Quote:
Originally Posted by Loco101
Still more than two years until the next election. Wynne is someone who can turn things around quickly. Nobody thought she would win a majority at the beginning of the last election campaign. She is also an amazing campaigner and should never be underestimated.
Wynne may be unpopular as Premier but come election time, how good will the alternatives look?
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Call me crazy, but I actually think that, with the way things stand now, the most likely outcome is another Liberal majority.
Why?
1) The Liberal Party's huge financial superiority, which thanks to the way that fundraising scandal has played out, can probably be locked in by Wynne without any real backlash. A part of me suspects Wynne of engineering this scandal on purpose for this effect (raise a huge amount of money for the Liberals, leak the quota story, create a media furor that then justifies Wynne making strict limits on fundraising, preventing the PCs from catching up just as their rebuilding starts--a rather clever conspiracy)
2) The PCs dealing with internal chaos over Brown's moderation attempts.
3) With a PC victory looking reasonably likely to most voters, fear of a PC win will drive NDP support into the ground.
4) Looking at the way the economic indicators are going, Ontario's going to be in very good shape economically as the 2018 campaign starts, with a balanced budget and everything. Furthermore, thanks to this, Wynne will be able to use the 2018 budget to throw all kinds of popular spending goodies at Ontarians (we saw a preview of this in this year's budget with the tuition grant).