Hopefully Hamilton can manage some intensification as well. The city's default development mode, of course, has tended to be suburban.
"On a sub-market basis, between July and September 2012, the City of Hamilton was responsible for all the semi-detached, row and apartment starts. In essence, during the third quarter of 2012, no higher-density construction occurred in Burlington or Grimsby. Within the City of Hamilton, the lion’s share of the third quarter semi-detached and row starts was recorded in Stoney Creek while the new condominium apartments in Ancaster and Flamborough areas accounted for all the apartment starts." (CMHC, Oct 2012)
This is borne out by demographic history.
Former City of Hamilton (Wards 1-8) ◊
1956: 250,914
1961: 273,991
1966: 298,121
1971: 309,173
1976: 312,005
1981: 306,435
1986: 306,730
1991: 318,500
1996: 322,350
2001: 330,310
2006: 329,845
2011: 330,481
79,567 residents added (32% net growth) 1956-2011
21,308 residents added (7% net growth) 1971-2011
SEGMENTED:
Hamilton, Lower City (Wards 1-5) נ
1956: 200,037
1961: 198,689
1966: 203,627
1971: 207,572
1976: 202,045
1981: 194,537
1986: 189,924
1991: 187,181
1996: 185,118
2001: 186,938
2006: 182,405
2011: 180,246
19,791 residents lost (10% net loss) 1956-2011
27,326 residents lost (13% net loss) 1971-2011
Hamilton Mountain (Wards 6-8) נ
1956: 50,877
1961: 75,302
1966: 94,494
1971: 101,601
1976: 109,960
1981: 111,897
1986: 116,810
1991: 131,318
1996: 137,234
2001: 143,371
2006: 147,440
2011: 150,235
99,358 residents added (195% net growth) 1956-2011
48,634 residents added (48% net growth) 1971-2011
Glanbrook-Stoney Creek (Wards 9-11) ◊
1956: 17,378
1961: 29,738
1966: 34,121
1971: 37,309
1976: 40,475
1981: 46,530
1986: 53,145
1991: 56,695
1996: 64,885
2001: 69,472
2006: 77,570
2011: 87,558
70,180 residents added (404% net growth) 1956-2011
47,083 residents added (116% net growth) 1971-2011
Ancaster (Ward 12) ◊
1956: 9,157
1961: 13,338
1966: 14,960
1971: 15,087
1976: 14,255
1981: 14,425
1986: 17,260
1991: 21,985
1996: 23,403
2001: 25,297
2006: 31,040
2011: 35,120
25,963 residents added (284% net growth) 1956-2011
20,033 residents added (133% net growth) 1971-2011
Dundas (Ward 13) ◊
1956: 10,886
1961: 12,912
1966: 15,501
1971: 18,740
1976: 19,180
1981: 19,585
1986: 20,115
1991: 21,865
1996: 23,125
2001: 24,394
2006: 24,695
2011: 24,907
14,021 residents added (128% net growth) 1956-2011
6,167 residents added (33% net growth) 1971-2011
Flamborough (Wards 14+15) ◊‡
1956: 15,034
1961: 18,202
1966: 20,417
1971: 20,930
1976: 23,580
1981: 24,470
1986: 26,135
1991: 29,615
1996: 34,035
2001: 39,984
2006: 41,410
2011: 41,883
26,849 residents added (176% net growth) 1956-2011
20,953 residents added (100% net growth) 1971-2011
Burlington ∆
1971: 86,125
1976: 104,314
1981: 114,314
1986: 116,673
1991: 129,575
1996: 136,976
2001: 150,836
2006: 164,415
2011: 175,779
89,654 residents added (104% net growth) 1971-2011
Grimsby §
1971: 15,770
1981: 15,797
1991: 18,520
1996: 19,585
2001: 21,297
2006: 23,937
2011: 25,325
9,555 residents added (61% net growth) 1971-2011
FWIW, here's Hemson's Reference Forecast for Region of Halton:
2001: 391,000
2006: 458,000
2011: 520,000
2016: 575,000
2021: 645,000
2026: 726,000
2031: 816,000
2036: 913,000
2041: 1,011,000
SEGMENTED:
Burlington ††
2006: 164,446
2011: 173,761
2016: 175,438
2021: 178,847
2026: 182,034
2031: 186,169
•
DATA SOURCES:
◊ Hamilton 1956-1996, 2001, 2006 & 2011
∆ Burlington 1971-2011
§ Grimsby 1981, 1991-2011
† Segmented Hamilton: 1956-1996, 2001, 2006 & 2011
†† Burlington Forecast: Halton Region Draft Best Planning Estimates, 2011-2031
‡ Post-2000, ward data fused to reflect pre-amalgamation boundaries
__________________
"Where architectural imagination is absent, the case is hopeless." - Louis Sullivan
Last edited by thistleclub; Dec 3, 2015 at 3:51 PM.
|