Stats Can just released
their latest batch of population estimates, running up to Q3 2011.
Overall no real surprises: Ontario leads in absolute numbers, Alberta in percentages, but there are some interesting trends and tibits.
I only played with the numbers for the big 4, but here are some views
Population Estimates for Oct 2011
Canada: 34,605,346
ON: 13.422,912
QC: 8,002,098
BC: 4,592,034
AB: 3,798,791
Growth, 2011 YTD, total / %
Canada: 311,828 / .91%
ON: 123,671 / .93%
QC: 61,880 / .78%
BC: 40,292 / .89%
AB: 56,598 / 1.51%
Natural Increase (births -deaths)
Canada; 104,979
ON: 37,903
QC: 22,300
BC: 10,071
AB: 23,866
Inter-Provincial Migration
ON: -2027
QC: -2703
BC: -1567
AB: 13131
International Migration
Canada: 206,869
ON: 87,794 (42.4%)
QC: 42,283 (20.4%)
BC: 31,788 (15.4%)
AB: 19,601 (9.5%)
Some observations:
Based on the current growth trends, Canada’s population may be over 35M by Feb 2012, Alberta may be over 4M by early 2013, Ontario may also hit 14M by early 2013 and BC may hit 5M in late 2014. Of course these estimates are wild ass at best, but it will be interesting to see when these milestones are hit.
The big 4 take in 87.7% of all international immigrants and make up 86.2% of the population ... meaning the immigrant to population link is almost as it should be ... no real surprise.
Alberta totally owns interprovincial migration, BC saw negative interprovincal migration in all three quarters and both Ontario and Quebec had a mix of positive and negative (but mainly negative).
In natural growth (births less deaths) Alberta has higher absolute growth than Quebec with less than half the population! Yes it is true that the median age in Alberta is much lower than Quebec’s, but it is still shocking to see this much of a difference!
And if you’re interested on how things looked a year ago …
http://forum.skyscraperpage.com/showthread.php?t=190164