^ No, not really. Certainly not for office space, where Class A vacancy in central London is about 3.5% (slightly above the long-term average, but pretty low).
I’m not actually sure what data this article is being premised upon.
Quote:
Originally Posted by montréaliste
Yes, I'm happy about the reasons for holding that low income but land-asset rich folks have in England but if this explains the massive vacancy, then it begs a lot of questions.
Why, for instance, does a healthy premium market have a massive vacancy rate and not call the buiding boom a bubble when similar conditions exist in less expensive cities?
The artificial conditions seem to be reasonable only when the market driven is near or at the center of decision making, is it not?
So, the proprietor is set on a commercial rent, deeming it worth 100k for a space to be fallow for 5 years at a demand rate of 70k? Does this make actual sense to you?
Your flip argument is that both the proprietor and ultimate buyer of the building will be punished with strong capital taxes if the property is sold. But is that the only option out of leasing at an equitable demand rate?
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I’m trying to parse this as best I can, knowing that English is not your first language. Are you trying to say that landlords should just cut prices to fill space? That’s not how this works.
Firstly, there is no massive vacancy. But the point I’m trying to make (and that you are not understanding) is that the strong protections that exist for tenants mean that yes, leaving a property fallow IS preferable to renting it at a reduced rate. That’s the whole problem.
If I can get 100k from the right tenant, then I’m not going to give someone a 10-year least for 70k. That would be stupid. I might give someone a 1 year lease for 70k (perhaps with a 6-month break clause), if I know that if I line up another tenant for 100k, then I can kick out the cheaper tenant.
There are also financing implications. The appraisal of the value of the property is going to be based on a cap rate assuming 100k rent. Even if the property is currently untenanted, that valuation stands. If I sign a long-term lease for 70k, then the valuation gets marked down. Not only am I bringing in 30% less monthly rent, but the value of the asset goes down by 30%, and that might put mortgages or other liens into default. You can’t do it.