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Originally Posted by someone123
It's true in aggregate but not true of each taxpayer. The distribution of taxes paid can vary from year to year. Assessment caps will make this even more complicated; the new buyers for example might have to take on a much larger tax burden. When the city is growing by 2% a year, assessments by 20-30%, and the context is a 3% increase in revenue, this can definitely be a significant part of the picture.
As others have said inflation also matters a lot. We are currently in a higher inflation economy and so the nominal dollar amount collected in taxes will go up faster given a fixed real taxation level.
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Indeed. And the cap really does distort everything. It's an abomination, ill-conceived, its downstream effects utterly predictable (and in fact predicted), but irresistible to politicians constitutionally incapable of seeing beyond 4-5 years (i.e., an election cycle). These days there probably isn't a provincial politician anywhere in NS willing to do what needs to be done - kill the thing - politicians also being notoriously gutless, though a number of municipalities have recognized the cap for what it is.
It's intriguing to consider what exactly will happen with assessments this year, depending on how the politicos want the news to land.
The assessment roll is to be filed by 31 December, and typically it's done days or weeks ahead of that. But the Minister has the power to arbitrarily extend that date (up to 31 March), which he could do if the government wanted some additional time to see which way the wind is blowing.
Also, the setting of the base date is a matter wholly within the discretion of the Director of Assessment, so can be changed easily and quickly without the need for amending legislation or getting orders-in-council issued. So theoretically, at least, she (the Director) could, for example, decree that the base date for 2022 could remain 1 Jan 2020, neatly side-stepping the COVID-era market explosion.
I'd bet against either of those things happening, but they technically are possibilities, and these are extremely unusual times, so who knows?
One thing a lot of people forget is that commercial property assessments aren't capped and that could be a big factor this year - especially for apartment buildings whose owners are only allowed rent increases which undoubtedly will be less even than the inflation rate, let alone the market (and hence assessment) increases. Pile a property tax increase on top of rent control and see how well that flies...
As I mentioned the other day, I do find it interesting that no preliminary assessment information was published this year, presumably to keep a lid on bad news and keep the pols' heads out of the line of fire for an extra few months.