Quote:
Originally Posted by TheRitsman
"Hijacked" what the fuck does that even mean in that context? It was a vote. If I campaign for a specific political person, and I get my friends to as well, does that mean we have hijacked the election?
This study seems to struggle to be objective, which is ironic because this is supposed to be an urban planning oriented school. If people would move to nearby cities with ground related housing that tells me those other cities should be stopping sprawl too, not that Hamilton should.
Add to all of this that dense housing is in massive demand, moreso than ground related housing, and it just doesn't make sense to me. Hamilton decided to be the progressive one for once, and the results of this study are "Hamilton should not be progressive because other cities are not".
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I agree the author here has taken quite an editorialist tone to the article, which isn't exactly professional, but the research seems generally sound.
The critique of it is more on the opinions of the general public on the issue, not the right vs wrong of the issue itself. The author argues that people's desires for housing and statistically accurate polling indicates strong support for expanding the boundary, not the other way around.
I think their points of "sprawl shifting" are valid as well - people will move to buy the product they want, creating less ideal situations. Like it or not trying to fight the market infinitely is a somewhat futile exercise.
We also have to remember that this discussion is also not nearly as black and white as many make it out to be - even the "sprawl" option council was considering and which the PCs are likely to enforce on the City involves roughly double the current intensification rate and is still far below market demand for unit types.
No urban boundary expansion means roughly 80% of new units will be apartments, which means that for new homebuyers ground related housing will quickly become a luxury good for only the absolute wealthiest. if only 22% of new housing production is ground related, that means that only the top 22% of incomes will be able to afford it. Is a society where executives live in townhouses really one we are planning for?
That drives back to the fact that it will drive growth away from Hamilton as well. Those executives will simply choose to live in Haldimand County instead where they can buy a 3 acre lot with a massive house on it for the same price of what a new build townhouse will go for in Hamilton, instead of a new build detached in Elfrida if urban expansion had gone forward.
I'm as big a supporter of intensification and density as anyone on these boards, and am not arguing for a full market-based solution here. We can use planning tools to push the housing market in ways we want it to go, but people ultimately vote with their feet and I fear that Hamilton essentially banning new ground related housing will do nothing but push people away.
Forcing the housing market to contort massively by restricting supply of ground related housing to an almost insane degree is not going to be the panacea for quality of life of residents that most here seem to think, it'll do nothing but force down fertility rates and force growth elsewhere where people can build the kind of life they want for themselves, which generally isn't raising 2 kids in an 800sf 2-bed apartment on Rymal Road without a car.