Quote:
Originally Posted by newflyer
Abother thing which is worth noting is while Winnipeg is growing at a good rate .. the Winnipeg Capital Region is actually growing at a slightly faster rate.
The economic growth of the Capital Region is strong. I also think as the the Inland Port takes hold I would expect to see further infrastucture and capital investment in the capitcal region.
This will translate into strong growth for the region in the future.
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I'm curious, what study or data does this come from? StatCan doing an analysis of Winnipeg's CMA?
I know that this post is from a month ago, but I just noticed it now and am wondering something...
Three questions, if anyone knows:
- Is the Capital Region a defined and agreed upon area? Is there a map illustrating the capital region? I've heard many different interpretations by people as to where it ends. Some think it includes Selkirk, Lockport, etc (which seems too far for me). I would limit it to the RMs that directly touch Winnipeg. Anyway, there is a variety of opinions out there.
- Correct me if I'm wrong, but if the Wpg Capital Region is, as a whole, growing at a slightly faster rate as compared to just the COW (
City
of
Winnipeg, or "Winnipeg Proper")... that would mean that it's areas like East and West St. Paul, Headingly, etc, that are actually growing faster than the COW.
If so then let me say again, I look forward to the day (perhaps in two decades) when amalgamation is forced upon those leeches sucking blood from the COW. I think when the population density of the townships bordering the COW is at least equal to the COW's suburban areas, amalgamation would be appropriate. Of course, a PC government would never do this - the area of the pond where the leeches lurk is PC territory.
- I wonder, is this growth stat in terms of percentage increase by municipalities in the capital region, or total number of people estimated that will move to or be born within? (in other words, while the % increase in neighbouring RMs is greater than COW, in COW the "head count" is growing faster than the RMs - like how Steinbach is one of the fastest growing cities in MB in terms of % increase, but more actual people are moving to COW).
Quote:
Originally Posted by newflyer
I think its difficult to predict population growth paterns far into the future. There are a great many variables at play.. many of which are not remotely predictible beyond a few years.
Many government departments and private organizations suffer from what is known as "recent bias". Where they take recent trends and project them out indefinatly. Of course this is not accurate. The economic and political environments are not static. The only thing which is predictible, is things will change.. and the ability of a city or region will change along with it.
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Exactly! Great summary of the issues behind long-term population projections.