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That makes a good deal of sense, the flipside is that the planning process takes time and this project may not make it into construction before the door closes on this economic cycle. But from what is happening or not happening at Oregon Square, I think it may have already been too late for this one.
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This.
The cost of construction today, should ensure that what you see in the renders has absolutely zero chance of being realized, as pitched. Zero. The math does not add up. Will the math balance requirement, re-adjust? A minimum of 1 of these 2 scenarios has to happen:
1: Only if rent or sale $ per sf prices previously unforeseen in Portland, can be charged when these buildings are introduced to the market. Think $5/foot rents and $1,200.00 sf and up 'for sale' prices.
OR
2: There is a massive retraction in cost to build. That means some combination of commodity prices retracting, commercial lending rates retracting, commercial real estate investment performance expectations retracting, land prices retracting, entitlement costs retracting, or labor costs retracting. Dramatically.
Either scenario is unlikely in the near term. As an example, the Cosmopolitan in the Pearl, the closest to these buildings in proposed type... would have had buyouts to all subcontracts and commodity/material purchases, more than 2 years ago. EVERYTHING has escalated in cost, significantly since then. not to Mention the Tariff's being considered in Washington DC right now by the current Presidential administration (please don't make this thread go towards broader national politics).
This is a future cycle project. By the time these 500 (*affordable) units are online... there will be a need for 1000 in its place. *2100+ market rate units here, will need to retain or generate well more than 1.25 Billion in market value to begin to make economic sense. *(EDITED)