Quote:
Originally Posted by allan_kuan
I don't necessarily agree with that statement. Yes, the promise of SkyTrain did supr development in both Downtown Richmond and Coquitlam, but both cities managed to do generally well in the interim even with their rapid frequent bus services. Another factor playing into this is how both cities have managed to promote and concentrate their growth in the form of midrises and high-rises on the most likely corridors to get a rapid transit service. This pales in comparison to Surrey, which - despite its progress on densifying Downtown and the local town centres - is still partly split between developing its various new suburbs and the inner city. I think if they are willing to spend more time densifying the core and the outlying town centres that they could make a way stronger case at any form of improved rapid and local transit in the future. But anyway, that's probably been said before.
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The real issue is that Translink has always put the chicken before the egg. They plan their routes to where the population currently is rather than using it to develop cities. All three B-Lines are (or were in the case of the 98) in areas that have had the promise of rapid transit for quite some time. For example:
97 - Coquitlam Centre to Lougheed Town Centre (Evergreen Line)
98 - Burrard Station to Richmond (Canada Line)
99 - Commercial/Broadway Station to UBC (Broadway/UBC Line)
Surrey has cheap land in comparison to the North Fraser so there has been no need to build up to add cheaper stock. This will change thanks to the lack of affordability and the volume of people moving to now moving into Surrey. Not to mention that the Skytrain in Surrey was built in what is Surrey's least desirable area. Thankfully that area is now the City Centre and is experiencing massive government investment from all levels of government, similar to what happened to Vancouver when it started to boom.
But the biggest deterrence for bus and BRT is just the stigma of the bus itself. People who don't rely on transit don't like buses. Now a train, they would happily ride on one of those. There is a huge untapped ridership in the South Fraser that would bring in new revenues for Translink, and not to mention help bring people into Surrey's City Centre.
Think of it this way. Even with the 98 B-Line, it only had a ridership of 18,000 per day. Since they replaced it with the Canada Line, it was seeing 110,000 per day in February 2011, and it wasn't even supposed to his 100,000 until 2013. And that isn't just due to an increase in capacity either as it is well above the ridership estimates. Trains bring in passengers.