Quote:
Originally Posted by MolsonExport
If high speed rail ever comes to London, LIA will become almost redundant, particularly if there is a Pearson stop.
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The current vision has one stop in Kitchener, one at Pearson, and one in downtown Toronto.
Yes, the assertion that a HSR could hurt London airport has some validity using the circumstances of the day. However it won't end up being that cut and dried IMO. As a quick example, Westjet is offering airfare to Pearson from London for under $100 using current aircraft. By the time any HSR is operational (15 - 30 years from now), a new (or second or third) generation of aircraft beyond what is flying today will be in use. Considering the advancements in composite materials, avionics, and propulsion all being used to drive the cost of airline operations down (and will continue to do so), I wouldn't be surprised if the cost of an air trip from London to Toronto will be fairly competitive with HSR (I've seen the proposed cost of HSR ticket prices). In short, although cost may still favor HSR, it won't be a very dramatic difference. If I were traveling overseas and were hauling a fair bit of luggage, I'd pay the extra $20 or $30 to not have haul that on and off a crowded commuter train and then into Pearson.
The real advantage that HSR will offer is to get the short stay business traveler from downtown London to downtown Toronto and then back again in one fell swoop in a reasonable period of time. If London airport loses business, it will be the loss of this customer - which although significant can be accommodated for with smart management, considering the lead time that the airport will have to change its business model.