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Originally Posted by twoNeurons
It's already 29km from Downtown to Surrey, Langley alone adds another 15km. Going to Langley is like building HALF an Expo Line!
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You don't get it. Your only reasoning on how it would be "crazy to push SkyTrain out past Langley" is because it would be more than 45km long to reach downtown Vancouver. Once again that is assuming that everyone's trying to get downtown to begin with, which funnily enough you disproved later on in your post.
Distance from the main city core means nothing in a city and metro as complicated as ours. It's even funnier how you're quoting all of these other cities with pretty much no understanding of their regional commute mechanics.
I have particular reservations of your use of the Tokyo example. The Tokyo/Toei metro network within 16km of the city is probably less than 1/20 of the rapid transit extent, in km, across all JR and private train lines servicing the Kanto region. Your commute radius example is less than 1/3rd of the actual distance radius by which people can (and hundreds of thousands do) commute into Tokyo by a regular train (examples include Fujisawa, Hachioji, Saitama, Kasukabe, Chiba - all within 1 hour of Tokyo, Shibuya or Shinjuku stations by a JR or other rapid transit train), and less than 1/10th of the distance radius people commute into the city within 1 hour by Shinkansen (
because they can - believe it or not many people do this from distant centres like Shizuoka, Nagano or north of Utsunomiya, and there are so many that peak hour trains are run specifically for commuters).
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Anyway I digress, back to SkyTrain to Langley/Abbotsford talk. As I said a few pages ago, I don't think extending SkyTrain to Abbotsford in the future - if it happens - is ultimately going to be about giving people in Abbotsford the fastest route downtown Vancouver - because as pretty much everyone has demonstrated, if that's the sole purpose then there are other, better ways to spend the money. In terms of what would purely be the most comfortable, practical way to go between Abby & Vancouver, maybe we should invest in inter-regional rail. Maybe Abby should get an extension of the West Coast express, or a special DMU timed with WCE runs operates on track between Abby and Mission.
However, we don't know what the region is going to look like in around 40 years. To give some perspective, 40 years
ago quality bus transit in built-up Surrey was just getting started, with the introduction of the 619, 620 and 621 FastBus routes (the precursors to the modern 319/320/321 & SkyTrain). In 40 years, Surrey Centre might be as big as downtown Vancouver is today. Langley might be as built up as Surrey is today, and the regional urban containment boundary might have then been changed to allow additional urban development east from Langley towards Aldergrove. Either you let all of these people drive and add congestion to roads, or give them (preferably high quality) transit service.
This is a perfectly reasonable scenario in 40 years in which a SkyTrain extension from Langley Centre to Abbotsford, with a connection to the airport, would make sense. SkyTrain would be especially effective because it will serve a triple role - firstly, as a rapid transit line it is own right; secondly, by connecting seamlessly to the existing regional rapid transit network; and thirdly, by providing a still reasonable and cost-effective alternative to get from Abbotsford to Vancouver by transit, even if it is not necessarily the most ideal.
When it comes to a SkyTrain extension, you really have to think about it in
all directions and also consider what currently isn't possible. Building SkyTrain isn't about trying to replicate a commuter rail service. You're right about that. It's about
giving the people it can serve - whether directly as in they live nearby, or by a bus connection - a high quality transit system along a trunk corridor with regional reach. It's as simple as that. You could certainly attempt to fulfill this purpose with a street-level LRT but it would be less effective - for one you're already sacrificing the regional reach part by losing the seamless connection to existing rapid transit; and then, the numerous shortfalls compared to SkyTrain service.
Whether travelling to your nearby station (where the amenities have likely been enhanced thanks to the new SkyTrain line) or somewhere further, SkyTrain offers a way to
tie it all together. You can trust that your transit commute will be: 1. reliable, and 2. within a travel time that is reasonable for the distance traveled.
We've expanded SkyTrain based on that premise and it has been tremendously successful. We have North America's best ridership against non-heavy rail systems (including light rail systems). Because SkyTrain not only offers reliability but
regional reach, transit-only lifestyles are not only possible - they're actually productive. People can choose to forego cars without any livelihood sacrifice - a huge help with housing as expensive as it is here. That is part of the massive ROI SkyTrain brings.
On expanding out to Abbotsford, we can't really say anything for sure right now - it's waay too early. 40 years is a long time. But I think everyone here realizes that if we made different decisions on how to build our
current system 30-40 years ago, we would be living in a very different region today. One that may be perhaps less transit-friendly or successful in terms of transit ridership. So let's not close these doors today.
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Anyway, I'd like to highlight one more thing.
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People who want to live in Langley but work in Downtown Vancouver, don't even have the option to do that without a Skytrain extension. Building a LRT assumes that currently ZERO people work in New West/Burnaby/Vancouver and live in Langley. That is precisely what Surrey City Council wants, is to trap people in Surrey. Add into the parts about the LRT's only support comes from developers, who quite frankly would be happy with anything as long as they can use it as a selling point to sell condos.
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The Tokyo example I laid out above is also a good reason why basing our expansion plans on the assumption people will only travel short distances for commuting is rather short-sighted - if Tokyo did that, the entire Kanto region would be economically unsustainable. If you conclude "people aren't go there, we shouldn't bother to do that", you dismiss the possibility you can carry them by transit and then they will 1. just drive if it's what's necessary to have a reasonable commute, or 2. just not have those opportunities. Do we not build rapid transit partially to
unlock commute potential through the shortening of travel times?
Part of the reason why
I've been very supportive of a SkyTrain to Langley is because it's not actually a bad idea. The previous Surrey Rapid Transit Study analysis completed by TransLink and partners showed that
there is a very good case to have SkyTrain extended to Langley - it is certainly more cost-effective than investing in LRT. We're not supporting SkyTrain blindly - after all, this isn't the transit fantasies thread. You can read more here:
SkyTrain to Langley top rapid transit option for Surrey: TransLink