I'm looking for bright spots in SJ and the good news is that Uptown Saint John saw 15.1% growth since 2011, which is exactly where we want to see population increases in the city.
- St. Johns was the fastest growing CMA in Atlantic Canada
- All CMAs in Atlantic Canada slowed their growth
- Moncton CMA growth slowed significantly from 9.5% to 4%
- Saint John was the only CMA in Canada to lose population in this census
Moncton - 144,810
Saint John - 126,202
Fredericton - 101,760
This is less than predicted from previous StatsCan population estimates, presumably reflecting undercount. This will be corrected in the next population estimate. Usually undercount is in the vicinity of 2%. Applying this across the board would give corrected population figures of:
Moncton - 147,706
Saint John - 128,726
Fredericton - 103,795
Either way, Freddy is well on it's way to being Canada's newest CMA. Congratulations!!!
I'm looking for bright spots in SJ and the good news is that Uptown Saint John saw >10% growth since 2011, which is exactly where we want to see population increases in the city.
As I just posted in the Canada section Stats thread; there are only 6 CA's over 100,000 now, and only 4 of them have clear cores of 50,000 required for CMA status. 3 of them are in BC (Nanaimo, Kamloops and Chilliwack), and Freddy is the 4th.
Chatham-Kent in Ontario and Red Deer in Alberta are also over the limits, but may or may not have the 50k core needed (Red Deer probably does; Chatham-Kent almost certainly does not).
Due to population decline, Cape Breton dipped below 100k and I don't think Sydney is anywhere close to the 50k limit regardless.
Something's wrong with Saint John's population centre. It's stated at 58k for 2016 and 60k for 2011. In the 2011 census, it was 95k...
It appears StatsCan tightened up the definition of a POPCTR this time around, populated places need to have a contiguous level of density to be combined, as we know Saint John is separated from its suburbs more than Moncton and Fredericton which is the reason for change.
- Due to a tightening up of definitions we see some drastic changes in this one (little r beside 2011 means revised)
- Due to this adjustment Fredericton is now #2 in this category
Woodstock is at the edge of NB's growth/contraction zone, and it shows since the area is staying static growthwise. The town itself lost 26 people, but the Parish (the suburbs basically) gained 55 people. (Richmond, the zone outside of Woodstock Parish lost 55).
So the town has the hint of a suburbia problem but nothing really of note. What should be noted is that the new elementary school (Meduxnekeag Consolidated School, was built on Bull Road, outside the town limits at the very edge of them. So that could very well explain the slight shift from Town to Parish)
2016 seems to be continuing the trend of growing suburbs and cities and declining rural areas. With this Census, however, the growth has slowed and the declines are less dramatic overall. Moncton and Fredericton are the only areas of any real growth and other areas mostly have varying degrees of decline.
Saint John's Uptown increase is good and a step in the right direction. Moncton's growth continues to be mostly on its fringes and in Dieppe/outlying areas. Moncton's growth is still benefitting Shediac/Riverview/Beaubassin. Fredericton's growth is still benefitting north of the river towards Stanley and east towards Oromocto and Lincoln.
I'm looking for bright spots in SJ and the good news is that Uptown Saint John saw >10% growth since 2011, which is exactly where we want to see population increases in the city.
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