Hot off the (Electron) Press.....I'm looking for the full study right now.
http://www.pennlive.com/newslogs/pat...06.html#064089
Wednesday, June 08, 2005
Studies support efficiencies of rail
By Frank Cozzoli
Of The Patriot-News
An independent study shows rail transit proposed for the Harrisburg area would be a better investment than rapid bus transit, both in cost and maintenance. In a separate survey, nearly 10% of respondents said they would be likely to commute by train.
The study by the Pennsylvania Transportation Institute at the Pennsylvania State University was to be unveiled this afternoon at a press conference on City Island.
Essentially, it says everything that has been done the past 10 years to recreate regional rail across the midstate has been done correctly. Both the research and the studies involved were appropriate for the corridor and compliant with federal requirements, says Dr. Evelyn Thomchick, an associate professor of chain management at Penn State.
Supporters of the CorridorOne project, which eventually link Lancaster, Harrisburg and Carlisle by passenger rail, also released findings of a public perception survey by students at Shippensburg University and Messiah College that suggests potential ridership is consistent with earlier projections.
In that survey, which was not scientific but involved 525 respondents across Cumberland County, 9.9% of respondents said they would ride the train for daily commutes.
"If you asked that same question across the U.S., you would get one half of one percent saying they would use it," says John Ward, president of the midstates Modern Transit Partnership, a group advocating construction of the CorridorOne.
Ward also said 87% of the respondents also felt that reducing traffic congestion should be a priority for elected officials.
A team of five researchers at the transportation institute studied each step of the rail effort, which dates to the early 1990s.The study, which cost about $20,000, showed the project was based on sound methodology and followed all state and federal requirements, Ward said.
The analysis shows the project has the potential to slow the increase in congestion on highways, make them safer and cutting auto emissions.
It also indicates the project could improve overall mobility and promote "transit-oriented" development to make the region more attractive to business.
Capital Area Transit is moving ahead with a system that would run between Lancaster and Harrisburg before being expanded, first to Hampden Twp. and then west to Carilsle.
Assuming similar support in Dauphin and Lancaster counties, Ward says the system has the potential to take a lot of cars off the highways.
"If you take 10% of our catchment area and take them off the highways during the morning and afternoon peaks, weve impacted congestion significantly," Ward says.
Ward said the perception survey adds more vailidity to the project. "...It shows that people are aware of it, people want it, and people will use it," Ward says.
The current Cumberland County commissioners have been critical of the project, questioning ridership estimates and demanding that service be tested on the East Shore before trains are extended to the West Shore.
Commissioners along with the Cumberland County Transportation Authority are exploring the bus rapid-transit option, which has a preliminary pricetag of $50 million.
With the existing infrastructure, Thomchick says, the corridor from Harrisburg to Carlisle could be developed much more quickly for trains than as a bus route.
The analysis also said trains would be more cost-effective.
"Bus rapid transit is not more economical," Ward said. "Our studies showed it was not.
"Now, to have an independent party say that, which specializes in looking at transportation projects, that helps bring validity to the project," Ward said.
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Statewide funding gridlock slows transit project
By Frank Cozzoli
Of The Patriot-News
Supporters of the $87 million CorridorOne rail project expect preliminary engineering to be done by mid-August. From that point, Capital Area Transit and the Modern Transit Partnership have some greased track to travel. The estimated yearly cost to run the 11-station system is $35 million, which has to come from the state. However, CAT wont see it until the Legislature ends its current stalemate on transit funding and reworks the formula for distributing the money.
Until that funding is secured, MTP President John Ward says, the Federal Transit Administration wont allow final design and construction to start.
"Right now, its almost impossible for new kids on the block to get into that funding stream," Ward said. "For every year the state delays in developing a (new) public transportation program, it just pushes our project back."
Ward says, service might begin between Lancaster and Harrisburg is in the last quarter of 2008, and west to Hampden Twp. toward the end of 2009. CorridorOne would be extended west to Carlisle by 2012 at the earliest.
The Harrisburg region remains the only area in the state with traffic volumes over 100,000 vehicles per day where commuters dont have the option of local train service.
According to the most recent numbers available, 122,349 vehicles a day used the South Bridge of I-83. That was in 2002. By 2030, that volume is expected to have grown by 70,000 vehicles.
Regional rail is not the cure-all for the regions growing congestion. But it is part of the overall solution by providing commuters an option.
More than $2.5 billion in expansion work has been identified for Interstate 83 around Harrisburg, and along Interstate 81 from the Maryland line north to Interstate 78
On I-83 alone, it could take 15 to 20 years for all the widening work to be completed. "Easily," says Greg Penny, a spokesman for the District 8 office of the Pennsylvania Department of Transportation.
"The department is really stymied right now in terms of how to afford a lot of this expansion work," Penny says.