Originally Posted by MonctonRad
With the Canadian population in general becoming older, more crotchety and more set in their ways at the same time. The baby boom will ensure a strong Conservative Party for decades to come.
Our olds are all Liberal in rural areas and, until Harper, had been Conservative in urban areas. That's a remnant from Confederation, when it was our Liberals in support of it. So, here at least, an aging population will just lead to ever-higher margins of victory for the Liberals in all of the rural ridings.
BUT that only lasts up until the baby boomer generation. Everyone else is, for the most part, too far removed from it for that to be their instinctual, heritage-based, unthinking political choice.
I'm curious to see how it'll all shake out. Harper has already pushed St. John's enough to say... hey, we don't agree with this shit. Why are we still voting for it? And while the city still couldn't bring itself to try Liberal again, it did go NDP - 75% so in the core. And the especially religious rural pockets of the province are all found in the ridings where Conservatives poll at 15+%, so they've switched as well, from Liberal to Conservative.
The wider population could go anywhere in a few generations. I think you'll see the split become much more varied, as it is in the Maritimes.