Quote:
Originally Posted by Obadno
Phoenix has likely already surpassed or at least tied with Boston in 2018 but it will stay at 10 for quite some time, Atlanta is 1mm+ people larger and growing just as fast.
Today:
1. New York
2. Los Angeles
3. Chicago
4. Dallas
5. Houston
6. Washington DC
7. Miami
8. Philadelphia
9. Atlanta
10. Phoenix
2028:
1. New York
2. Los Angeles
3. Dallas
4. Chicago
5. Houston
6. Washington DC
7. Atlanta
8. Miami
9. Phoenix
10. Philly (possibly Seattle)
Miami, Atlanta, DC and Houston are all potentially too close to call it would be possible for those cities to change up significantly depending on how growth goes over the next 10 years.
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Kind of a deceptive conjecture as the economic impact of areas is also important. For example, the Bay area is not in the top 10 but it obviously has more 'economic impact' than much bigger Phoenix. Same could also be said of Boston vs Phoenix. It might be better Consolidated metros, which would produce a different top 10 list.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Combined_statistical_area
If you look at that list, I could see Philly dropping out of the top 10, Cleveland and St Louis out of the top 20, and a new CSA of Austin-San Antonio in the top 20, joined in the top 20 by either 2 of the 3 - Columbus, Las Vegas, and Raleigh-Durham. Orlando and Tampa may also be combined as a CSA and reach be close to the top 10 (they are only 85 miles apart).