Hi everyone,
Just spoke with Annette at the Cosmo Sales Office and she assured me that what manabouttown is implying is simply untrue. I have directed her to this thread so that she may give updates on the Cosmo as they happen.
Then there is the 'big dig'. It is a beautiful hole in the ground, if you like holes. What else is there to say about it. On any given day there are thousands working on the neighboring projects, even Planet Hollywood is showing major changes. The most workers that I have ever counted at the the 'big dig' are a handful driving in their little construction vehicles. If you look at the pictures or better yet, watch the project first-hand as I have, nothing substantial has been done for months. They have sent out placating gestures, ie. delaying the third deposit and lately a lame explanation of how long the hole took to dig.
Yes it is true the 'hole' is 98% complete and they are now hauling in the materials needed to construct the elevator shaft and lay the foundation. I've been informed that the Cosmopolitan will indeed be going vertical sometime in
Q2 2007.
If you remember, this project broke ground a year and 10 months ago, long before most others. The projected finish date was early 2008. They are slightly behind schedule. Maybe a couple of years.
You are incorrect. The Cosmo broke ground on October 25th, 2005 so about a year and 3 months ago according to VTAT:
http://www.vegastodayandtomorrow.com/cosmopolitan.htm
The project is scheduled to open early 2009 (which is still earlier than CC) as indicated on Hyatt's website:
http://grandlasvegas.hyatt.com/hyatt/hotels/index.jsp
What do I think is going on? I dont know for sure, but I have some analysis.
The developers bought the land for a couple of million per acre in 2004. The latest sales on the strip are around $20 million per acre (Tropicanna and Imperial Palace). You could throw in Barbary Coast just for fun at $30 mill.+, but that was a special case. The property in question has 1100 feet of frontage on Harmon Ave. plus the strip frontage and a 'corner lot' that is worth more in commercial real estate valuations. The property would go well to complete the monopoly-like sequence on that side of the street. If you dont think that is important, Harrahs was rumored to be willing to trade the whole Rio for the Barbary Coast, to consolidate their properties. And as the kicker, the hole is already dug. It all adds up to a one of a kind premium property, for the big boys to snap up. They arent making any more property like this.
So with a potential profit of $100 million and no struggling to bring the project in on budget. ? What would you do?
You are spot on with your analysis and thank you for sharing. I'm sure Bruce Eichner and his partners at 3700 Associates are looking at a similar figure but they were wise enough to lock in the labor as well as the materials for construction years ago. These guys aren't rookies at this game as his previous project Continuum I & Continuum II currently in construction in South Beach, FL with a finish date of 10/2007 have been solid all the way through with no delays. Even if Cosmo were to sell out MGM would still have to deal with the biggest
NIMBY of them all... Jockey Club timeshares.
It would be a shame if the project is scraped. It had all the criteria to be the top project in the city, from a condo-owners perspective. Premium size, price, balcony, ammenities within the project, hotel management company,and the most importantantly,a STRIP LOCATION.
50-50 chance the project will not be built in its current form.
Aye, it would definitely be a shame if the Cosmo didn't go all the way... 600 sq ft. studio (700 if you count the balcony). Grand Hyatt name brand and Hyatt as the hotel manager (there are only 29 GH's in the world Cosmo would be the 30th), fantastic amenities, plus 3700 Las Vegas Blvd as the property address...
Cosmo is definitely a winner with the Beach Tower (tower 8) basically the rival to CityCenter's yet to be released lifestyle hotel The Harmon but with a better view IMO...$100 million as short term profit is wonderful but a potential for hundreds of millions more once the project is completed in the long term may be what Bruce & Co. is aiming for. I don't think they will pull off a Related Group type stunt at the present time...
Found the complete transcript regarding the Cosmo/CC regarding MGM's shareholder meeting last May:
One local shareholder asked about the effect of the independent development of the $1.8 billion Cosmopolitan on 10 acres between Bellagio and Project CityCenter.
"I expect a symbiotic relationship that works rather well," Lanni said. "It's not like we're operating gas stations where you fill up once. We're going to attract lots of the business that goes to the Cosmopolitan. We'll benefit. I welcome it. I just wish we owned it."
http://www.hotel-online.com/News/PR2...GMBorgata.html
99% chance that this project will continue as planned.
Thanks for reading everyone. Cheers!