Breathe deeply, try focusing on how the boom is affecting your life positively and play some nice music."

jkom@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007




Emotions mixed as landmark closes
GwendolynRichards Calgary Herald Sunday, April 01, 2007

Discounts helped Penny Lane store owners get ready to move out.Paper-covered windows and signs advertising discounts took the place of most store displays Saturday as Penny Lane businesses marked their last day in the city landmark. Throughout the building, posters thanked people for their patronage -- the message typed over an image of the two new skyscrapers that will replace the squat heritage buildings. Penny Lane will be demolished to make way for a billion-dollar project made up of two commercial towers.

At Ceili's Irish Pub, servers were bracing for a busy night, but also taking time to recognize the final hours at the Penny Lane location. Friday night must have been a "gong show," server Paula Espinoza said, judging from the mess when she walked in Saturday. By mid-afternoon, some staff were busy taking pictures of each other holding up various decorations from the bar. "I think they (the owners) want to keep all that stuff," Espinoza said, gesturing to the decorations piled above the bar. "Whatever doesn't get stolen." Patrons have been pillaging the pub; pale rectangles on the back wall are ghostly reminders of where posters once hung. Upstairs at the Spa at Angles, owner Anna Sannderss remained upbeat as she managed a day full of bookings and the inevitable packing. But she was upset she was only given eight days notice about the closure, which forced her to cancel bookings made for the next couple of weeks. "The only thing I wish was for a little bit more time," she said.

Former manager Beata Gorniak, who returned to help pack, said the spa's new location just down 8th Avenue will be great, but nothing can replace the history of Penny Lane. "It's really sad. There's a lot of heritage. This building here is almost 100 years old. To destroy it to put up modern buildings is very saddening," she said. At Tango Living, antique furniture bore red sale stickers. Owner Susan Abbiati said she is fine with the closure because she knew that was the plan since she opened about six months earlier. "I think it'll be even better," she said of the new towers. Project owners hope to start demolition next month and have construction begin in December, pending city approval. The two towers combined will contain almost two million square feet of space with more than one thousand parking stalls and 53,000 square feet for retail-restaurant use on the ground level.

grichards@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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  #36  
Old Posted Apr 6, 2007, 6:28 PM
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Politicians and developers distrusted

The Saint Index also uncovered that Canadians bear a high level of
skepticism regarding relationships between elected officials and developers.
In fact, 60% of respondents expressed concern that these perceived close
relationships can compromise fairness. That number increases to as much as 70%
in Calgary.
"These findings should send a warning to both politicians and
developers," says Fox.
The Saint Index also reveals that 87% of respondents believe that a
political candidate's position on community growth is an important issue to
consider when casting their votes.
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Old Posted Apr 11, 2007, 4:44 PM
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Calgary's set to have Canada's fastest growing economy in 2007, but experts fear our city may be headed for a fall. Is Cowtown pricing itself out of prosperity?
Geoffrey Scotton Calgary Herald Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Calgary's growth will outpace all other Canadian cities again in 2007, according to estimates released Tuesday by the Conference Board of Canada -- but the organization is worried this city may be setting itself up for a fall. In its thrice-yearly Metropolitan Outlook, the Ottawa-based economic research institute said Calgary's economy will expand by 4.2 per cent in real terms -- and quite possibly more -- in 2007, building on what it described as a "remarkable" 6.9 per cent gain in 2006.

That would make Calgary's economy Canada's fastest growing for an unprecedented fifth straight year. "It's quite amazing," said the board's director of Metropolitan Outlook, economist Mario Lefebvre. "It's pretty hard to repeat as No. 1, but you are doing it almost systematically." However, Lefebvre is concerned Calgary has grown too fast for too long, and that shortages apparent in labour, materials, housing, office space, infrastructure, transit and health care may be just a foreboding of much larger problems.

In short, he's nervous Calgary is pricing itself out of prosperity by becoming too expensive to attract the migrants and immigrants it absolutely needs to grow. It's a scenario that could lead to skyrocketing wages and in turn an economic slowdown followed by a collapse in housing prices. "If a soft correction does not materialize, maybe at some point it will mean a hard correction will come," said Lefebvre. "I'm worried that if a correction does not take place, it will eventually come -- but come harder than expected."

Calgary's expected performance in 2007 puts it at the head of pack dominated by western Canadian cities, as the top five municipalities are all west of Manitoba and include Saskatoon, Victoria and Vancouver. Right behind Calgary is the provincial capital of Edmonton, with 3.7 per cent growth, making 2007 the fourth consecutive year that Calgary and Edmonton have ranked No. 1 and No. 2 in growth among Canadian cities. The conference board estimates that Edmonton's economy expanded by 5.9 per cent in 2006. Over the medium term, Calgary's economic expansion is forecast to moderate further from the frantic pace of 2006 due to smaller increases in investment, construction and services sector growth, with a four per cent gain in 2008 and a 3.8 per cent increase in 2009. The conference board believes a recovering central Canadian economy will spur Toronto to a better performance and lift it to top spot by 2009. It would be the first time in more than half a decade Calgary has not held the No. 1 spot.

Other forecasts of Calgary activity are similar to those from the conference board. City of Calgary manager of corporate economics Patrick Walters told the Herald the city is planning for an expansion of 4.5 per cent in 2007 after estimated growth of six per cent in 2006. Walters's expectation for 2008 is a further four per cent increase. "It's roughly the same thing," said Walters. "Compared to last year, we're saying '07 will be lower because of a number of reasons," he added, citing lower oil prices than in 2006 and no repeat of the billions of dollars in provincial rebate cheques distributed in January 2006.Calgary Economic Development is forecasting 3.9 per cent growth, but the agency's director of research and business information, Adam Legge, emphasized that needs to be put in context.

"It's very solid. Anything shy of a repeat performance of 2006 would appear from a numbers perspective to be a slowdown," said Legge. "But that's not a bad thing when you contextualize it about what 2006 actually put upon the city in terms of stretching our capacity." Alberta is expected to lead Canadian provinces over the medium and longer term. But at 4.7 per cent growth in 2007 is expected to be surpassed by Newfoundland and Labrador, where resources projects are set to boost growth dramatically to a five per cent annual rate, but only for a single year. Growth in Alberta was 6.3 per cent in 2006, the highest in Canada, and will dip to 4.7 per cent this year. The conference board sees average 4.1 per cent growth in the 2008-to-2011 period and 4.2 per cent in the 2002-to-2011 period, both by far the highest growth rates of any Canadian province.

gscotton@theherald.canwest.com

© The Calgary Herald 2007
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  #38  
Old Posted Apr 13, 2007, 4:04 AM
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Stampede expansion worth yahooing about
Robert Remington, Calgary Herald
Tuesday, April 10, 2007

Every great city has a central gathering space. Calgary still does not have one that works.

Eau Claire Market is a disaster. Olympic Plaza isn't user friendly. Prince's Island is under stress.

Our best chance, our only one, perhaps, is the expansion and redevelopment of Stampede Park.

Most cities would die for the opportunity that Calgary has been given -- a large space of developable land next to downtown, bordered by the meandering Elbow River and easily accessible by rapid transit. That's the hand that Calgary has been dealt with Stampede Park, and it's all aces.

By 2020, if they do it right, Stampede Park will be transformed from a gated parking lot into a greener, year-round public meeting place. It might not be the Piazza Navona in Rome, Trafalgar in London or Federation Square in Melbourne, but it will be the closest thing we're going to get to St. Peter's Square here in the land of casinos and cowboy hats.

In the overheated economy of Alberta, it won't come cheap. The Calgary Stampede's original estimate for the transformation of Stampede Park was $550 million. According to a report going to the city's finance and corporate services committee, that figure has risen by $30 million for two buildings alone -- a new casino and an agriculture complex -- mostly in labour and construction costs. Like everything else in Alberta, you can blame it on the boom.

To make room for its expansion, the Stampede still must finalize the paperwork on 23 outstanding properties approved by city council for expropriation in March 2005, seven years after negotiations were begun with more than 200 property owners in Victoria Park.

Gentrification is not a pretty process. The expansion of Stampede Park has had deleterious effects on Victoria Park, a community older than Calgary itself. It resigned itself long ago to being devoured by the slumbering giant in its midst and, with little security of permanence, the neighbourhood has been in decline for 30 years.

"The community was exhausted by this continual struggle," said a 1996 report by the International Development Research Centre that looked at Stampede expansion as part of a housing rights study in three Canadian cities.

"It had been extremely difficult to resist the entire weight of the establishment and the strength of its political forces," the report said.

Among the Stampede expropriation victims is the John Howard Society, whose Bedford House for ex-cons is threatened with closure. A recent attempt by the society to build a new halfway house in Sunalta was defeated by public pressure from Sunalta and the neighbouring community of Scarboro.

Victoria Park also had some of the most affordable housing in the city. It is always the weakest and most vulnerable in society that get displaced when the forces of power begin to move, but it's too late to lament that now.

The plans for expansion and redevelopment of Stampede Park are exciting. There will be markets, an agriculture college, a much-needed outdoor performing arts space, a hotel and an overall greening of the place that will finally put the "park" in Stampede Park. The banks of the Elbow River will be cleared of horse barns to make it the urban park it always should have been.

Enjoy it, because you're paying for a good chunk of it. Of the Stampede's $180-million budget last year, the province coughed up $35 million, in addition to the $10 million the park got from lottery revenue and another $354,000 in additional provincial grants. The city doesn't kick in any dough, but it does back the Stampede's $30-million line of credit.

In return, the Stampede generates $345 million for the Alberta economy. The vast majority of it, $300 million annually, comes to Calgary.

The Stampede Park expansion could be one of the best things to happen to Calgary. Unless they really screw it up, it should be Calgary's equivalent of New York's Rockefeller Plaza, Portland's Pioneer Courthouse Square, San Francisco's Washington Square, Vancouver's Stanley Park and, who knows, maybe even a bit of Piazza Navona -- all rolled into one big cowboy stompin' ground. Yahoo.
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  #39  
Old Posted Apr 13, 2007, 4:13 AM
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Stampede expansion balloons by $30M
New casino, agriculture centre hit by rising construction costs
Kim Guttormson, Calgary Herald
Published: Tuesday, April 10, 2007
Two projects that are part of the Stampede expansion will cost $30 million more than anticipated.

A report going to the civic finance committee Wednesday says the new casino will cost $50 million, up from $34 million, while the price of the agriculture building has climbed $14 million, to $60 million.

The casino cost includes a $2.5-million increase necessary after the city's planning commission required changes to the design, notably moving a restaurant so it fronted along the street, and adding public art.


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The new Calgary Stampede Casino is under construction next to the Roundup Centre. Costs of the building are heading up.
Dean Bicknell, Calgary Herald
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Font: ****Warren Connell, the Stampede's vice-president of park development and operations, said discussions about the design meant they went to tender later than expected, which in this market can lead to increased costs.

"But it was the first project out of our expansion plan, and certainly both the city and the Stampede wanted to get it right for the community interface piece," he said, referring to how the building fits with pedestrians walking by on 12th Avenue S.E.

He added the initial project estimates two years ago weren't based on specific designs, just a size.

"The 2005 estimates were very, very preliminary," Connell said.

The cost of the casino, expected to be completed by August 2008, will be covered by borrowing and the Stampede's internal cash flow, the report said.

The Stampede saw its revenues increase 13 per cent in 2006, while its net income rose 30 per cent.

The agriculture building is being redesigned to take advantage of the barns that won't be required by thoroughbred or harness racing after this year. There is no start date.

The other main building project on site, the Roundup Centre, will come in at $50 million, entirely funded by the provincial government, and will be finished by the spring of 2009.

Ald. Madeleine King, who sits on the Stampede board, said Calgary's heated construction market -- and its demand for labour and materials -- has put pressure on everything being built in the city.

"However careful you are with construction projects at the moment, there is a price escalation month over month," she said, adding the board has been careful with its oversight.

Connell said a 14 to 22 per cent contingency is being built into the tenders now going out.

Cost escalations have affected projects across the city. The Calgary Zoo is looking at building its expansion project in stages to manage the price jumps. The northwest portion of the provincial ring road will cost about $156 million more than expected.

The city saw the cost of its Pine Creek wastewater treatment plant jump to about $370 million from an initial budget last year of $240 million.

And the budget for the Bearspaw and Glenmore water and wastewater treatment plants is estimated to climb $25.4 million above the $303 million approved last year.
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Old Posted Apr 14, 2007, 4:18 PM
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Downtown homes get top dollar
UPDATED: 2007-04-13 01:48:09 MST

Calgary sixth most expensive in world

By NADIA MOHARIB, SUN MEDIA


More Calgarians are buying downtown homes but paying top price for the prime location.

People who live downtown in some of Canada's largest cities generally pay less per-square foot than people in cities around the world and enjoy shorter daily commutes to work, according to a recent survey done on first-time home buyers by Century 21.

Calgary ranks sixth most expensive of 31 cities surveyed around the world.

The cost to buy in Calgary's downtown is even more than settling in Toronto's core, which ranked 16th in the survey with an average cost running $209 per sq. ft.

George Bamber, owner of a Calgary-based Century 21 said it's a sign of a city maturing and becoming more like Vancouver or Toronto, where downtown is a place where people live and work. "You just get more real estate for your money outside of downtown," he said. "To live downtown people pay for it."

A condo in Southwood, for instance, would run about $323 a sq. ft while downtown goes for about $500.

Still Bamber said the interest in downtown living only seems to be getting more popular -- a sign Calgary is "getting to be more like a big city.


"People want to be close to restaurants and bars and don't want to drive an hour to work," he said.

He said 30% of the housing market is condos -- the bulk of which are in downtown.

The survey showed Vancouver placing fourth most expensive at $577 per sq. ft., while Edmonton was 10th most expensive at $322.

In Calgary, a typical first-time buyer would choose a one-bedroom, one-bath 500-sq. ft. apartment in Mission or Connaught priced at about $250,000 and a 10-minute drive or 20-minute walk to the Calgary Tower.

---

TOP 10 MOST EXPENSIVE DOWNTOWN MARKETS

- Paris $1051/sq.ft.

- Moscow $688/sq.ft

- Seoul $630/sq.ft

- Vancouver $577/sq.ft

- London, U.K. $532/sq.ft

- Calgary $500/sq.ft

- Athens $375/sq.ft

- New York City $375/sq.ft

- Tokyo, $325/sq.ft

- Edmonton $322/sq.ft

St. John's and Quebec City had the lowest and second-lowest per-square-foot downtown prices of all 31 cities surveyed, at $55 and $93 respectively.

The two lowest per-square-foot prices for international cities were Istanbul, Turkey and Sydney, Australia, at $94 and $105 respectively.

Vancouver was fourth most expensive at $577 per square foot while Calgary was sixth most expensive.
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