The Big Atlantic Canada Statistics Thread

[adamuptownsj]

Originally Posted by MonctonRad

Not definitely statistical but fascinating nonetheless.

The link below is for an interactive land suitability map for agricultural purposes for the province of NB:

https://daaf-maap.maps.arcgis.com/ap...e17a2a41142ffd

Needless to say, there is way more land suitable for agriculture in NB than there is actually under cultivation. A lot of this is actually in the vacant middle of the province. Other areas include the southeast, inland Charlotte County, and, of course, the northwest of the province.

That's the cold-weather crop map. The corn/soy, grape, and apple ones are quite a bit more interesting.

https://www2.gnb.ca/content/gnb/en/d...itability.html

Grape areas form a wide arc from St Stephen to Geary to Hampton. Apples are clustered around Fredericton, the Grand Lake area, and Sussex. Corn and soy, the area between Tracy/Minto/Gagetown.

[MonctonRad]

Southeastern NB also has scattered but widespread suitability for corn, soy and apples as well. There is a fair bit of corn already grown in the Petitcodiac valley between Moncton and Salisbury.

Regardless, I find these maps interesting because of the widespread potential for farmland development in NB. I always suspected as such. Farmland in NS is limited by thin topsoil and lots of granitic outcroppings (except for the Annapolis Valley and along the Northumberland shore). There is much more agricultural potential in NB than NS.

[Freddypop]

StatsCan's population clock is showing NB has surpassed 830K! Seems it was only a few months ago we were celebrating the 800K threshold.

[Bishop2047]

https://www.moneysense.ca/spend/real...ate-in-canada/

MoneySense has Moncton, SJ, Fredericton, and Halifax all in the top ten places to buy real estate. I don't get too excited about being included in these rankings, but the graphs do lay out home prices over the past few years in an easily comparable way.

[MonctonRad]

Originally Posted by Freddypop

StatsCan's population clock is showing NB has surpassed 830K! Seems it was only a few months ago we were celebrating the 800K threshold.

One of the contributors to the Canada section has been keeping an eye on the StatsCan population clock.

In the last month the population of Canada has increased by 99,000 (annualized 1,188,000).

The growth in each province in the last month was as follows:
ON - 39,000
AB - 20,000
QC - 15,000
BC - 13,000
NB - 3,000
NS - 3,000
MB - 2,000
SK - 2,000
PE - 1,000
NL - 1,000

The current populations of the Atlantic provinces (direct from the population clock) are:

NS - 1,046,000
NB - 832,000
NL - 534,000
PE - 177,000

If growth continues at this rate the population of the Atlantic provinces on January 1, 2024 will be:

NS - 1,070,000
NB - 856,000
NL - 542,000
PE - 185,000

And, on January 1, 2025, the population of the Atlantic provinces will be:

NS - 1,106,000
NB - 892,000
NL - 554,000
PE - 197,000

NB will exceed 900,000 souls by late March, 2025, and, will surpass 1 million residents by December 2027. Just freaking amazing........

[MonctonRad]

March 2023 Building Permits:



PEI - WTF!!

[Taeolas]

PEI's small enough that a big project or two could cause a big swing. NWT is similarly small enough to lead to big swings.

What's more impressive is BC's 36.6% change. BC's big enough that it takes a LOT for it to swing so much. Quebec is almost as impressive with a 19.9% bump for similar reasons.

[josh_cat_eyes]

I wish they broke each province by type of building permit too.

[David_99]

Originally Posted by MonctonRad

PEI - WTF!!

The Government announced $50M in funding for a new BioAccelerator Research Centre on the island a couple months ago. Might have something to do with that?

[MonctonRad]

Originally Posted by David_99

The Government announced $50M in funding for a new BioAccelerator Research Centre on the island a couple months ago. Might have something to do with that?

Also a new med school at UPEI.

[ColSJ]

Statscan released the number of admissions of permanent residents by CMA for the months of January and February 2023.

Moncton - +865
Fredericton - +320
Saint John - +325

All CMA's are performing well above their 2022 benchmarks during the same time frame.

Moncton - + 44%
Fredericton - + 56%
Saint John - + 71%

The demand for new housing in our cities is showing no signs of slowing down. If we increased our housing starts I have no doubt our population numbers would follow suit.

[KnoxfordGuy]

Stat Can: NB unemployment held at 6.1% in May while the number of people employed went up slightly to 385,000.

[MonctonRad]

They have readjusted Canada's population clock again

Current populations (as of 1 PM on June 28th):

NS - 1,056,294
NB - 838,586
NL - 534,677
PE - 178,598

NB is currently growing at a rate of 28,756/yr. We will surpass 850,000 souls in December.

We only passed 800,000 last year.

1,000,000 New Brunswickers is within reach, probably by 2029.

[KnoxfordGuy]

New Brunswick with 1 million people is something my brain would not be able to comprehend. I'm still mentally at 750,000.

[KnoxfordGuy]

A headline I thought I'd only see in my dreams. Let's just make sure we keep up with housing.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-b...cord-1.6981745

[Taeolas]

Yeah, at this pace, we'll break 900k in 2026, and be on good pace for 1M in 2030.

We definitely need to step up on construction, both housing and infrastructure, as well as recruiting support like teachers, doctors and nurses. But we'll probably need to boot Higgs out so we can finally start spending those surpluses he's been amassing on things we desperately need.

[KnoxfordGuy]

According to Stats Can, residential construction in NB was up 22.5% year over year in September to $294.3 million.

[MonctonRad]

I found this interesting infographic on Retail Talk & Share, and thought it belonged here:



This infographic has an NB bias, but includes all CMAs in Atlantic Canada.

While all the cities included show a healthy growth rate in the senior population, in terms of meaningful growth, ie the growth that influences economic growth and sustainability (working age and youth), then the growth centres are a little more select:

20 year Percentage Increase in the Youth Population:

1) Moncton - 22.2%
2) Fredericton - 10.7%
3) St. John's - 1.6%
4) Halifax - 1.3%

20 Year Percentage Increase in Working Age Population:

1) Moncton - 30.2%
2) Halifax - 24.6%
3) Fredericton - 22.5%
4) St. John's - 16.9%

It is really interesting to speculate why the working age population in Halifax is growing healthily, but, there is very little growth in the youth population in the city. One could posit this has a lot to do with the number of universities in the city, and the migration of students into the city to attend post secondary education. It might also have something to do with the white collar nature of the city and most 20-something immigrants being Yuppie DINKs as a result.

At the same time, why is the youth population growth rate in Moncton so high? Is this a reflection of the type of immigrants the city is getting? It would be really interesting to see if the Muslim population growth rate in the city is that much higher than it is in Halifax.

Early this year, the Anglophone East School Board in NB (which includes Moncton) made a ridiculous request of the provincial government for something like a dozen new schools in southeastern NB. I guess they were on to something.........

Finally, the senior's growth rates are going through the roof, no doubt explaining the current health care crisis in the country (at least in part, the pandemic did a number on us too in terms of people retiring or leaving the profession). It is interesting to note that the seniors growth rate in the CMAs is pretty much universally greater than in the CAs (Bathurst being a notable exception), indicating retirees may be moving to the larger cities once they are free of their jobs. Some of this migration might be related to wanting to live closer to their children. This was certainly true of my brother and sister-in-law who moved to Calgary from PEI because both of their children had moved out there.

[adamuptownsj]

Originally Posted by MonctonRad

I found this interesting infographic on Retail Talk & Share, and thought it belonged here:

Interesting Fire Emblem style character design lol. Fascinating stuff.

Saint John probably hit its deepest low ~2010-2014 so the working-age population treading water isn't as bad as it looks. Moncton is nuts. North Shore is apocalyptic. Complete retirement home level. I understand the Acadian Peninsula is not quite as grim, but I have no idea how to confirm that.

At this rate two seats will leave the north for Greater Moncton by the next boundary redistribution. One for Dieppe/Shediac/Moncton East and one for the Anglo part of town. Complete erosion of political capital up there. Rural Anglo NB by comparison will only lose one to Metro Fredericton. SJ-Kings-Charlotte agglomeration should remain similar, with 3 of the SJ seats and Quispamsis mildly shrinking in size, little change to Rothesay, Hampton, and Lancaster, and the 5 rural seats getting a little bigger. Maybe Arcadia-Butternut Valley-Maple Hills is the seat that gets carved up in the south... or Fredericton Grand Lake.

I'd be interested in seeing Sydney and Truro too.

[SevenSquared]

Originally Posted by MonctonRad

At the same time, why is the youth population growth rate in Moncton so high? Is this a reflection of the type of immigrants the city is getting? It would be really interesting to see if the Muslim population growth rate in the city is that much higher than it is in Halifax.

My take is that the stark difference in youth population growth rate between Moncton and Halifax is largely due to two things:

- The fact that Moncton has benefited massively from young families specifically moving here from Northern NB since the early 2000s

- It being so much easier for young people to start a family in Moncton than it is in Halifax due to the massive difference in house prices

It would be interesting to see a similar graphic with the cities that are more comparable to Moncton contextually, leaving out the capital cities, the small cities and large cities. Thinking along the lines of Kelowna, Saskatoon, Sudbury, Barrie, Kingston, Sherbrooke, Chicoutimi, SJ, Sydney etc