Quote:
Originally Posted by Kisai
The only reason Arbutus/Broadway to Science World could work as a street car is because all of those locations could be served with just one vehicle and would otherwise require two transfers by bus to get to anything north of Broadway. It would need a grade separation to go under/over broadway if it's to have any kind of usable frequency, and at that point you may as well grade-separate the entire thing. Arbutus/Broadway to Marine Drive is not viable as a street-car or light rail, because it is not frequency and time competitive to taking the bus that already exists, or a car.
If Uber is really coming this Winter, then all street-car and light rail projects should just be abandoned before they burn a hole in various government budgets. Few people will be willing to take a public transit option that is less frequent than a Taxi, and that is giving the benefit of the doubt to Taxi's.
|
I'm sorry, but the trains crossing Broadway would probably happen at the same kind of frequency as the light at Arbutus changes to allow cars and people to cross the street.
And Uber/Lyft aren't going to replace Transit, they compliment it.
In San Fran, something like 10 out of the top 20 pickup/dropoff locations are transit stations/stops. 1 in 5 rides in the Bay area start or end at a Caltrain or Bart station.
In fact, up until this year, when several airports started letting ride shares pickup/dropoff at terminals, Transit Stops were the number #1 category of pickup/dropoff locations for Lyft (now they are number #2) across the US.
The availability of ride sharing, makes the first/last mile of travel of a transit trip more attractive if it is difficult to make. Caltrain even has special rideshare pickup/dropoff zones at many stations.
The idea that rideshare is going to replace lower cost transit is absurd.
For example, travelling from U of W to Safeco Field in Seattle, is at least a $17 Lyft and can take 30 minutes. It is a 15 minute $2.50 ride on Link.
People typically don't go from doing a cheap thing to a more expensive thing, unless convenience is such an improvement. And in the case of rapid transit, studies show that having ride share available actually increases the convenience of transit. Like if you were going from outside UW to Safeco, you would probably take a $5 Uber to the station and then have an overall shorter and cheaper trip, than if you paid $25 for just Uber.
WRT the Arbutus corridor, if it were a segregated Streetcar, for $2.75 (or less) a ride, that integrated with Skytrain at Arbutus-Broadway, Olympic Village, Science World, and Waterfront, then I think people would be inclined to take it over using Uber.