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View Poll Results: In 2021, the CMA population for Winnipeg will be:
less than 825,000 5 6.58%
825,000-849,999 16 21.05%
850,000-874,999 31 40.79%
over 875,000 24 31.58%
Voters: 76. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 7:52 AM
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Winnipeg CMA in Five Years (2021)

Since the old prediction thread is outdated (result was 782,600 in 2014). I thought it would be fun to predict what the population of Winnipeg would be on July 1, 2021 (the cutoff date every year in terms of estimates).

I think Winnipeg will continue to grow, and prosper. How about you?

PS Congratulations to the late SmileyBoy, who was the closest member to the actual result.

My prediction: 867,000
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  #2  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:09 PM
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Shouldn't the poll read in 2021, not in 2016 which is now?

.....just sayin
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  #3  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:29 PM
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Using Winnipeg's current growth rate, I'm going to go with 835K.

Edit: I made a calculation error. That should be 847K

Last edited by jmt18325; Aug 16, 2016 at 2:52 PM.
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  #4  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:34 PM
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Think about Winnipeg.
 
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For nearly my entire childhood, adolesence and young adult life it seemed like Winnipeg was stuck in the 600,000s... it's interesting to think that in a few years we're going to start closing in on a million people.
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  #5  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:40 PM
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Winnipeg is becoming a nicer city and more people possibly want to stay instead of moving to other places in Canada, and we will possibly start taking more immigrants in the near future. With the estimates in the other forum putting us at around 800000 which was 70000 more people than the last census. We could possibly have around 885,000 people living here by 2021.
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  #6  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:47 PM
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I'm gonna go with 879,000
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  #7  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:49 PM
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Winnipeg CMA is estimated to be over 800k now. Almost 810k. Growing by about 12k people per year. So in 5 years that's another 60k people. My vote goes into the 875k box.
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  #8  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:49 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thebasketballgeek View Post
Winnipeg is becoming a nicer city and more people possibly want to stay instead of moving to other places in Canada, and we will possibly start taking more immigrants in the near future. With the estimates in the other forum putting us at around 800000 which was 70000 more people than the last census. We could possibly have around 885,000 people living here by 2021.
Still a perception problem though:

http://globalnews.ca/news/2884952/wi...afe-city-poll/

Note that people's feelings don't mirror reality. Ottawa is definitely not safer than Quebec City.
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  #9  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bomberjet View Post
Winnipeg CMA is estimated to be over 800k now. Almost 810k. Growing by about 12k people per year. So in 5 years that's another 60k people. My vote goes into the 875k box.
The last stats Canada number we have is from 2015 and is 7934000. From 2012 to 2015, Winnipeg grew by about 1.3% a year. That means that as of July 1st this year, we should be at about 804000. Extrapolating that forward by another 4 years, I made a calculation error - I should have said 847000. Good thing I didn't vote yet.
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  #10  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 2:57 PM
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Think about Winnipeg.
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmt18325 View Post
Still a perception problem though:

http://globalnews.ca/news/2884952/wi...afe-city-poll/

Note that people's feelings don't mirror reality. Ottawa is definitely not safer than Quebec City.
Things are improving, but it always takes a while for perception to catch up with reality. That being said, it's still accurate to say that Winnipeg has more crime relative to most other major Canadian cities and likely will for years to come. It's actually remarkable how placid cities like Quebec City and the Atlantic Canadian ones are...
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  #11  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 3:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by esquire View Post
Things are improving, but it always takes a while for perception to catch up with reality. That being said, it's still accurate to say that Winnipeg has more crime relative to most other major Canadian cities and likely will for years to come.
That's very true, but most western Canadian cities are really just as unsafe.

Last edited by jmt18325; Aug 16, 2016 at 3:15 PM.
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  #12  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 3:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmt18325 View Post
The last stats Canada number we have is from 2015 and is 7934000. From 2012 to 2015, Winnipeg grew by about 1.3% a year. That means that as of July 1st this year, we should be at about 804000. Extrapolating that forward by another 4 years, I made a calculation error - I should have said 847000. Good thing I didn't vote yet.
I'm being optimistic that the population will grow a little faster. So jumped to the 875k number just because!
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  #13  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 3:09 PM
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Oh we're so unsafe. Go visit any other major City and we're no different.
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  #14  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 3:29 PM
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^ thanks for that Biff, changed it.

850K + seems the a safe prediction if extrapolating the numbers over the past 5 years.
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Last edited by Cyro; Aug 16, 2016 at 4:10 PM.
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  #15  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 3:37 PM
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Does anyone actually have a breakdown on where the voters are located or to the actual poll? If it's thier I missed it.

Close to 5K? are they from Saskatoon, Edmonton or Toronto etc..(examples only)...Perception as always is the case in nationwide polls IMO.

See my perception if I voted,(Air quality) would be that Toronto (formerly the Big Smoke) has the worst air quality., although, I haven't backed up my statement with proof and it's just what's been ingrained in my mind for so long through the media and so fourth..
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  #16  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 4:16 PM
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I'm going on a conservative estimate at 825,000 - 849,999, with a prediction, of about 840,000 people in that census year.

EDIT: On a side note, anybody know if results are in yet from this year's census or is it still too early to tell?
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  #17  
Old Posted Aug 16, 2016, 5:21 PM
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I'm going to guess 880,000.
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  #18  
Old Posted Aug 17, 2016, 12:16 AM
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I'll go with 855,000.
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  #19  
Old Posted Aug 17, 2016, 5:36 AM
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864312 ... unless Trump gets in, then we will hit a 1 Million with the mass influx of immigrants from down south!!! Keep your pants on, this is only humor.
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  #20  
Old Posted Aug 17, 2016, 5:43 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Jabroni View Post
I'm going on a conservative estimate at 825,000 - 849,999, with a prediction, of about 840,000 people in that census year.

EDIT: On a side note, anybody know if results are in yet from this year's census or is it still too early to tell?
February 2017. I was thinking maybe I should just go by the projection for 2021, rahter than wait for 6 months for Statistics Canada to release the figures...
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