Valley Metro released its 2018 ridership data, and some media outlets are making a big deal about a 4.4% decline in light rail ridership from 2017 to 2018. KJZZ, which I normally consider among the most responsible media outlets, fumbled the story by falsely reporting that it was the first ever ridership decline. That's not true. Ridership declined slightly from 2014 to 2015, only to rebound in 2016 and 2017.
There's some speculation that the decline in 2018 was due to issues of safety. Maybe, and I'm glad Valley Metro has stepped up security in recent months. Nevertheless, there are other factors that may be at work:
-- Ridership has reached a plateau and may fluctuate up and down until new lines open
-- 2018 had fewer mass events downtown than 2017
-- Low gas prices
-- Competition from underpriced and unsustainable "rideshare" services
Of course, none of this will stop anti-rail forces from making nonsensical claims about trains being obsolete. The timing isn't good with all the current controversy over expansion, but I suppose it's that controversy that is causing this ridership report to make the news, while the 2015 decline was largely ignored.
One piece of good news: Overall transit ridership is up, undermining the flawed argument that rail succeeds only by taking people off the bus.
In any case, here's the data:
https://www.valleymetro.org/ridership-reports