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  #41  
Old Posted Feb 15, 2018, 7:51 PM
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The three fastest growing municipalities Salmon Arm 9.25% Pentiction 6.36% and Ladysmith 5.93%
A bit surprising to see Salmon Arm gaining so fast. I wonder if the Okanagan's skyrocketing real estate prices are driving people north.

I'm going to say that the gains in those areas have a lot to do with inter-provincial migration
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  #42  
Old Posted Feb 15, 2018, 8:06 PM
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Originally Posted by 240glt View Post
A bit surprising to see Salmon Arm gaining so fast. I wonder if the Okanagan's skyrocketing real estate prices are driving people north.

I'm going to say that the gains in those areas have a lot to do with inter-provincial migration
I agree, Salmon Arm is a bit of an anomaly. I know that last year Pentiction was -4.8% It looks like it has just had people move back after leaving last year? So perhaps that is why it is up 6.4%?

Ladysmith, growth is probably connected to Nanaimo and the push for a regional center in the south of Nanaimo. Central Vancouver island has pretty much always had positive growth.
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  #43  
Old Posted Jan 2, 2019, 7:46 PM
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B.C.'s population passes 5 million, thanks to high international migration numbers

The population of British Columbia has passed the five million mark for the first time, according to a Statistics Canada estimation.


B.C.'s population increase is partly due to a trend among young international students. Many people who move to provinces like Ontario as foreign students move to B.C. after they graduate




https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...bers-1.4960225
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  #44  
Old Posted Feb 7, 2019, 9:08 PM
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The sub-provincial population estimates for July 1,2018 (release Jan 23,2019) are out:

Highlights:

5 fastest growing municipalities (yoy):

Ladysmith - 9,417 (+3.6%)

Langford - 39,368 (+2.9%)

Surrey - 569,065 (+2.7%)

Lake Country - 14,027 (+2.6%)

Salmon Arm - 19,299 (+2.6%)


5 largest Districts / CMAs:


Metro Vancouver (District = CMA) - 2,654,226 (+1.5%)

Capital Regional District (Victoria, Saanich,Langford) - 413,406 (+1.3%)
Victoria CMA is 396,509

Fraser Valley (Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Mission) - 319,120 (+1.5%)
Abbotford/Mission CMA is 193,823
Chilliwack CMA is 110,295


Kelowna CMA (Central Okanagan District) - 208,852 (+2.0%)

Nanaimo (Parksville, Qualicum) - 167,156 (+1.5%)
Nanaimo CMA is 112,949



Fun facts:
Vancouver Island now has approximately 840,000 people.

Kamloops CMA = 111,646

https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/d...tion-estimates

Last edited by craneSpotter; Feb 7, 2019 at 9:26 PM.
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  #45  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2019, 12:06 AM
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Are Kamloops and Nanaimo designated as CMAs now?
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  #46  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2019, 4:14 PM
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I can't believe how fast Kelowna has grown over the years. I assume that the population increase in Lake Country is directly correlated to the increase in Kelowna. It's certainly no less expensive in Lake Country.

It's been a while since I was in Ladysmith but I have to think that the increase there is largely attributed to retirees moving there.
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  #47  
Old Posted Feb 8, 2019, 6:17 PM
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Thanks for the update.

Metro Van + Fraser Valley combined (aka the "Lower Mainland" region) is now at 3 million if you include a part of Squamish in the area (i.e. as per the ever-accurate Wikipedia definition - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lower_Mainland).

This artificially important number is quite a feat in mentally thinking about the area; I remember growing up and thinking of the GVRD as a 2-million class region. Up and coming, but still solidly a mid-size by NA metropolitan standards - like today's Austin, Kansas Columbus or Cleveland. Nowadays though, it's closer to a St. Louis, Denver, Tampa or San Diego - what people might begin to think of as "large" cities.

Same goes (in a way) for the CRD in Victoria. 400k is a different class of thinking about a city (i.e. Halifax) than 300k (i.e. Saskatoon)

Another surprise I missed in recent estimates; I didn't realize PG eclipsed the 90k mark. We might see it join the 100k club in the next decade.
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  #48  
Old Posted Feb 9, 2019, 2:07 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aastra View Post
Are Kamloops and Nanaimo designated as CMAs now?
Kamloops, Nanaimo and Chilliwack all met Statistics Canada CMA criteria with the 2016 census, and will designated as such for the 2021 census.
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  #49  
Old Posted Feb 14, 2019, 5:10 AM
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The latest numbers show a much more broad-based growth across all regions. In the past, growth was concentrated in Metro Van and Kelowna, and all other areas (incl. Victoria, Nanaimo, and everywhere else) saw pretty low growth. These 2018 numbers show % growth in most places equal to or even equal to Vancouver area. That is a good sign!
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  #50  
Old Posted Mar 8, 2019, 10:19 PM
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Interesting, too, that the ongoing City of Vancouver-Surrey population horse race is down to a ~100,000-person separation:

Vancouver 656,164 0.7% change 2016/2017
Surrey 556,566 1.8%

Usual point, counter-point items that always come up: Surrey has 3x the land area... relative change vs actual numbers... ALR land as an obstacle... central place theory... etc.
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  #51  
Old Posted Jul 17, 2019, 5:31 AM
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Originally Posted by craneSpotter View Post
Fun facts:
Vancouver Island now has approximately 840,000 people.
Well according to this article Vancouver Island has a population of 857,144 as of 2018. So I think the Island will have over a million people within the next 15 years.

Quote:
According to the annual Regional Check-Up report by the Chartered Professional Accountants of British Columbia (CPABC), Vancouver Island enjoyed another year of solid economic expansion due to continued population growth.

The region’s population grew by 1.4 per cent or 11,822 residents to 857,144 in 2018, although growth has slowed from previous years due to a decline in the number of new residents from other provinces.
https://www.westerninvestor.com/news...wth-1.23867242
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  #52  
Old Posted Jan 28, 2020, 9:34 PM
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British Columbia sub-provincial population estimates for July 1,2019 (released Jan 24, 2020):


5 fastest growing municipalities (yoy):

Langford - 42,653 (+5.2%)

Duncan - 5,342 (+3.7%)

Colwood - 18,867 (+3.0%)

Whistler - 13,763 (+2.9%)

Surrey - 584,526 (+2.9%)


5 largest Regional Districts / CMAs:


Metro Vancouver (District = CMA) - 2,691,343 (+1.5%)

Capital Regional District (Victoria, Saanich, Langford) - 418,511 (+1.5%)
Victoria CMA is 401,700

Fraser Valley (Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Mission) - 331,533 (+2.1%)
Abbotford/Mission CMA is 201,987
Chilliwack CA is 114,258

Kelowna CMA (Central Okanagan District) - 217,229 (+1.9%)

Nanaimo (Parksville, Qualicum) - 169,960 (+1.6%)
Nanaimo CA is 115,616


https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/d...tion-estimates


I kind of wonder if one day the Fraser Valley will overtake the CRD as the second largest RD in BC.

Also, growth in Langford and Colwood is accelerating (sooo much construction - with some very large, multi-year projects) - so we should see those two stay in the top 5 for a bit. Surrey seems to be a fixture in the top 5, too.
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Last edited by craneSpotter; Jan 28, 2020 at 10:38 PM.
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  #53  
Old Posted Jan 28, 2020, 11:02 PM
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Langford and Colwood combined for 40% of CRD's growth.

I didn't realize Kelowna CMA was already past 200,000. Population growth slowed down to under 2% for the first time in 5 years.

The population figure for Rest of BC is staggering, but I guess it all adds up.
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  #54  
Old Posted Jan 28, 2020, 11:07 PM
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Metro Van is about to hit 2.7 million (Fraser Valley region is now over 3 million) and Kelowna is on its way to being a metro of 250,000.

Crazy growth in BC right now.
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  #55  
Old Posted Jan 29, 2020, 12:45 AM
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I am surprised by some numbers for sure. I would've thought the forestry towns in the interior would've been hit but they actually had growth, even small, but still! Compared to the late 90s/early 2000s, today's growth is downright healthy!

Big surprises for me are Squamish, Pitt Meadows, and Port Moody at the bottom of the pack % wise. I thought these (esp. Squamish and Pitt Meadows) were all places benefitting from Vancouver's 'affordability crisis'. Odd that some of the expensive areas had decentgrowth actually. Vancouver and West Van actually had their fastest growth in 5 years. I wonder what the 2020 estimates will show!
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  #56  
Old Posted Jan 29, 2020, 6:28 AM
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Originally Posted by zahav View Post
Big surprises for me are Squamish, Pitt Meadows, and Port Moody at the bottom of the pack % wise. I thought these (esp. Squamish and Pitt Meadows) were all places benefitting from Vancouver's 'affordability crisis'. Odd that some of the expensive areas had decentgrowth actually. Vancouver and West Van actually had their fastest growth in 5 years. I wonder what the 2020 estimates will show!
Yeah, that seems wrong. Squamish goes from INSANE population growth (I believe last census period it was the fastest, or among the fastest growing municipalities in BC?) to negative growth? Doubtful...
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  #57  
Old Posted Jan 29, 2020, 7:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by craneSpotter View Post
Well according to this article Vancouver Island has a population of 857,144 as of 2018. So I think the Island will have over a million people within the next 15 years.



https://www.westerninvestor.com/news...wth-1.23867242
For me coming from a metropolis like Toronto, to a much less populated area such as Vancouver Island 25 years ago. That now in my lifetime I will get to see the island hit 1 million!
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  #58  
Old Posted Jan 29, 2020, 9:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by craneSpotter View Post
British Columbia sub-provincial population estimates for July 1,2019 (released Jan 24, 2020):


5 fastest growing municipalities (yoy):

Langford - 42,653 (+5.2%)

Duncan - 5,342 (+3.7%)

Colwood - 18,867 (+3.0%)

Whistler - 13,763 (+2.9%)

Surrey - 584,526 (+2.9%)


5 largest Regional Districts / CMAs:


Metro Vancouver (District = CMA) - 2,691,343 (+1.5%)

Capital Regional District (Victoria, Saanich, Langford) - 418,511 (+1.5%)
Victoria CMA is 401,700

Fraser Valley (Abbotsford, Chilliwack, Mission) - 331,533 (+2.1%)
Abbotford/Mission CMA is 201,987
Chilliwack CA is 114,258

Kelowna CMA (Central Okanagan District) - 217,229 (+1.9%)

Nanaimo (Parksville, Qualicum) - 169,960 (+1.6%)
Nanaimo CA is 115,616


https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/d...tion-estimates


I kind of wonder if one day the Fraser Valley will overtake the CRD as the second largest RD in BC.

Also, growth in Langford and Colwood is accelerating (sooo much construction - with some very large, multi-year projects) - so we should see those two stay in the top 5 for a bit. Surrey seems to be a fixture in the top 5, too.
Doubtful I think. CRD still has healthy growth rates. If you use current year's growth rates as projections it'll take around 22 years for Fraser Valley to catch up with CRD's population - 580k each by 2042.

All moot if by that time Fraser Valley just amalgamates with Greater Vancouver. Or for that matter if CRD merges with Cowichan Valley.
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  #59  
Old Posted Jan 31, 2020, 12:43 AM
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Capital Regional District (Victoria, Saanich, Langford) - 418,511 (+1.5%)
Victoria CMA is 401,700
The Capital Regional District is effectively unpopulated over the vast area that lies beyond Victoria's compact CMA:

696 square km in the CMA
2,340 square km in the regional district
...but the population is basically the same for both areas

Is there any other city that has such a disconnect between its populated area and its (supposedly) related regional district? As far as human activity is concerned, Greater Victoria's actual "region" extends immediately north up the Malahat into Cowichan, not way out west to Port Renfrew.
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  #60  
Old Posted Jan 31, 2020, 5:28 AM
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Just to clarify my point, the Capital Regional District is not Victoria, Saanich, Langford, etc. That's the CMA, population 402,000.

The CRD is the CMA plus an immense amount of unpopulated wilderness running up the southwest side of Vancouver Island.
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