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Originally Posted by RyeJay
This...stuff?
My argument comes from the budget you’ve apparently read: which must be taken into context with trends we see in Moncton’s past budgets, as well as with the other municipalities in New Brunswick.
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Yes, I have read the budgets. I'm wondering if you have.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
Yes, the debt ratio for Moncton is 14.9% -- and just how shall you pay for this debt and the debts of the other municipalities? As you’ve put it, Moncton is not swimming in money -- and neither is anywhere else in the province..
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You pay for it the same way you pay for any other debt. In this case, by using debt to increase revenues. The city takes on debt to finance major infrastructure projects like the widening of Mapleton road. There's a huge upfront cost to that type of infrastructure, but the construction that it facilitates effectively pays property tax in perpetuity.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
If left to its devices alone, Moncton roughly generates $100 million annually. Expenditures are to exceed $125 million (and continue rising); therefore, Moncton will continue to be reliant upon provincial stabilisation grants. Furthermore, Moncton’s debt-for-growth spending habits must be off-set by increasing property taxes, increasing water and sewer utility rates, increasing funds to fire and police protection; compounded further with the rising costs of fuel, building materials, food, electricity, insurances, and the like is burdensome on the taxpayers. My criticism of Moncton is not that it isn’t sustainable (because that’s obvious); my criticism is that the city is not even beginning to move toward sustainability.
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The city is projecting tax revenues of 108 million this year. Plus 13 million in other revenue like service fees, assessment fees, rentals etc. Then 11 million comes in the form of an unconditional grant from the provincial government. Now you're right that the province isn't necessarily going to be giving as much money, which they aren't. The unconditional grant is down 2% this year. However property tax assessments and other revenues are both up significantly more. The city has been lowering it's tax assessment rate for the past few years now. Even if the province rolled back the whole grant, the city wouldn't be too hard off if they had to up their rate, and even that would be offset by growth and increases in property tax assessments.
Fire and police protection and all the other services the municipal government offers are indeed an issue, which is why i'm so supportive of the Finn report's suggested changes. However since the city is still growing and the tax rate is still dropping.... where exactly is the problem? And with respect to utilities, considering the fiasco with the Sewerage commission, I wouldn't' be surprised if there was some rate relief to be seen there, considering they've managed to save up faaar more money than they're allowed to.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
Unless Moncton itself urbanises, the city will become as unaffordable as rural New Brunswick.
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You're in a website devoted to urban issues... of course we all want to see more urbanization, but it's unrealistic to assume we'll all live in giant skyscrapers in the middle of forests to literally minimize our footprint. There's just no practical way to stop a city from physically growing altogether, short of banning all commercial and industrial development and shooting old people to keep the population stable. The city is urbanizing though, believe it or not. The amount of higher-density construction in the city has increased substantially over the past 10 years with no signs of stopping.
Of course there are mitigating factors. Moncton is essentially built on a plain with no physical constraint to development. This has kept real estate prices low, which discourages growing upward. Again that's changing, but it won't go away overnight.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
I would be interested in learning about any of Moncton’s revenue neutral (or even profitable) developments. As far as I’ve read, the vast majority of economic growth in the Moncton area is development that does not pay enough in taxes to support the required costs of creating and servicing said development. Moncton has little to no density from which magnified revenues can be collected and allocated to controlling debt, or even reinvestment for more revenue options (hello downtown events centre/arena).
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You wouldn't believe any examples I gave you anyway. And as I said before, investments in things like infrastructure have a long pay-back cycle. Don't get me wrong, the city has made some bad deals over the years. The Rogers deal downtown is a prime example, but they've done well with others, like the industrial parks.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
You are correct that the provincial government red flags anything above 20%, in which case the provincial government will come in and...talk about the debt? The province isn’t doing much for all the declining municipalities in the province, of which Moncton’s revenues must increasingly support (or perhaps ‘ease their deaths’ is more apt). The province’s demand on Moncton will grow and no amount of industrial parks, strip-malls, and single-family homes are going to improve this reality.
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I'm not sure what teeth the province has to whip over-spending municipalities back into shape. That said, me not knowing doesn't mean there aren't any. They are certainly within their rights to assume control of failing municipal governments. As for what the province does with 'failing' municipalities...that's really their business. The province does make more money off of Moncton every time the city's tax base grows. So do the feds.
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Originally Posted by RyeJay
Oh, and it was actually the 2011 Moncton CMA that was 5th (And this is what it feels like to have a responder indulge in a pettiness for meaningless clarification. Please reconsider next time). Still, no offence taken.
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I don't even understand what you're getting at with this one. I specifically said it was the Moncton CMA. I'm well aware of the distinction between a municipality and a CMA.