Quote:
Originally Posted by kolchak
Shangri La, Mandarin Oriental... Wanda - for Chicago not a good track record with four star East Asian luxury hotel brands.
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Sigh....apples to oranges, friend.
Let's break it down: while Shangri-la might seem like the closest, most accurate comparison, it's not:
- $700 million in financing was secured on June 16, 2017, at which point, the head of Magellan stated that "35% of condo units were pre-sold" (too late to find link now, will edit later on Sat), which means that of the 406 or so condo units, at least 140 have put deposits down...and that number has only gone up since June. Of the supposed $900 million budget, Magellan can easily finance the difference (after financing from Ping-An bank's construction loan and what condo units have already pre-sold). Magellan has a solid reputation unlike the developer for the doomed Shangri-la and they are very experienced...I mean, they completed the Aqua during the recession, so they deserve some credit..totally different environment now (even though that can change on a dime, but I digress).
- this beast is already under construction, 18-20 floors and counting, (from LL Wacker.
- if Wanda does sell then the hotel would be the potential Achilles heel.... But it won't be they be because I guarantee there is a contractual obligation on their part to do do something with the hotel; they sell it to another owner/operator at a potential loss, or they will have to cough up a considerable chunk of change to Magellan. In 2006, SHR purchased the Aqua hotel space for a large premium (it was supposed to be an extension of the Fairmont; I worked on it). While the hotel was under construction in 2008, the economy tanked and the hotel was mothballed. SHR eventually sold the hotel portion back to Magellan at a loss...who then sold it to the owner of what is now the Radisson Blu for more money, making another profit. My point is, the same thing could happen here. Another 5 star flag can take over, like the St Regis or for poetic justice, the Mandarin or Shangri-la.
I have faith in Magellan, they have already invested way too much in this, and it's a marquee project that they never shortchange.