I feel that while Rochester didn't get hit quite as hard economically as Buffalo in the late 20th century... Buffalo now has a higher ceiling going forward. I'm a lot more bullish on the Queen City's prospects now that the city has seemingly stabilized and has stopped chasing stupid silver bullet projects. And yes... there is definitely a distinct "urban tier" that separates Buffalo from Rochester despite their almost equal Metro population. Buffalo clearly has a lot more legacy urban amenities and infrastructure from that brief period when it was one of the country's top cities while Rochester even at its relative height was still only a second-tier city.
While Buffalo's 2-county metro is only 50k larger than Rochester's 6-county these days... Buffalo gets a little screwed by quirks of geography and the way the Census Bureau defines things.
Buffalo-Niagara is a bi-national region, and the core of Buffalo's urbanized area hugs the Canadian border. Those hundreds of thousands of Canadians who take part in the regional economy are excluded from the Metropolitan population. Furthermore, core county of Erie is quite oversized and very quickly gets rural to the east and to the south... limiting the potential for suburban "collar counties" to be added.
Metro Rochester sprawls over 6 counties, with distant Yates county added to the MSA in 2013. The metro has an area of 3000 sq miles, twice that of Metro Buffalo's 1500 sq miles.
Buffalo's higher level of urbanism can be seen a comparison of urbanized area populations... Buffalo punches well above its weight with an urbanized area population of 936k... a larger UA population than larger metros like Hartford, New Orleans or Oklahoma City. 82% of Buffalo's MSA is contained within the Buffalo UA.
By contrast, while Rochester is nearly equal to Buffalo in MSA population... its UA is only 721k... smaller than minor cities like Dayton, OH and McAllen, TX (yeah, McAllen!?). Only 68% of Rochester's MSA is contained within the Rochester UA... its metro population being pumped up by vast rural collar counties where commuting thresholds into Monroe Co. are apparently high enough for inclusion.
It is clear who the true dominant power of Western New York is... and that is Buffalo.
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Originally Posted by flar
It also helps that Buffalo has pro-sports. And it benefits from the whole Niagara Regions, espeically the Canadian side.
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Agreed... the half million or so Canadians immediately adjacent to Buffalo help vault that region to more of a Milwaukee size than a Rochester size.
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Originally Posted by Wizened Variations
Buffalo and Rochester have a major difference: Buffalo is far closer to a huge world class city- Toronto- than Rochester is to any major metropolitan area.
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Rochester was just as close to Toronto back when the Fast Ferry operated.
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Originally Posted by Dr Nevergold
Having lived in Buffalo 5 years (and recently moving due to job concerns)
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I'm very sorry to hear this.
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Originally Posted by alchemist redux
it was not "big" in other senses of the word.
For example, Buffalo was probably the largest city of the time that didn't have what would later become a world class university, or actually several.
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I think this is somewhat a function of Buffalo, despite its great industrial might and population size in the early 20th century... never developing into a corporate HQ city like Pittsburgh or Cleveland. Buffalo was always a back-office town... which I think hurt it a lot more during the post-war de-industrialization phase than other rust belt cities because Buffalo had few advocates... and while other major Rust Belt cities suffered... Buffalo may be the singular example of a US city whose status absolutely reverted from "major" to "minor" during that time.