Calgary Population Growth.

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

Not bad at all. 33 000 would put us over 1 230 000 in the city. With the slowdown, we'll probably only be at about 1 350 000 by 2020.

Very good, all considering. I think the difference with Calgary these days, is it has a high natural increase...somewhere around 12K, and more importantly, high international immigration numbers. Even in a downturn the growth is still solid.

[Surrealplaces]

Net international immigration to Calgary has been growing by 10% each year, and didn't drop off during last downturn.

[Spring2008]

^interesting since it appears international migration hasn't at all been correlated to economic cycles. Drawback with that might be continued large migration even during times of flatlining job growth. Overall should lead to continued strong pop growth. If the trend continues we'll be closer to 25 - 30k international migrants per year here in about a decade, about what metro Van is currently at.

[Chadillaccc]

So we can expect roughly 17 500 international migrants this year, on top of roughly 12 000 newborns? That's not bad. That's already an increase of near 30 000 without interprovincial.

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

So we can expect roughly 17 500 international migrants this year, on top of roughly 12 000 newborns? That's not bad. That's already an increase of near 30 000 without interprovincial.

Yup. Regardless of economic cycles, Calgary has a large enough immigrant population that we will always draw good numbers. I don't have the stats for this, but I'm certain a lot of the immigrants coming are relatives or friends of people already here. The larger the immigrant community the more potential for population growth.

[RyLucky]

Originally Posted by Surrealplaces

Net international immigration to Calgary has been growing by 10% each year, and didn't drop off during last downturn.

Is it saying that in 2009/2010, international migration accounted for 100% of migration? I that because they are saying net domestic migration was <0? Seems like a strange way to present data, but maybe I'm looking at it wrong...

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by RyLucky

Is it saying that in 2009/2010, international migration accounted for 100% of migration? I that because they are saying net domestic migration was <0? Seems like a strange way to present data, but maybe I'm looking at it wrong...

There was actually a loss those two years in net interprovincial migration, so for all types of migration combined international migration was 100% of the growth.

Interestingly enough, the big three cities (Tor, Mtl, Van) have that situation every year. International immigration numbers are always a bit higher than the overall growth of those cities.

[Sands]

Originally Posted by RyLucky

Is it saying that in 2009/2010, international migration accounted for 100% of migration? I that because they are saying net domestic migration was <0? Seems like a strange way to present data, but maybe I'm looking at it wrong...

The data was correct. I have done the same study. During 2009-2010 period, AB had negative net inter-provincial migrants. I have some charts that Chadillaccc helped me post here a while back.

[Spring2008]

The amount of girls with Blue Jays hats I see in the inner-city makes me think we're still getting loads of interprovincial migration. Could be wrong though. I don't know how scientific this method is lol

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by Spring2008

The amount of girls with Blue Jays hats I see in the inner-city makes me think we're still getting loads of interprovincial migration. Could be wrong though. I don't know how scientific this method is lol

Interprovincial migration has been strong in all of the last ten except for a couple of years. I suspect it will be positive this year, but much lower than last year.

[DizzyEdge]

I wonder if they're actually fans, or like the people who walk around sporting Expos caps, ie a fashion statement

[ACT7]

Originally Posted by Spring2008

The amount of girls with Blue Jays hats I see in the inner-city makes me think we're still getting loads of interprovincial migration. Could be wrong though. I don't know how scientific this method is lol

Doesn't necessarily mean these people are all from Ontario. It's the only Canadian team so it's very conceivable that there are plenty of fans across the country. One only has to watch a Jays game in Seattle to see how many fans there are from BC and Alberta who attend.

[Tosin007]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

That would be a growth of only 32 000 for the metro area since the last official federal estimate. That would be disappointing, but I guess not entirely unexpected.

Our employment numbers and migration are all still looking excellent so hopefully the real numbers from Statcan are a bit better. Here's an article about the differences between Alberta and Calgary as far as the economic woes/boom go...


Alberta loses 14,000 jobs in February but Calgary gains 2,100

Story: http://calgaryherald.com/business/lo...ent-rate-rises

& Yeah Chad ur right! Anyway I have New Estimates now xD.

Tosin Calgary Population Estimates for May 1st, 2015

Municipal Population: 1,237,194
Calgary CMA: 1,441,632
Calgary Region: 1,521,632

[Surrealplaces]

Some updated population stats. I'm not sure where the original source is from.

Still very strong numbers considering the economy. Factor in ~12K for natural increase and Calgary is still looking at 33-35K in growth.

Ian Meredith ‏@ian_meredith 2h2 hours ago
CMHC net migration forecasts also revised from Dec projection
#YYC: adjusted to 22,000 from 28,500
#YEG: adjusted to 20,000 from 24,000

[Tosin007]

Originally Posted by Surrealplaces

Some updated population stats. I'm not sure where the original source is from.

Still very strong numbers considering the economy. Factor in ~12K for natural increase and Calgary is still looking at 33-35K in growth.

Yup! Anyway

Tosin Calgary Population Estimates for June 1st, 2015

Municipal Population: 1,240,344
Calgary CMA: 1,446,172
Calgary Region: 1,526,172

[Chadillaccc]

The Calgary Region now has a population of 1 512 000, as of July 1, 2014.


http://www.calgaryeconomicdevelopmen...cators/current


In 2011, the Calgary CMA itself was 1 215 000, 95% of the regional population of 1 279 000. If that 95% still holds true today, we're looking at a metropolitan population as of July 1, 2014 at 1 437 000. This likely puts us at roughly 1 470 000 this year.

[speedog]

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

The Calgary Region now has a population of 1 512 000, as of July 1, 2014.


http://www.calgaryeconomicdevelopmen...cators/current


In 2011, the Calgary CMA itself was 1 215 000, 95% of the regional population of 1 279 000. If that 95% still holds true today, we're looking at a metropolitan population as of July 1, 2014 at 1 437 000. This likely puts us at roughly 1 470 000 this year.

Just as another point of reference, Calgary's actual population as per the 2014 civic census was 1,195,194 - 2015 results should easily pop that number over 1,200,000..

[Surrealplaces]

Originally Posted by speedog

Just as another point of reference, Calgary's actual population as per the 2014 civic census was 1,195,194 - 2015 results should easily pop that number over 1,200,000..

Civic census should come in at around 1,225,000

[Surrealplaces]

CMA population should pass the 1.5M mark pretty soon.

Originally Posted by Chadillaccc

The Calgary Region now has a population of 1 512 000, as of July 1, 2014.


http://www.calgaryeconomicdevelopmen...cators/current


In 2011, the Calgary CMA itself was 1 215 000, 95% of the regional population of 1 279 000. If that 95% still holds true today, we're looking at a metropolitan population as of July 1, 2014 at 1 437 000. This likely puts us at roughly 1 470 000 this year.

[DizzyEdge]

As a point of reference, we're at about 1989 Vancouver