Quote:
Originally Posted by PPAR
With a united right, Calgary decides the next election. NDP can hold Edmonton and a scattering of rural seats, but most rural seats remain solidly blue. The way I see it right now, the only part of the Province in play is central and northeast Calgary.
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Calgary traditionally always decides provincial elections.
Being in Calgary for the past 16 years, I have become unaware of the political forces in Edmonton.
I expect Calgary will be the battle ground but for not so obvious reasons.
I expect the following to occur for the next provincial election:
- Brian Pincott (current W11 councillor for Calgary) will run in Calgary-Mountainview as the NDP candidate, a long time Liberal seat.
- Ward 11 is mainly represented by Calgary-Buffalo, however with Kathleen Ganley holding a cabinet position she is unlikely to be unseated.
- Currently Calgary-Elbow is held by Greg Clark. I expect Kent Hehr to return to provincial politics and run in Calgary-Elbow as the NDP candidate. Hehr can't run in Buffalo because that's Ganley's position.
- Andre Chabot will most likely lose the mayoral race to Nenshi. Chabot would be a good UCP challenger to Robyn Luff in Calgary-East. In 2015 Calgary-East was an NDP win due to vote splitting.
- I suspect that 1 or more Calgary Councillor's will also move into the Provincial space for 2019 election.
So what do things look like in Edmonton? Any federal or municipal politicians that could move to the provincial scene.