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  #81  
Old Posted Jun 11, 2015, 8:17 PM
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That said, I think comparing to Van is a bad comparison, as due to transit and shared borders much of the Vancouver CMA feels like a continuous city, whereas Calgary is like Calgary + disconnected towns included by drawing a large circle around a group of them.
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  #82  
Old Posted Jun 12, 2015, 4:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by speedog View Post
Just as another point of reference, Calgary's actual population as per the 2014 civic census was 1,195,194 - 2015 results should easily pop that number over 1,200,000..
Easily. By next year, our municipal population could (if an unforeseen boom happens) eclipse our 2011 metropolitan population. If not, it'll happen in 2017. Pretty impressive regardless really.
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  #83  
Old Posted Jun 13, 2015, 12:11 AM
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Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
The Calgary Region now has a population of 1 512 000, as of July 1, 2014.


http://www.calgaryeconomicdevelopmen...cators/current


In 2011, the Calgary CMA itself was 1 215 000, 95% of the regional population of 1 279 000. If that 95% still holds true today, we're looking at a metropolitan population as of July 1, 2014 at 1 437 000. This likely puts us at roughly 1 470 000 this year.
But wait didn't statistics Canada say this was Calgary's CMA Population as of (July 1st, 2014?) 1,406,721 I'm just a little curious how u came about that 1,437,000 number (I'm all for Population Growth but that seems a bit high to me is it not?)
http://calgaryherald.com/news/local-...-from-all-over

Quote:
Originally Posted by DizzyEdge View Post
That said, I think comparing to Van is a bad comparison, as due to transit and shared borders much of the Vancouver CMA feels like a continuous city, whereas Calgary is like Calgary + disconnected towns included by drawing a large circle around a group of them.
Thats also because the Calgary CMA/ Region Sprawls considerably more than Metro Vancouver does, Metro Vancouver Maintains a more consistent
level of density throughout. (It also has better transit).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Surrealplaces View Post
Civic census should come in at around 1,225,000
(I consider that a little on the Low end) for a number of reasons for one the Calgary Municipal Population was unofficially:
1,207,374 as of (July 26th, 2014) -> http://www.calgarysun.com/2014/07/24...for-calgarians
I may have it a bit on the Higher End of the Scale given the slow down but I still say over 1.23 Rather than 1.24
(But probably closer to 1.24 than 1.23 I say..)

Last edited by Tosin007; Jun 13, 2015 at 12:25 AM.
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  #84  
Old Posted Jun 13, 2015, 3:17 AM
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Originally Posted by Tosin007 View Post
But wait didn't statistics Canada say this was Calgary's CMA Population as of (July 1st, 2014?) 1,406,721 I'm just a little curious how u came about that 1,437,000 number (I'm all for Population Growth but that seems a bit high to me is it not?)
I literally explained exactly how I came to that number in the post of mine that you quoted.
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  #85  
Old Posted Jun 13, 2015, 9:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
I literally explained exactly how I came to that number in the post of mine that you quoted.
HOMERESEARCHECONOMIC INDICATORS

ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Keep up-to-date with the latest economic indicators, including GDP and unemployment. Browse historic trends in Calgary’s economy and view economic forecasts.

Current
Historic
Forecast
Industry

COURT ELLINGSON
Project Manager, Economic Strategy

Phone: 403 221 7892

Email


CAROL THIESSEN
Information Analyst

Phone: 403 221 7836

Email


SUSAN THOMPSON
Research Manager

Phone: 403 221 7891

Email

Current economic indicators
Get the most up-to-date economic information, including GDP, unemployment and housing starts.

CED_Economic_Indicators.jpg



Calgary's Economy

Calgary has been known as Canada's powerhouse.

The city has had one of the strongest performing urban economy in the nation for many of the past 10 years, and is expected to return to the top of the growth charts beyond 2016.

The economy has grown faster than any other major city in the country. Calgary has had the second highest average annual and second highest total real GDP growth over the past 10 years (2005-2014).

The superlatives tell the story. Of the six biggest cities in Canada, Calgary has:

The most productive and best-paid workforce
The highest personal income and the greatest purchasing power
A lower cost of living than either Toronto or Vancouver
The lowest unemployment rate (2014)
The second highest total growth in retail sales over the past 10 years (2005-2014)


SUMMARY OF CURRENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS - CALGARY
INDICATOR DATE VALUE CHANGE / RATE (%) GEOGRAPHY
Population

Change over year

July 1, 2014 1,511,755
3.5% CER
Inflation rate

Change over year

April 2015 2.1% CMA
Employment*

Change over year

April 2015 815,100 4.4% CMA
Unemployment rate* April 2015 5.3% CMA
Average hourly wage* (hourly employees

Change over year

March 2015 $27.24 1.8% Alberta
Average hourly wage* (salary employees

Change over year

March 2015 $40.72 5.5% Alberta
Average weekly earnings

Change over year

March 2015 $1,160.06 1.6% Alberta
Gross domestic product

Change over year (Real GDP growth)

Q4 2014
$117,002.00

(2007 $ Millions)

3.1% CMA
Retail sales

Change over year

Q4 2014
$28,071.00

($ Millions)

7.8% CMA
* Seasonally adjusted, 3 month moving average


SUMMARY OF CURRENT REAL ESTATE / CONSTRUCTION INDICATORS - CALGARY
INDICATOR DATE VALUE CHANGE/RATE (%) GEOGRAPHY
Housing starts - number

Change over year

Year-to-date

April 2015

3,954 -53.4% CMA
Building permit values

Change over year

Year-to-date

March 2015

$1.4 Billion -5.6% CER
Major Calgary project values

Change over year

May 2015 $19.6 Billion 9.9% City of Calgary
Benchmark Calgary housing price (detached)

Change over year

May 2015

$512,800 0.1% City of Calgary
Benchmark Calgary housing price (attached)

Change over year

May 2015

$354,000 1.8% City of Calgary
Benchmark Calgary housing price (apartment)

Change over year

May 2015

$294,800 -0.2% City of Calgary
Benchmark Calgary housing price (all types)

Change over year

May 2015

$454,100 1.0% City of Calgary
Downtown office vacancy rate Q1 2015 11.8% City of Calgary
Suburban office vacancy rate Q1 2015 15.5% City of Calgary
Overall office vacancy rate Q1 2015 13.2% City of Calgary
Industrial real estate vacancy rate Q1 2015 6.3% City of Calgary
CER = Calgary Economic Region
CMA = Calgary Census Metropolitan Area
Sources: City of Calgary Corporate Economics, Statistics Canada, Conference Board of Canada, CMHC, CB Richard Ellis, Barclay Street Real Estate, Calgary Real Estate Board, Alberta Enterprise and Advanced Education



Thats all that I saw on the page, I still didn't see anything that showed the:
1,437,000 Number u made.. I Did however see 1.5 Million though..
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  #86  
Old Posted Jun 14, 2015, 5:58 PM
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Seriously dude, I explained it fully.

95% of 1 512 000 is 1 437 000. Easy.
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  #87  
Old Posted Jun 14, 2015, 7:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
Seriously dude, I explained it fully.

95% of 1 512 000 is 1 437 000. Easy.
Oh thats what u meant sorry about that >.<
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  #88  
Old Posted Oct 3, 2015, 3:31 AM
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Vancouver has an actual population of less than 700,000, it's all the smaller cities and towns around it that give the greater area a population of 2 million.

Montreal's real population is about 1.6 million but with surrounding suburbs the area is over 3 million.
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  #89  
Old Posted Oct 3, 2015, 3:48 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tshalk View Post
Vancouver has an actual population of less than 700,000, it's all the smaller cities and towns around it that give the greater area a population of 2 million.

Montreal's real population is about 1.6 million but with surrounding suburbs the area is over 3 million.
City of Montréal 1.73M (2014) , Island of Montreal 2M, urban population https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...tres_in_Canada over 3.6M with a CMA of 4.1M.

Last edited by GreaterMontréal; Oct 3, 2015 at 4:13 AM.
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  #90  
Old Posted Oct 22, 2015, 6:46 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tshalk View Post
Vancouver has an actual population of less than 700,000, it's all the smaller cities and towns around it that give the greater area a population of 2 million.

Montreal's real population is about 1.6 million but with surrounding suburbs the area is over 3 million.
The metropolitan area of Vancouver is actually nearly 2.5 million, while Montreal's is approximately 4.1 million.




Just read on an article about the Green Line that the City of Calgary is projected to reach 1.9 million people by 2043, that's only 28 years. Pretty amazing. Assuming that is within our current border, and that our surrounding metropolitan region grows at a similar rate, we'd be looking at a total metropolitan population of around 2.5 million.
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  #91  
Old Posted Jan 4, 2016, 3:31 AM
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Looks like Calgary is in for another year of solid population growth. With nearly 11 000 single family home sales between January 1, 2015 and November 30, 2015, I'd put next year's municipal growth between 25 and 30 000, with metro growth between 35 and 40,000. Still huge for a city of our size, despite the downturn. Keep in mind, this doesn't include condo (multi-family buildings) sales.

http://calgaryherald.com/life/homes/...ly-resale-pace
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  #92  
Old Posted Feb 12, 2016, 8:34 AM
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Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
Looks like Calgary is in for another year of solid population growth. With nearly 11 000 single family home sales between January 1, 2015 and November 30, 2015, I'd put next year's municipal growth between 25 and 30 000, with metro growth between 35 and 40,000. Still huge for a city of our size, despite the downturn. Keep in mind, this doesn't include condo (multi-family buildings) sales.

http://calgaryherald.com/life/homes/...ly-resale-pace
Looks like where Set to Hit 1.3 Million for the "City Proper" next year then, (Likely the Fall of 2017). &
(1.6 Million for the Calgary Region before the year closes up!)
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  #93  
Old Posted Mar 26, 2016, 9:22 PM
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Well it's almost census time again, and I was wondering about what people are thinking the growth will be for this year in the city. I understand we're going through a bit of an economic crisis here, but if the federal quarterly population estimates are any indication, Alberta is still going extremely strong on the population growth front.

According to the feds, Alberta has grown by over 72 000 over the past 12 months, and over 15 000 over the past 3 months (quite good for the winter quarter). So with that in mind, and Calgary usually taking in about 1/3 of provincial growth, we can deduce that the city has taken in another ~25 000 people.


My prediction is that the city of Calgary takes in between 23 - 26 000 and the rest of the metro takes in a further 10 000.
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  #94  
Old Posted Mar 26, 2016, 10:24 PM
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Originally Posted by Chadillaccc View Post
Well it's almost census time again, and I was wondering about what people are thinking the growth will be for this year in the city. I understand we're going through a bit of an economic crisis here, but if the federal quarterly population estimates are any indication, Alberta is still going extremely strong on the population growth front.

According to the feds, Alberta has grown by over 72 000 over the past 12 months, and over 15 000 over the past 3 months (quite good for the winter quarter). So with that in mind, and Calgary usually taking in about 1/3 of provincial growth, we can deduce that the city has taken in another ~25 000 people.


My prediction is that the city of Calgary takes in between 23 - 26 000 and the rest of the metro takes in a further 10 000.
I think the data from Alberta gov has shown net inter-provincial outflow for the last quarter.
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  #95  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 6:12 AM
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I think the data from Alberta gov has shown net inter-provincial outflow for the last quarter.
Yes. However that is only concerning population movement between provinces. We are still netting positive in regard to total population growth, which mostly includes immigrants and natural births.
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  #96  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 5:33 PM
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Yes. However that is only concerning population movement between provinces. We are still netting positive in regard to total population growth, which mostly includes immigrants and natural births.
As Fonzi would say Correctamundo.

One of the three main population driving forces (inter-provincial migration) is down, but the other two (international immigration and natural increase) are almost the same as recent years. As such, I would expect that we'll see a little over 1/3 drop in pop growth. Some where around 20K for CMA growth. As for the city census, I would guess about 15K growth.
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  #97  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 6:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Surrealplaces View Post
As Fonzi would say Correctamundo.

One of the three main population driving forces (inter-provincial migration) is down, but the other two (international immigration and natural increase) are almost the same as recent years. As such, I would expect that we'll see a little over 1/3 drop in pop growth. Some where around 20K for CMA growth. As for the city census, I would guess about 15K growth.
Drop to 20k from the ~50k baseline? I'm estimating closer to 35k growth for the CMA.
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  #98  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 6:10 PM
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Drop to 20k from the ~50k baseline? I'm estimating closer to 35k growth for the CMA.
That would be in line with my estimation; around 25 000 for the city, with a further 10 000 in the surrounding cities.
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  #99  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 6:18 PM
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Drop to 20k from the ~50k baseline? I'm estimating closer to 35k growth for the CMA.
Math has never been my strong point I should have said about a 50% drop. 20-22K is what I have heard from my brother in law the banker/analyst. It's not an exact science of course, but they are usually very close.

The natural increase should get us about 12K, and international immigration will be down from 17K to about 10k net gain. Inter-provincial will be about break even, maybe slightly negative.
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  #100  
Old Posted Mar 28, 2016, 8:01 PM
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Long term average seems to be in the 1.8% range I think so that would put it at about 20-22 000 or so.
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